FL-SEN 2022: Nothing to see here

[UWS]

Biden's team wants Val Demmings to run this race after being impressed with her vetting for VP, reportedly.

Val Deming's isn't beating Rubio, let's be real here. Val Deming's won't offset the losses that Biden substained in South Beach to overcome Rubio's appeal to Latinos

RUBIO 55
Val Demings 45

And she's too far-leftist extreme for Florida. She's been selected by Nancy Pelosi to serve as an impeachment manager in Trump's Senate trial, which will likely hurt her in a state that Trump won by 4 and even by an even larger margin than in 2016.

[UWS]

Guy's here are being to pessimistic, Biden losses a state by 4 points and suddenly it's Safe-R and their democrats have no hope?

I think Alan Grayson(Democrats Floridaman) or Charlie Crist(who's looking like he might be drawn out of his seat) might give it a chance. Rubio is vulnerable cause he's a pretty meh senator. I think it's lean-r close t the edge of likley.

St
Another reason why Rubio is quite safe is not only that Trump won FL but also because the GOP flipped FL-26 and FL-27, eliminating potential Dem rivals. And Val Demings is too extreme for FL she served as an impeachment manager un Trump’s senate trial. And we were close from winning FL-13 which could lead to more successful efforts to defeat Crist with maybe former St. Petersburg Mayor Rick Baker.

[UWS]

Not sure what planet "UWS" is posting from but Donna Shalala, who is 79 years old, was not a "potential Dem rival" for the US Senate in 2022.

At least flipping FL-27 makes FL more red, especially southern FL that is crucial to win a statewide race in FL.

[UWS]

Per Wikipedia, Marco Rubio has announced on Facebook that he will run again.

Can any Democrat make this competitive?

Debbie Wasserman Schultz or Corrine Brown

No lol

Debbie Wasserman Schultz would lose by 50 and I'd be right there voting against her.

As for Brown, she has too much baggage, including her felony fraud conviction.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corrine_Brown#Political_controversies

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corrine_Brown#Felony_fraud_conviction

[UWS]

FL, OH, IA and NC are not safe R states we won them in 2008/12 we will win them again

Our House races are in 50 states not 278, but go ahead and believe they are safe R state and watch us keep Congress next yr running a 50 state not 279 campaign.

Biden is not at 40 Percent approvals like Trump was in 2018

Trump barely won FL by 300 K votes within the margin of error

Don’t be so sure. We’re not in 2008/12 anymore. The FL Dems have become so incompetent a bit like the CA GOP that’s why they didn’t win the governorship for 20 years and didn’t manage to beat Rubio in 2016 when he won by high single digits even at a time Obama had an approval rating of above 54 % nationally and 55 % in Florida.

https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/florida-obama-job-approval

[UWS]

https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=8x95

County prediction. Rubio wins by 12-15%.

The moreover that Stephanie Murphy held a patent for women’s softball pants that her husband’s company manufactures in China, which will likely undermine her political ambitions whether it's in the senate primary or in the general election.

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2021/04/08/democrat-rep-stephanie-murphy-holds-patent-softball-pants-husbands-company-manufactures-china/

[UWS]

Cheri Beasley is probably the best bet we have, but if Grayson is our nominee, we have a better chance in FL

Grayson is too socialist for FL. He endorsed Bernie Sanders twice. In the general election, he will be scrutinized for the domestic abuse allegations abuse against him. Not only this, Grayson is too anti-police for FL, no wonder that he accidentally tweeted, quote, « F*** the police » and in 2014 Grayson has also been the author of a bill denying funds for body armors for sheriffs as well as funding for the Defense Department Excess Personal Property Program.

https://clerk.house.gov/evs/2014/roll329.xml

And Grayson even said that ICE should be abolished.

https://floridapolitics.com/archives/271991-alan-grayson-darren-soto-wayne-lienitzky-spread-on-ice-in-political-salsa-cd-9-debate/

[UWS]

She will get buried in the primary by the $$$$$ that Aramis Ayala earned from donations from George Soros who backed Ayala who will likely be helped again by a network of liberal donors.

[UWS]

https://twitter.com/axios/status/1392278327629688838?s=21

Image Link

Too early?


