FL-SEN 2022: Nothing to see here

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No, D's should learn from 2020 mistakes that when you have candidates over 50% they won't go down, Cornyn, Rubio, Ernst, Graham all have 50% approvals, it would be a waste of money to take support away from candidates in WI, PA, NC and GA

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden's team wants Val Demmings to run this race after being impressed with her vetting for VP, reportedly.

Val Deming's isn't beating Rubio, let's be real here. Val Deming's won't offset the losses that Biden substained in South Beach to overcome Rubio's appeal to Latinos

RUBIO 55
Val Demings 45

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Wasn't Murphy the conventional wisdom pick?

Why would she do that ? It’s basically a suicide mission which would end her political career (see Murphy)

Yeah, no compelling reason for either to run at the moment (and probably any moment through this cycle). Just sharing what I had read.
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D's targeted FL they thought the PR vote was going D for Statehood, well the Latino vote went R even with PR voting for Trump

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Dems like the Gov race is gonna run a sacrificial lamb candidate to make it look competetive, instead of winning by 20, Rubio and DeSantis will win  by 10 pts.

Dems are gonna have to wait til 2024, to make FL competitive again

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rubio isn't losing when the economy is improving and it's down to 6.6%, now if the economy tanks again, then Rubio is toast

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The GA Runoffs are gonna dictate how the D's Southern Strategy works, if D's sweep the GA races, D's are still viable in the South, I wouldn't underestimate D's in FL 2022 Sen or Gov

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rick Scott is far easier to beat.

You are not going to beat him either.

Don't be so sure, GA Runoffs, if D's win, that will dictate D's if we are still viable in the South.  

D's do need candidates for Senate and James Carville said D's are still viable in 2022, in WI, PA, FL, GA and NC. There wasn't any Senate race in OH and FL in 2020, to get the base out strongly for Biden, that's why Trump won it easily.

DeSantis and Scott only won by 0.5, and Rubio only won by 8, well within range to win them

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It looks like Crist is running for Gov, Deming's would do badly against Rubio and lose by 10 pts. You have to have a special relationship with Cubans and AA want the Cuban Embargo lifted

Crist would be very competitive in a Gov campaign against DeSantis. DeSantis barely beat Gillan

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

AA want the Cuban Embargo lifted

Do they?

Obama tried to lift Cuban Embargo in 2015 but Boehner stopped him

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rubio is gonna win game over

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rubio and DeSantis aren't losing, with that  57% approvals poll, it's best for D's to target OH and NC, Cranley is only 46 yrs old and if the Economy improves, he can be the next Gov, DeWine only won by 3 pts not by 20 and Josh Mandel is Lee Fisher to D's as Lee Fisher was to Rs

NC we only lost by 1.5 and Jeff Jackson wont be hurt with WC females like CUNNINGHAM was due to CUNNINGHAM sex sting.

PPP is headquartered in NC and we will find out soon enough if Jackson has a chance

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/CATargetBot/status/1375945899747106818
Ha. Ha. Ha. HAHAHAHAHAHA

I guess Marco will win by double digits after all.

I wonder how Grayson will do in the primary. In 2016 he won Orange and Osceola, which are part of the district he represented, along with the portion of the panhandle that often votes for protest candidates.

Don't you realize the Election is 500 days from now that's why DeSantis is tied in FL he only beat a Socialisic Afro American Andrew Gillium, he will be a weak R frontrunner for Prez if he survives, Biden will crush him or Noem or Haley with 54 Percent Approvals

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

FL, OH, IA and NC are not safe R states we won them in 2008/12 we will win them again

Our House races are in 50 states not 278, but go ahead and believe they are safe R state and watch us keep Congress next yr running a 50 state not 279 campaign.

Biden is not at 40 Percent approvals like Trump was in 2018

Trump barely won FL by 300 K votes within the margin of error

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I know we aren't there anymore but Rs don't have a monopoly on red states that sometimes vote D, Biden isn't Hillary and neither is Harris.

Don't forget the peak of R dominance in the state Legislatures were in 2016 when Hillary lost due to Gary Johnson

We have a chance with Amy Acton in OH, we have to expand the battleground beyond 278, we have to get to 218 in the House and our House races are in 50 states not 278

PA, WI and NH Senate are going D, we have GA, FL iA and OH as wave insurence, OH or FL or NC can substitute for GA which is a Runoff

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Stephanie Murphy is going to beat Marco Rubio.

Nah, FL-Sen is Safe R in terms of winning chance and Likely R in terms of margin. Recent Dem performances in the state give me little hope this seat his worth targeting, and 2022 for sure is going to be a less Dem-favorable environment than 2018 and 2020 were. For sure this is kind of depressing because Mr. Rubio fully deserves to lose.

It's not safe R, Biden Approvals aren't 40 percent, it's 53 percent, did you see the S Pete's poll that showed DeSantis tied before the Gaetz story

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We will make our Predictions next yr, I will make FL Safe Grayson and CRIST you might not, but I will

That's what Prediction maps are for, we will disagree

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I can definitely see GA and FL splitting their votes for Senate and Prez Warnock and Rubio winning and CRIST and Kemp winning

Gaetz was such a force behind DeSantis it's gonna hurt his Prez ambitions. Hypocrisy with Gaetz calling Gillium a Socialisic Afro American and no Gaetz is in legal trouble

OH can as well Ryan winning and DeWine, but we don't have a Gov Nominee

Afro Americans like Rubio but dislike DeSantis, he is a Limbaugh supporter

AZ and OH split their votes for Prez and Gov and in a midterm it can happen again

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's should not bother to donate to this race, Jackson and Ryan have more to lose than D's in FL

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There can be split voting but 53/47 Senate is gonna be the max and it's gonna be OH, NC and GA, not FL

D's don't need to spend a dime on the Senate race, but CRIST can definitely beat DeSantis

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

OH is the best chance for a pickup honestly, for 53 seats with Tim Ryan, Cheri Beasley and D's in FL are tall tasks.

It's probably gonna be a PVI 3=1 Election anyways in a Biden Midterm, the polls showed a very close race in OH due to Josh Mandel, Lean R

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If D's donate to a Lean R race it should be OH as I said before it's the best chance we have due to Josh Mandel it was a tie in last poll

It may split it's votes between DeWine and Ryan like it did in 2018

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Cheri Beasley is probably the best bet we have, but if Grayson is our nominee, we have a better chance in FL

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Endorsed, FL is becoming more and more like AZ

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Democrats aren't going to win this race, but better Murphy than Grayson.

WE HAVE 500 DAYS TILL THE ELECTION , a blue wave can happen with us leading Generic ballot 47/42

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/axios/status/1392278327629688838?s=21

Image Link

Too early?


Why??? Murphy could potentially be a strong candidate in the future against Scott or something or maybe in 2026 but nooo... She has to go on this vanity run against Rubio. The utter nerve.

BIDEN IS AT 59,PERCENT, USERS ARE BE WRONG WHEN IF THERE IS wave In 500 DAYS WITH A FULL ECONOMY REBOUND

OF COURSE OF THE ECONOMY STAYs  LIKE IT IS WE ARENT GONNA WIN AND LOSE THE H, ELECTION IS 500 DAYS

MCCARTHY DOESN'T DESERVE TO BE SPEAKER