2020 Nebraska Redistricting

[Former President tack50]

Part of the problem here is that Nebraska's legislature requires 2/3rds of a vote to end debate. Republicans did not meet that threshold, so they will need Democratic votes for any map (unless they nuke the filibuster like our Senate might). But yes, if they do that, it's pretty easy to split Douglas County. Send one district up north, one south, and leave NE-03 as is. Or you can put Lincoln in NE-03 and then you'd have three safely Republican seats.

NE-02 voted almost 10 points to the right of the nation back then. Given that it's now in line with the nation and could decide a presidential election, there's much more incentive to gerrymander it.

I also thought Nebraska had a non-partisan legislature. Is there a way to know if they are D or R?

There are but there are literal RINOs

https://johnmccollister.com/

"Republican Redefined "

"The Republican case for bold action on climate change"

"The Conservative Case for Unions"

Im sure this dude will totally split Omaha.

Why can't all Republicans be like this?   

[Former President tack50]

For fun (even if it is officially non-partisan), here is my attempt at a state legislature gerrymander that tries to be relatively clean and not split counties too much and what not

https://davesredistricting.org/join/0636b71e-b9d4-4db6-b868-6a0c05b7e0bc

The "tipping point" district is district 18, which voted 58-35 Trump (R+15) and is located in the western Sarpy County outermost suburbs of Omaha

The "tipping point" for a 2/3 Republican majority is district 12, which voted 53-41 Clinton (R+11) and is located in the suburbs of Omaha (but is closer to downtown Omaha this time)

I guess a map like this means the legislature is Titanium R, and makes it more likely than not that Republicans hold 2/3 supermajorities

[Former President tack50]

What was the incentive for Nebraska to start splitting their electoral votes? It looks like it first began in 1996. Was one party or the other more interested in it?

Incidentally, the original proposal in Maine was to divide the state into four electoral districts, which was the normal scheme for states with district election of electors. Feel free to draw a 5-district Nebraska.

For fun, here is said 5 district Nebraska:



NE-01: Obama+10, Clinton+7, D+1
NE-02: McCain+12, Trump+17, R+11
NE-03: Obama+1, Trump+8, R+5
NE-04: McCain+31, Trump+51, R+25
NE-05: McCain+41, Trump+58, R+29

In terms of electoral votes, the downtown Omaha vote would be Likely D, and with trends borderline safe at this point. The Omaha suburbs district would still remain as Safe R, at least in the short and medium term.

The southeast Lincoln district might have been winnable for a Dem at some point in a landslide and was narrowly won by Obama in 08 (and might still be winnable?) but it is a very uphill battle.

The other 2 districts would of course be titanium R.