Why??? Murphy could potentially be a strong candidate in the future against Scott or something or maybe in 2026 but nooo... She has to go on this vanity run against Rubio. The utter nerve.

BIDEN IS AT 59,PERCENT, USERS ARE BE WRONG WHEN IF THERE IS wave In 500 DAYS WITH A FULL ECONOMY REBOUND

OF COURSE OF THE ECONOMY STAYs  LIKE IT IS WE ARENT GONNA WIN AND LOSE THE H, ELECTION IS 500 DAYS

MCCARTHY DOESN'T DESERVE TO BE SPEAKER

Even if the economy does that well in FL, people in Florida can attribute it to Governor De Santis’ free enterprise, small government and tax cut policies.

[UWS]

DeSantis is only 6 pts ahead of Crist that isn't a landslide and so was Rubio was over his opponent.

DeSabtis Approvals are no where near where DeWine or Biden Approvals are at 59 percent they are barely 51

Polls are meaningless until 2022 anyways not 2021 but I endorse Crist and Murphy

By 10 percentage points, actually. So stop acting as if Florida was Massachusetts.

https://thecapitolist.com/desantis-posts-strong-approval-in-latest-florida-chamber-poll/amp/?__twitter_impression=true

[UWS]

No Democrat is going to beat Rubio.

Ha, you understimate the power of Crist, obviously the D's campaign in FL depends on Charlie Crist he is very wealthy and speaks Espanol, he almost beat Rick Scott in an R plus 5 Environment, in 2014

Afro Americans despises DeSsntis, Crist and Murphy or Val Deming's are gonna get the share of the vote of Andrew Gillium whom almost won, he lost by .5

Everyone thinks that DeSantis won by a landslide in 2018 but he didnt

I have been going back and forth on OH, NC and FL but an Election isn't over yet, if an Election is decided a yr prior, Scott Brown would have beaten Shaheen, that's why Hassan has a chance still

[UWS]

Thank god Demings decided to go the JKIII route and nip a potentially promisung career in the bud with an impossible senate campaign, I'll always be grateful for that

Underestimate Charlie Crist if you want obviously DeSantis isn't gonna win by 10 points that an R pollster Chamber of Commerce said he was gonna win by, it's a Key Race just like OH and NC, a blue wave doesn't develop a yr prior to Election, otherwise Scott Brown would have beaten Shaheen in 2014, and he lost in An R plus 5 Environment, that's why Hassan has a chance in a Biden majority Prez. We didn't win 33H seats in 2017 we won them on ADS in 2018, anything can happen next yr

It's a tag team between Val DeMings or Murphy and CRIST

With Demings running, we have a chance at beating Murphy in the Democratic primary. They are both from central Florida, thus splitting their constituents there, thus making the primary a mess for the Dems. With Demings as the nominee, she will be exposed as what she is : a socialist who was selected by Nancy Pelosi to serve as an impeachment manager in Trump’s senate trial and thus Rubio wins by high-single digits to low high digits.

If Joe Biden couldn’t win Florida (where he did about as bad as John Kerry did) how can we expect Crist to do so? I got to remind people that it was under Crist’s governorship that Florida was one of only two states along with Maryland to see an increase of unemployment in August 2010, reaching 11.7 % (which was even higher than Ted Strickland’s Ohio that was 48th in the nation in terms of job creation) compared to 9.6 % at the national level. The people of Florida will not let Charlie Crist fail them again by costing their jobs through the promotion of a socialist agenda, higher taxes and regulations and big government.

[UWS]

Enthusiastically endorsed!

With that being said, I'm not that optimistic about her or any Democrat being able to knock off Little Marco, altough he would fully deserve a loss. It most likely clears the Democratic field though. And Demings is one of the best candidates, having risen to national prominence and her background in law enforcement may actually help. I hope she'll be able to target Hispanic voters and turn out the black community.

Biden is leading by double digits against Trump have faith, if that's the case then OH, IA, NC and FL is winnable.

D's must expand the map in order to keep the H.

As I said earlier Rs don't have a monopoly on OH, NC and FL with Minorities and Females vote

I donate to wave insurence seats not seats that we are poised to win anyways, but not nothing big, like I did in past, small donations, I would be silly to do such and the Govt gave 300 bonuses to all the people on Unemployment and left the rest of out.

