PA-SN 2022 megathread: Shrek vs. The Wizard of Oz

[It’s so Joever]

https://twitter.com/SenatorTester/status/1593368941010771968

The poor guy in the back is terrified, I know I would be!

[GALeftist]

https://twitter.com/blockedfreq/status/1593812284714819586?s=46&t=T5aNsHvkme...

Gonna end up being like a 5 point victory. Pretty nuts. People got way too cute about this race. Honestly it reminds me of the primary where everyone was like “yeah fetterman has a huge lead over lamb but it’s just name rec/no attack ads/whatever, the lead won’t hold” and then it did

[Spectator]

https://twitter.com/blockedfreq/status/1593812284714819586?s=46&t=T5aNsHvkme...
Gonna end up being like a 5 point victory. Pretty nuts. People got way too cute about this race. Honestly it reminds me of the primary where everyone was like “yeah fetterman has a huge lead over lamb but it’s just name rec/no attack ads/whatever, the lead won’t hold” and then it did

It really is stunning how just none of these big senate races were…close? I guess Georgia, Nevada and Wisconsin, but Warnock and CCM did better than expected, and I don’t think people expected much from Barnes.  Georgia runoff remains to be seen how close it will be.

Arizona wasn’t even close. Kelly would’ve won without Maricopa County even. New Hampshire was not close. Colorado was a blowout even with a non-controversial Republican. Pennsylvania was not close. Washington state was LOL.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Fetterman win because Bob Casey Jr help win it for her m and Biden, Obama all campaign for FETTERMAN, PA and MI are Safe D states and so is WI, Tammy Baldwin is gonna easily win reelection

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/carlosodio/status/1594738253248217088
https://twitter.com/fawfulfan/status/1594800183828795392
https://twitter.com/fawfulfan/status/1594800188048248832

[Suburbia]

Do you think Oz's Islam religion had something to do with his loss?

Pennsylvania is more whiter than NJ and he is a better fit for NJ, as a lot of Middle Eastern Americans live in nice suburbs in NJ, make a lot of money and still vote Republican after the past 20+years.

[wbrocks67]

Yeah, as we suspected, Emerson's overall minority samples were just garbage. They also had Laxalt winning Latinos in NV and I'm pretty sure Masters winning them in AZ.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah, as we suspected, Emerson's overall minority samples were just garbage. They also had Laxalt winning Latinos in NV and I'm pretty sure Masters winning them in AZ.

The polls underestimate the fact  50% of the country is satisfied because it's not because of just inflation it's 4.2 Percent unemployment and Rs are never gonna have a 241RH unless unemployment drops to 10% again

Greenberg has the GCB 51/47, the Rs may have won the PVI but they didn't win the states that mattered so it was pointless

[wbrocks67]

Oz hasn't posted *anything* to social though since Tuesday, so it's fair to say he's probably still stewing. You love to see it.

... two weeks later and Oz still silent lmao

[cg41386]

Probably too busy deciding which residence to return to. Or looking for Wegners.

[wbrocks67]

Probably too busy deciding which residence to return to. Or looking for Wegners.

I'm not even joking when I say I legit think Oz will sell that house in Montco any minute now.

[Suburbia]

Probably too busy deciding which residence to return to. Or looking for Wegners.

Should have stayed put in NJ, either to run against Menendez or running for governor in 2025. He would have been a better candidate than Ciattarelli....

Stupid guy.

Oz could have won something in NJ....stupid.

[cg41386]

Probably too busy deciding which residence to return to. Or looking for Wegners.

I'm not even joking when I say I legit think Oz will sell that house in Montco any minute now.

Wasn't he using his in-laws' house?

[wbrocks67]

Probably too busy deciding which residence to return to. Or looking for Wegners.

I'm not even joking when I say I legit think Oz will sell that house in Montco any minute now.

Wasn't he using his in-laws' house?

He was, when he first "registered" in PA in 2020, he registered at his in-laws in Montco, saying he lived there. Then he officially "moved" to their new house in the same town as the in-laws in 2021. But essentially it's been pretty dubious since the start.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Probably too busy deciding which residence to return to. Or looking for Wegners.

You mean Wegmans.

[wbrocks67]

Probably too busy deciding which residence to return to. Or looking for Wegners.

You mean Wegmans.

It was actually Redner's

[cg41386]

Probably too busy deciding which residence to return to. Or looking for Wegners.

You mean Wegmans.

Nope, Wegners

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Schadenfreude.

https://twitter.com/RyanDeto/status/1597643023630073859?s=20&t=g6TLxwYFVtb9Z...

[free my dawg]

Schadenfreude.

https://twitter.com/RyanDeto/status/1597643023630073859?s=20&t=g6TLxwYFVtb9Z...

Does anyone know what comes after f**king around?

[prag_prog]

one thing which made this win lot more sweeter was the meltdown on twitter among Republicans. They just couldn't fathom that Fetterman even had a chance to win, let alone win comfortably...they looked at so much disgust at Fetterman (even his wife too).

[wbrocks67]

One of the biggest flops of Oz's campaign may just be his suburban performance, rather than his rural performance. He spent *so much* time in SEPA to try and do better than Trump in the suburbs to attempt the "moderate" schtick, and failed epically. He did *worse* than Trump in 3/4 of the Philly suburb counties, and in Chester, only 0.2% better than Trump.

I honestly figured he may do a bit better than Trump, but still lose badly. But the fact that he essentially had no better performance than Trump, and actually did *worse* in the suburbs is pretty stunning, since Trump had the bar down at the floor.

Not for nothing either, Biden's performance in Chester was a high water mark. Shapiro actually only got +11 in 2020 in his AG race, Ahmad 5, and Torsella 8. So Fetterman still getting +17 is still fantastic, despite only tying Biden's performance.

Fetterman's Bucks performance may be the most stunning out of all of them. Bucks is the most swingy of all of them, and has gone R in recent times. Fetterman getting nearly +7.5 there is crazy.

Bucks: Biden +4.4 > Fetterman +7.4

Chester: Biden +17.1 > Fetterman +16.9

Montgomery: Biden +26.3 > Fetterman +28.4

Delaware: Biden +26.8 > Fetterman +28.0

[wbrocks67]

Montco may have had the highest turnout in the state - would have to check some of the other rurals, but given Oz's performance, I doubt it.

Montco was 69%

https://twitter.com/blockedfreq/status/1598669316618158080

[Gracile]

PA-SEN results by State House district:

https://twitter.com/4st8/status/1606832534368706561

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Bob Casey should easily win with Biden on the ballot 52/46

[Suburbia]

I'm still numb. Fetterman had a stroke and still won. I don't get it. Oz is stupid.