bagelman
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,630
Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.17
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« on: November 11, 2020, 07:03:19 PM » |
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If you were to swap the 06 and 18 midterms so that 06 contests occur in 2018 and vice versa, what contests would flip, turn from narrow to blowout and vice versa, and otherwise change?
In Ohio '06, the GUB and SEN contests switch margins. Sen. Brown crushes his challenger into a fine paste, while Dems win Columbus in a relatively competitive race. The GUB race is nationalized to the benefit of Democrats.
In Ohio '18, Democrats still win Columbus, but the idea of Strickland winning the majority of counties is out the window. Instead he simply loses the southeast by less than usual and wins Hamilton. Senator DeWine has a chance of holding on against challenger Sherrod Brown.
Texas is an interesting state in this scenario.
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