I donated to Joe Kennedy, Bullock


Rs should be careful about wave insurence and Biden is at 59% and Kelly is up by 10 in AZ and we won KS Gov and KY Gov it's not impossible

Murphy’s path to her party’s nomination has gotten harder with Demings running as they will be disputing the same constituents in center Florida and her moderate positions on immigration (as she supported Kate’s Law and once supported reporting illegal immigrants to ICE until she flip-flopped on that issue) and Iran (she voted against limiting Trump’s military power against Iran) will cost her the nomination. Murphy will also be buried in the primary by the $$$$$ that Aramis Ayala earned from donations from George Soros who backed Ayala who will likely be helped again by a network of liberal donors. So I wouldn’t be surprised if Murphy arrives third instead of second in the primary.

And as I mentioned above, it was under Charlie Crist’s governorship that Florida reached one of its highest unemployment rates in that state’s history and therefore has proven himself to be incompetent in managing Florida’s economy and Floridians will not repeat the same mistake by rehiring Crist. He also has a record of changing his positions issue after issue and neither John Kerry nor Mitt Romney (the two most famous flip-floppers in political history) has succeeded in winning Florida.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FLUR

https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/andrewkaczynski/there-is-almost-nothing-charlie-crist-hasnt-flip-flopped-on

So stop acting as if Florida was Massachusetts.

[UWS]

Rubio is Vulnerable they sent me a poll showing Rubio only beating Grayson 47/42

56 Senators c'mon let's go PR and DC Statehood next session of Congress 118th

Speaker Mccarthy plse, that's why the D's are up 10 pts on Generic ballot, the Rs are blocking Everything like the Commission and they just objected to a bipartisan bill of Ernst and Gillibrand on sexual harrassment in military, the Filibuster needs to go

Grayson hasn't yet been scrutinized. He's one of the most anti-police and most pro-open border members of Congress. He accidently tweeted "F*** the police!", authored a 2014 bill called the "Grayson Amendment" that would have denied funds for body armors for sheriffs and he said during his 2018 run for Congress that ICE should be abolished, which is radical and dangerous at a time crime rate is rising.

https://clerk.house.gov/evs/2014/roll329.xml

https://floridapolitics.com/archives/271991-alan-grayson-darren-soto-wayne-lienitzky-spread-on-ice-in-political-salsa-cd-9-debate/

And Grayson is too socialist for Florida. He endorsed Bernie Sanders twice, a man who praised Castro's Cuba as a model, which will deepen even further his Cuban-American support deficit.

Grayson would definitely lose by double digits in the general election.

[UWS]

Rubio is still ahead but DeSantis and Rubio aren't winning by 10 more like 5

Yes they do, or at least by high-single digits. Inflation is rising and Val Demings voted 100 % of the time with Nancy Pelosi (not 80 %, not 90 % but 100 %) and her socialist agenda. She is just too left-wing for a state that is trending to the right.

https://projects.propublica.org/represent/members/D000627-val-demings/compare-votes/P000197-nancy-pelosi/116

[UWS]

Demings is just another puppet of the Defund the Police movement as she supported the Minneapolis City Council's proposal to defund the police, calling it a reasonable proposal. In fact, last year multiple members of the Minneapolis City Council said they would "begin the process of ending (not only defunding but dismantling) the Minneapolis Police Department," Demings said in a CBS News interview that she believed "the council is being very thoughtful in terms of looking at all of the services that police provide." This is not thoughtful, this is radical, dangerous and uncaring and lead to more crime, murders and drugs.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/rubio-demings-socialism

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8kSbrD78O78

That's why Florida will stay red and I wouldn't be surprised if Rubio does even better than he did in his last senate race in 2016.

[UWS]

Bc she's basically the antithesis (or closest) of a Democratic candidate could be to the GOP's talking points (defund the police, socialism, etc.)

