MN 2022 Gov Race Megathread
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Author Topic: MN 2022 Gov Race Megathread  (Read 20850 times)
Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #200 on: May 14, 2022, 12:30:25 PM »
Quote from: LiberalDem19 on May 14, 2022, 12:25:35 PM
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on May 14, 2022, 12:21:27 PM


This may take awhile (60% needed). LOL out Gazelka.

My prediction: Gazelka 15 goes to Qualls

Murphy and Shah probably mostly go to Jenson.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #201 on: May 14, 2022, 12:59:37 PM »
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #202 on: May 14, 2022, 01:28:05 PM »
Shaw drops, endorses Murphy.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #203 on: May 14, 2022, 01:46:08 PM »


OMG. Murphy winning would be HUUUGE upset. No endorsement now most likely IMO.
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sg0508
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« Reply #204 on: May 14, 2022, 01:55:19 PM »
Is the GOP going to win anything down ballot this year? The party simply died in MN over the past 15 years.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #205 on: May 14, 2022, 02:12:25 PM »
Quote from: sg0508 on May 14, 2022, 01:55:19 PM
Is the GOP going to win anything down ballot this year? The party simply died in MN over the past 15 years.

Their best chance would be Jim Schultz for AG. He looks like a pretty generic corporate lawyer who might be able to beat Keith Ellison. Ellison still probably a slight favorite IMO.
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neostassenite31
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« Reply #206 on: May 14, 2022, 02:15:13 PM »
« Edited: May 14, 2022, 02:19:07 PM by neostassenite31 »
Quote from: sg0508 on May 14, 2022, 01:55:19 PM
Is the GOP going to win anything down ballot this year? The party simply died in MN over the past 15 years.

The state senate and state house are both almost guaranteed to end up in GOP hands. Anyone who believe otherwise are either delusional or kidding themselves. Walz is the only thing standing between this crowd and a total takeover in St Paul and turning the state into some version of Alabama/Missouri etc.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #207 on: May 14, 2022, 02:28:17 PM »
Quote from: neostassenite31 on May 14, 2022, 02:15:13 PM
Quote from: sg0508 on May 14, 2022, 01:55:19 PM
Is the GOP going to win anything down ballot this year? The party simply died in MN over the past 15 years.

The state senate and state house are both almost guaranteed to end up in GOP hands. Anyone who believe otherwise are either delusional or kidding themselves. Walz is the only thing standing between this crowd and a total takeover in St Paul and turning the state into some version of Alabama/Missouri etc.

Wrong (And I am neither delusional or kidding myself). Guaranteed? LOL. It's a possibility but it's also a possibility Dems win both. People on this board are way to sure what is going to happen.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #208 on: May 14, 2022, 02:36:01 PM »


Another lead change.
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neostassenite31
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« Reply #209 on: May 14, 2022, 02:43:03 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on May 14, 2022, 02:28:17 PM
Quote from: neostassenite31 on May 14, 2022, 02:15:13 PM
Quote from: sg0508 on May 14, 2022, 01:55:19 PM
Is the GOP going to win anything down ballot this year? The party simply died in MN over the past 15 years.

The state senate and state house are both almost guaranteed to end up in GOP hands. Anyone who believe otherwise are either delusional or kidding themselves. Walz is the only thing standing between this crowd and a total takeover in St Paul and turning the state into some version of Alabama/Missouri etc.

Wrong (And I am neither delusional or kidding myself). Guaranteed? LOL. It's a possibility but it's also a possibility Dems win both. People on this board are way to sure what is going to happen.



I genuinely wish I have your confidence and faith. I know defeatism is not a valid approach to the campaign season, especially since it hasn't even started
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #210 on: May 14, 2022, 03:09:41 PM »
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LiberalDem19
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« Reply #211 on: May 14, 2022, 03:23:05 PM »
https://twitter.com/morningtake/status/1525569989260070913

Murphy might be endorsing Jensen
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #212 on: May 14, 2022, 03:52:04 PM »


Murphy falls under 20% and will have to drop out.
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LiberalDem19
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« Reply #213 on: May 14, 2022, 03:53:06 PM »
https://twitter.com/mbrodkorb/status/1525547044408020994

It's cute that they think Kim Crockett's just gonna drop out
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #214 on: May 14, 2022, 04:10:05 PM »
Murphy endorses Jenson.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #215 on: May 14, 2022, 04:30:23 PM »


Jenson just short. Should get it on the next ballot. Another unforced error by the MN GOP.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #216 on: May 14, 2022, 05:10:13 PM »
Qualls is probably the strongest candidate they have while Jensen is easily one of the weakest
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W
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« Reply #217 on: May 14, 2022, 05:12:18 PM »
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #218 on: May 14, 2022, 05:15:27 PM »
You hardly ever see a candidate just short of endorsement drop. Maybe this isn't over.
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W
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« Reply #219 on: May 14, 2022, 05:16:26 PM »
They're certainly not that democratic, but there is nothing quite like watching a political convention with actual stakes.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #220 on: May 14, 2022, 05:24:18 PM »
Quote from: W on May 14, 2022, 05:16:26 PM
They're certainly not that democratic, but there is nothing quite like watching a political convention with actual stakes.

I have been railing against the power of Minnesota's convention system for 30 years but it sure can be interesting. Democrats often vote against the endorsed candidate but Republicans almost never do and it usually almost clears the field for the convention winner.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #221 on: May 14, 2022, 05:51:49 PM »


And there it is. Jensen wins.
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JMT
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« Reply #222 on: May 14, 2022, 05:54:25 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on May 14, 2022, 05:51:49 PM


And there it is. Jensen wins.

I believe all the candidates previously said they’d abide by the endorsement and drop out if they didn’t win it. Is this true? If so, Jensen will be the GOP nominee.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #223 on: May 14, 2022, 06:03:16 PM »
Quote from: JMT on May 14, 2022, 05:54:25 PM

I believe all the candidates previously said they’d abide by the endorsement and drop out if they didn’t win it. Is this true? If so, Jensen will be the GOP nominee.

Rick Stanek former Hennepin County sheriff skipped the convention and has hinted he will go to the primary (Stanek has been off the trail for a few weeks after an auto accident). Qualls had said he would abide the endorsement but there was some bad blood that developed late in the convention over the Murphy endorsement (long story) so maybe he runs in the primary. It's probable that a some dude or two also joins the primary since anyone with $400 burning a hole in their pocket can file but Jenson is now the prohibitive favorite.
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« Reply #224 on: May 14, 2022, 06:21:08 PM »
Also access to all the internal party data with the endorsement probably means none of these candidates can beat Jensen now. That's not a necessity for established politicians like Walz in 2018 or Dayton in 2010, but none of these guys fit the bill.

Jensen has all but won the nomination.
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