Daily Beast: Pollsters Have ‘No F'ing Idea What’s Going to Happen’ This Election

[wbrocks67]

Interesting article:

https://www.thedailybeast.com/pollsters-have-no-fcking-idea-whats-going-to-happen-during-2022-midterm-elections

[Koharu]

Silver noted that online polls could avoid some of these problems, but they introduce others, “namely that it’s hard to get a truly random sample online the way you can with phone numbers.”

Is the reason texting people a unique, one-use link to a poll isn't an option because people are nervous about spam/malicious links? I feel like it would be a decent "compromise" option.

[Alben Barkley]

I've never agreed more.

[GALeftist]

Atlas 🤝 Pollsters

[TwinGeeks99]

Literally anything from a red tsunami to a blue miracle and everything in between is possible considering the polls have been all over the place. Whatever happens, a lot of pollsters are going to have egg on their face tomorrow night.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Silver noted that online polls could avoid some of these problems, but they introduce others, “namely that it’s hard to get a truly random sample online the way you can with phone numbers.”

Is the reason texting people a unique, one-use link to a poll isn't an option because people are nervous about spam/malicious links? I feel like it would be a decent "compromise" option.

Yeah, I’m not gonna click “bit. ly/420xxx69”

[Senator Incitatus]

they just like me fr

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

they just like me fr

Same here. I have an idea about Nevada (insert Ralston’s prediction here) and California is pretty obvious on a statewide level. Leaning Kotek in Oregon. Other than that? Not a clue. Can’t say I’ve really been paying that close of attention, which is probably better for me mental health wise.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

At this point im just waiting to see what happens

The only thing I can think of it maybe try throwing chicken bones in the fire and reading the cracks and burn marks for a result