How can you vote 100 % of the time with Nancy Pelosi and 94 % of the time with the Squad (including 95 % with Ayanna Pressley) and not be a socialist? That kind of record shows how close it is to socialism.

https://projects.propublica.org/represent/members/D000627-val-demings/compare-votes/P000197-nancy-pelosi/116

No wonder that despite the fact that Florida has the 9th highest gas taxes in the country and the 8th state taxes as percentage of gas price (17.8 %) and that gas prices climbed at their highest rate since 2014 ($2.99), Demings supports the Green New Deal co-sponsored by Alexandria Occasio-Cortez and Kamala Harris that would cost $2 trillion, raise taxes and regulations, ban fracking and abolish fossil fuel and crush American energy. And Biden's decision to stop oil drilling in ANWR will worsen the situation.

https://247wallst.com/special-report/2021/01/28/states-with-the-lowest-and-highest-gas-taxes-2/10/

https://www.nrcc.org/2021/05/11/gas-prices-highest-since-2014/

https://gasprices.aaa.com/gas-prices-jump-six-cents-on-week-likely-to-climb-higher-with-major-pipeline-shutdown/

https://demings.house.gov/media/press-releases/rep-demings-announces-support-economic-renewal-agenda

There clearly isn't any better word to describe that kind of record and philosophy : socialism.

[UWS]

Bc she's basically the antithesis (or closest) of a Democratic candidate could be to the GOP's talking points (defund the police, socialism, etc.)

Err.... Val Demings is a reliable liberal and literally served as House impeachment manager in Trump's impeachment trial. She’s very easy to paint as some out-of-touch partisan and would have close to zero crossover appeal in a GE. The idea that Republicans won’t be able to paint her as a career politician who embodies "GOP talking points" is ludicrous.

The only worthwhile attack the GOP has right now that made a difference was socialism and crime, not really 'career politician'. And Demings is clearly not a socialist, and her police record shows you can't hit her on crime, really.

To say she has 'zero crossover appeal' in the GE is ridiculous

There is a difference between what she does in Orlando and what she does in Congress.

[UWS]

Bc she's basically the antithesis (or closest) of a Democratic candidate could be to the GOP's talking points (defund the police, socialism, etc.)

Err.... Val Demings is a reliable liberal and literally served as House impeachment manager in Trump's impeachment trial. She’s very easy to paint as some out-of-touch partisan and would have close to zero crossover appeal in a GE. The idea that Republicans won’t be able to paint her as a career politician who embodies "GOP talking points" is ludicrous.

The only worthwhile attack the GOP has right now that made a difference was socialism and crime, not really 'career politician'. And Demings is clearly not a socialist, and her police record shows you can't hit her on crime, really.

To say she has 'zero crossover appeal' in the GE is ridiculous

There is a difference between what she does in Orlando and what she does in Congress.

Biden has a 60% RV Approvals, he didn't have that Approvals when he was running as a candidate and we lost FL by 3%, those are Approvals that Trump can only dream, the same Approvals Bush W had in 2002/ when Rs netted seats after 9/11

That 60 % is nationwide, not statewide. And actually, Biden has an approval rating of just 45 % in Florida.

https://www.fau.edu/newsdesk/articles/biden-approval-rating.php

So I'm sorry to tell you this : Florida is not Massachusetts.

[UWS]

Bc she's basically the antithesis (or closest) of a Democratic candidate could be to the GOP's talking points (defund the police, socialism, etc.)

Err.... Val Demings is a reliable liberal and literally served as House impeachment manager in Trump's impeachment trial. She’s very easy to paint as some out-of-touch partisan and would have close to zero crossover appeal in a GE. The idea that Republicans won’t be able to paint her as a career politician who embodies "GOP talking points" is ludicrous.

The only worthwhile attack the GOP has right now that made a difference was socialism and crime, not really 'career politician'. And Demings is clearly not a socialist, and her police record shows you can't hit her on crime, really.

To say she has 'zero crossover appeal' in the GE is ridiculous

There is a difference between what she does in Orlando and what she does in Congress.

Biden has a 60% RV Approvals, he didn't have that Approvals when he was running as a candidate and we lost FL by 3%, those are Approvals that Trump can only dream, the same Approvals Bush W had in 2002/ when Rs netted seats after 9/11

That 60 % is nationwide, not statewide. And actually, Biden has an approval rating of just 45 % in Florida.

https://www.fau.edu/newsdesk/articles/biden-approval-rating.php

So I'm sorry to tell you this : Florida is not Massachusetts.

