PA-SN 2022 megathread: Shrek vs. The Wizard of Oz
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  PA-SN 2022 megathread: Shrek vs. The Wizard of Oz
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Author Topic: PA-SN 2022 megathread: Shrek vs. The Wizard of Oz  (Read 280280 times)
Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #925 on: May 20, 2021, 05:15:20 PM »

I am shocked, shocked I tell you, that an Fetterman internal showed a good result for Fetterman Roll Eyes

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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #926 on: May 20, 2021, 05:41:47 PM »

I am shocked, shocked I tell you, that an Fetterman internal showed a good result for Fetterman Roll Eyes


The GE numbers aren't worth that much, but D4P has a pretty good track record in Democratic primaries. They tended to overestimate the proportions of college-educated voters in the 2020 primaries, but (mandatory health warning) the crosstabs would suggest that Fetterman isn't significantly weaker with non-college educated voters. This poll might not be overselling his current standing in the primary by much, but that could change quickly if and when (and it is probably a matter of when) the DSCC machine gets behind Lamb.
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JMT
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« Reply #927 on: May 25, 2021, 04:42:39 PM »

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wbrocks67
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« Reply #928 on: May 25, 2021, 06:32:27 PM »

Not surprising, Wild was always the least likely out of the bunch (Houlahan, Dean, Wild) IMO
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The Smiling Face On Your TV
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« Reply #929 on: May 25, 2021, 06:45:02 PM »

Probably better Wild runs for her seat, whatever way the commision redraws the lines Lehigh Valley will be one of the most crucial districts for Ds to hold on to nationwide.
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They put it to a vote and they just kept lying
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« Reply #930 on: May 25, 2021, 07:07:01 PM »

Wake me up when Houlahan and Lamb make their decisions.
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Lognog
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« Reply #931 on: May 25, 2021, 07:07:31 PM »



good. Help keep that seat
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #932 on: May 25, 2021, 07:11:44 PM »



good. Help keep that seat
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #933 on: May 26, 2021, 03:59:04 AM »

Yikes, that’s an awful poll, though hopefully Lamb’s numbers go up when he officially announces. He’s the only candidate that would keep this race a toss-up; the rest of these jokers shift it to Likely R at best.
This is based on what again?


The embarrassing campaign Fetterman has run so far? The fact that he’s never won a competitive election?

hack

Let them believe what they want, the Rs haven't won the PVI since 2014 that's 7 yrs ago they lost it in 2016 by 2 to Hilary, lost it by 8 in 2018 and lost it by 4 in 2020, now they are trying to blame the Trump Covid Recession on Biden, because Rs in 2017 passed an unaffordable tax cuts for rich

They got away with it in 2010 and that Recession was caused too by Bush W deficit tax cuts for rich passed in 2001
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #934 on: May 26, 2021, 04:19:00 AM »

No polls will change my prediction: Fetterman will win the primary, hold a significant lead in polling, and then lose to the Republican by 2-3 points.

You said D's were gonna lose GA too, why should we listen to you and Milineienial Moderate whom constantly underestate D's and then you said Peters was gonna lose MI

Just like Milineienial Moderate said that Kelly was DoA and he is up by 10
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #935 on: June 08, 2021, 11:37:47 AM »

Houlahan NOT running.

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wbrocks67
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« Reply #936 on: June 08, 2021, 11:54:59 AM »

Interesting. I would bet that Dean stays out too at this point.

Hell, I don't even know if Lamb will actually jump in.

Would be interesting if it really came down to just Fetterman and Kenyatta. Kenyatta could then shore up all of SEPA (Arkoosh still seems like a non-starter to me)
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #937 on: June 08, 2021, 01:23:45 PM »


Cool. The primary was already a bit crazily sized with Fetterman, Kenyatta, & potentially Lamb.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #938 on: June 08, 2021, 01:51:16 PM »

Fetterman is easily gonna win, everyone is gonna split the Philly vote and he is gonna win Pittsburgh

The are all lining up to just lose and have to run for Gov, Fetterman was easily winning the primary at 40%

I hope Lamb runs for Gov, I like him
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #939 on: June 08, 2021, 01:59:28 PM »


I didn't even know what she looked like until now. I certainly have lost sight of the appearances of some members of Congress recently.
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JMT
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« Reply #940 on: June 15, 2021, 01:04:58 PM »

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wbrocks67
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« Reply #941 on: June 15, 2021, 01:10:30 PM »



Not surprising, either. Looks like Lamb is the only major player left in question.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #942 on: June 15, 2021, 01:25:28 PM »



Not surprising, either. Looks like Lamb is the only major player left in question.

Lamb should just run for re-election, unless he somehow knows that his district is going to become basically unwinnable in 2022.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #943 on: June 15, 2021, 01:29:31 PM »

Fetterman is Bob Casey Jr a Blue Dog just like Jelly, Jackson and Ryan whom all can win

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President Johnson
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« Reply #944 on: June 15, 2021, 01:40:02 PM »

Fetterman is Bob Casey Jr a Blue Dog just like Jelly, Jackson and Ryan whom all can win



Fetterman is no Blue Dog, he's a progressive. And one of the best representatives of that wing of the party.
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They put it to a vote and they just kept lying
20RP12
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« Reply #945 on: June 15, 2021, 02:51:10 PM »

I think if the election were tomorrow, I would probably vote for Kenyatta. I like him a lot.
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MarkD
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« Reply #946 on: June 15, 2021, 08:57:14 PM »

Fetterman is Bob Casey Jr a Blue Dog just like Jelly, Jackson and Ryan whom all can win


Fetterman is no Blue Dog, he's a progressive. And one of the best representatives of that wing of the party.

Bob Casey Jr. is no Blue Dog either, and neither is Tim Ryan. Can I ask you a question, Pres. Johnson? Haven't you seen enough posts by Olowakandi to know that his posts are often inaccurate or nonsensical?

~~~~

I'm pretty confident in predicting that Fetterman will be the nominee, and Lamb is the only Democrat member of the House delegation that might try to run against Fetterman.

I highly doubt that Ryan Costello will be the Republican nominee; he's nowhere near being a conservative, he's moderate-to-liberal, like Arlen Spectre was for most of his Senate career. If he runs, the only way he can win the primary is if the conservative voters in the primary are almost equally split among the other candidates, like Barnette, Bartos, Gale, Parnell, and Stern.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #947 on: June 16, 2021, 05:45:54 AM »

I can't wait to see the GOP primary outcrazy each other, especially with people like Barnette, Bartos, and Parnell in the mix. Barnette is especially a specific brand of crazy.

If Lamb doesn't jump in, this is definitely Fetterman's. I'm torn though between Kenyatta and Lamb. I would love for PA to move into the 21st century and actually have a black senator, but Kenyatta needs a major breakthrough.

If it was between Lamb and Fetterman, I think I go with Lamb. But would of course full heartedly support Fetterman in the general.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #948 on: June 16, 2021, 06:35:35 AM »

The Rs can win the Gov race, the states don't have to vote the same way for Prez and Sen, I have the D's winning the Sen and the Rs woman my the Gov race just like Whitmer is in trouble in MI

After 2 Terms PA Gov usually flips to the otherpsrty and Bartlett is a strong candidate and the Rs have a strong field for Gov
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #949 on: June 16, 2021, 08:42:31 AM »

Smh @ Dean/Houlahan. Don't they realize we can't save both of them in redistricting?
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