The Election is 500 days from now and we haven't seen one Sen poll in FL

Yes there has been one. Though it didn't include Demings, it showed Rubio beating  Stephanie Murphy by 10. And Murphy likely would have been a stronger candidate than Demings. So if Murphy couldn't beat Rubio in a poll, how can we expect Demings to do so?

https://floridapolitics.com/archives/428393-sunburn-the-morning-read-of-whats-hot-in-florida-politics-5-14-21/

[UWS]

Bc she's basically the antithesis (or closest) of a Democratic candidate could be to the GOP's talking points (defund the police, socialism, etc.)

Err.... Val Demings is a reliable liberal and literally served as House impeachment manager in Trump's impeachment trial. She’s very easy to paint as some out-of-touch partisan and would have close to zero crossover appeal in a GE. The idea that Republicans won’t be able to paint her as a career politician who embodies "GOP talking points" is ludicrous.

The only worthwhile attack the GOP has right now that made a difference was socialism and crime, not really 'career politician'. And Demings is clearly not a socialist, and her police record shows you can't hit her on crime, really.

To say she has 'zero crossover appeal' in the GE is ridiculous

There is a difference between what she does in Orlando and what she does in Congress.

Biden has a 60% RV Approvals, he didn't have that Approvals when he was running as a candidate and we lost FL by 3%, those are Approvals that Trump can only dream, the same Approvals Bush W had in 2002/ when Rs netted seats after 9/11

That 60 % is nationwide, not statewide. And actually, Biden has an approval rating of just 45 % in Florida.

https://www.fau.edu/newsdesk/articles/biden-approval-rating.php

So I'm sorry to tell you this : Florida is not Massachusetts.

The Election is 500 days from now and we haven't seen one Sen poll in FL

Yes there has been one. Though it didn't include Demings, it showed Rubio beating  Stephanie Murphy by 10. And Murphy likely would have been a stronger candidate than Demings. So if Murphy couldn't beat Rubio in a poll, how can we expect Demings to do so?

https://floridapolitics.com/archives/428393-sunburn-the-morning-read-of-whats-hot-in-florida-politics-5-14-21/

Demings will drive strong black turnout.  Plus, she might be moderate enough to appeal to SEFL Latinos, and her law-and-order credentials will keep her from getting destroyed by white voters.

Romney's business experience and credentials haven't been enough neither to win the Republican nomination in 2008 (as McCain was more trusted than Romney by primary voters who selected the economy as the most important issue) nor to defeat Obama in a time of economic sluggish, stagnation and uncetainty in 2012.

And Demings' attempts to appeal among Hispanic voters will be undermined by her vote in favor of Kate's Law. In addition, the Iranian Navy has recently sent two ships to cross the Atlantic apparently to reach Venezuela. There are only two reasons why an Iranian warship would travel half a world away to make a port call in Venezuela : to deliver military cargo they have sold to Maduro’s socialist regime or to test the U.S. by conducting military exercises with the Maduro regime. Of course that is not news that Iran is the world's state-sponsor but it also indicates how much Maduro's regime is a threat.

https://www.orlandoweekly.com/Blogs/archives/2017/06/30/stephanie-murphy-and-val-demings-just-voted-for-an-incredibly-terrible-anti-immigration-bill

https://www.politico.com/news/2021/06/02/iranian-navy-ships-atlantic-by-thursday-491600

https://www.businessinsider.com/iranian-navy-ships-nearing-atlantic-us-provocation-biden-report-2021-6

Yet, Demings supports the Iran Nuclear deal that handed billions of dollars to a country that is the world’s largest sponsor of terror but also deals with countries threatening our national security interests like the Maduro's socialist regime. That will likely cost Demings the Venezuelan-American vote in Florida, especially in crucial areas like Miami and Tampa (both areas that have a significant population of Venezuelan Americans) and I wouldn't be surprised if Republicans run ads both in English and Spanish attacking Demings on that just like Venezuelan-American voters were a factor of the improvement of Trump's showing in Florida as Trump's handling of the Maduro threat turned an important share of Venezuela Americans into Republicans.

https://nacla.org/venezuelan-american-trump-voters

That explains why postmortem in Democratic strongholds like Doral, the city with the largest Venezuelan-born population in the country, showed a 41.4 percent swing toward Trump. In fact, Trump eked out a 1.4 percent win in the city in 2020 after having lost by 40 percent to Hillary Clinton in 2016 when she obtained 52 percent of the votes.

https://www.miamiherald.com/article246978452.html

[UWS]

How can you vote 100 % of the time with Nancy Pelosi ... and not be a socialist?

Because Nancy Pelosi is not a socialist. Hope this helps

You neglected the fact that Demings voted 94 % of the time with the Squad that includes notably Alexandria Occasio-Cortez who is a socialist. That’s why she supported the Green New Deal co-sponsored by AOC and Kamala Harris despite the fact that Florida has the 9th highest gas taxes and we’re seeing a rise of national gas taxes at the highest rate since 2014, a situation that can only worsen with Biden’s decision to stop oil drilling in ANWR and we don’t need to add to that problem through a deal that would cost $2 trillion, ban fracking and abolish fossil fuel.

[UWS]

Hispanic voters, that are key to victory in Florida, are becoming Republican as we saw recently in McAllen, Texas in a city that has an 85 % Hispanic population in a county that voted 58 % Biden and they elected a Republican mayor. That is mainly because of Hispanics’ opposition to socialism and support to free enterprise and because of the problems caused by the current border crisis. And that's why Hispanic voters will help put Rubio over the top

[UWS]

Hispanic voters, that are key to victory in Florida, are becoming Republican as we saw recently in McAllen, Texas in a city that has an 85 % Hispanic population in a county that voted 58 % Biden and they elected a Republican mayor. That is mainly because of Hispanics’ opposition to socialism and support to free enterprise and because of the problems caused by the current border crisis. And that's why Hispanic voters will help put Rubio over the top

You're seriously going to unironically use a low turnout (12%) Saturday election in another state, in a part of said state that is infamous for low turnout even in regular elections, as part of a serious argument? Come on, you're better than this.


Meanwhile in actual news:

https://twitter.com/jmartnyt/status/1403119295794720769?s=21

Hispanics in Florida are becoming even more Republican than others across the country.

Cuban-Americans, of course, support Rubio. And Venezuelan Americans, for example, are turning Republican due to Trump's handling of the Maduro threat.

https://nacla.org/venezuelan-american-trump-voters

That's why postmortem in Democratic strongholds like Doral, the city with the largest Venezuelan-born population in the country, showed a 41.4 percent swing toward Trump. In fact, Trump eked out a 1.4 percent win in the city in 2020 after having lost by 40 percent to Hillary Clinton in 2016 when she obtained 52 percent of the votes. And that's why Miami-Dade voted Biden by just 6 or 7.

https://www.miamiherald.com/article246978452.html

And money doesn't really matter anymore. Beto O'Rourke outraised Ted Cruz and he lost. Jaime Harrison outraised Lindsey Graham and he failed miserably by losing by 10.

[UWS]

Hispanic voters, that are key to victory in Florida, are becoming Republican as we saw recently in McAllen, Texas in a city that has an 85 % Hispanic population in a county that voted 58 % Biden and they elected a Republican mayor. That is mainly because of Hispanics’ opposition to socialism and support to free enterprise and because of the problems caused by the current border crisis. And that's why Hispanic voters will help put Rubio over the top

You're seriously going to unironically use a low turnout (12%) Saturday election in another state, in a part of said state that is infamous for low turnout even in regular elections, as part of a serious argument? Come on, you're better than this.

Hispanics in Florida are becoming even more Republican than others across the country.

Cuban-Americans, of course, support Rubio. And Venezuelan Americans, for example, are turning Republican due to Trump's handling of the Maduro threat.

That's why postmortem in Democratic strongholds like Doral, the city with the largest Venezuelan-born population in the country, showed a 41.4 percent swing toward Trump. In fact, Trump eked out a 1.4 percent win in the city in 2020 after having lost by 40 percent to Hillary Clinton in 2016 when she obtained 52 percent of the votes. And that's why Miami-Dade voted Biden by just 6 or 7.

And money doesn't really matter anymore. Beto O'Rourke outraised Ted Cruz and he lost. Jaime Harrison outraised Lindsey Graham and he failed miserably by losing by 10.

Tell me, how many Cubans or Venezuelans live in McAllen, Texas?

If even Hispanics outside Florida who usually are more liberal than Cubans and Hispanics elected a Republican Mayor, then you can realize that Cubans and Venezuelan Americans will vote more to the right of these Hispanics in Southern Texas as they usually do.