FL-SEN 2022: Nothing to see here

[Lambsbread]

Nothing to see here. Likely R. Please don't waste a ton of money on this @ DSCC

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Well, at least that means Demings will be out of Congress next year.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Nothing to see here. Likely R. Please don't waste a ton of money on this @ DSCC

Our Campaign for Senate is totally dependant on Charlie Crist and if he can gain momentum in Gov race,  if Elections were decided a yr before the Election Scott Brown would be Senator, He was also leading Shaheen just like Sununu is leading Hassan.

[2016]

Demings will lose big! Rubio needs to make this entire Election about Demings being an Impeachment Manager.

Impeachment Managers usually don't fare very well in Florida see Bill McCollum who was an Impeachment Manager in the Clinton Trail.

[2016]

Nothing to see here. Likely R. Please don't waste a ton of money on this @ DSCC

Our Campaign for Senate is totally dependant on Charlie Crist and if he can gain momentum in Gov race,  if Elections were decided a yr before the Election Scott Brown would be Senator, He was also leading Shaheen just like Sununu is leading Hassan.

LOL, this is totally incorrect. Scott Brown NEVER EVER led a single Poll against Shaheen until October 2014.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Nothing to see here. Likely R. Please don't waste a ton of money on this @ DSCC

.
Nobody is making you donate, but D's need some wave insurence states due to fact Tester is pulling a Sinema and Manchin and against Filibuster reform, we may need 53 not 52 votes in order to pass DC Statehood,
 
We are so close to DC Statehood and it should be passed this term but Manchin wants to make it a Constitutional Amendment

I have 2016 on ignore, he doesn't know anything about blue waves, like Scott said ignore him

[beesley]

Impeachment Managers usually don't fare very well in Florida see Bill McCollum who was an Impeachment Manager in the Clinton Trail.

Was this a serious take or sarcasm? I agree that Demings wouldn't get much/any crossover support but that has to do with being a standard Democrat, not an impeachment manager.

[2016]

LOL,
The notion by Olawakandi that 2022 will be a "Blue Wave" is just downright obscure fantasy!

The Unemployment could be beyond 10 % once people finally starting to look for work after the Unemployment Benefits run out.

[2016]

Impeachment Managers usually don't fare very well in Florida see Bill McCollum who was an Impeachment Manager in the Clinton Trail.

Was this a serious take or sarcasm? I agree that Demings wouldn't get much/any crossover support but that has to do with being a standard Democrat, not an impeachment manager.

Demings is a Socialist. All of them in Florida are. In fact the entire Country is run by a Socialist.

[Illini Moderate]

Impeachment Managers usually don't fare very well in Florida see Bill McCollum who was an Impeachment Manager in the Clinton Trail.

Was this a serious take or sarcasm? I agree that Demings wouldn't get much/any crossover support but that has to do with being a standard Democrat, not an impeachment manager.

Demings is a Socialist. All of them in Florida are. In fact the entire Country is run by a Socialist.

How exactly are Joe Biden and Val Demmings socialists? Have they advocated for community take over of the means of production at some point? I must have missed it!

[Sir Mohamed]

Didn't expect such a high profile Dem challenging Rubio.

With some caution: Likely R -> Lean R. But closer to Likly than Tilt.

[Roronoa D. Law]

What a waste. I really liked Demmings.

[Suburbia]

What a waste. I really liked Demmings.

This...she should have waited to oust Scott in a presidential year, Scott is more vulnerable than Rubio.

Rubio will win by 5-9 points, it is Lean R for now....could be interesting

[Sir Mohamed]

What a waste. I really liked Demmings.

This...she should have waited to oust Scott in a presidential year, Scott is more vulnerable than Rubio.

Rubio will win by 5-9 points, it is Lean R for now....could be interesting

I'm not fully convinced Scott is a much easier target, given his electoral history. There's a good chance Voldemort succeeds again, even if Biden or Harris win the presidential election nationwide.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

No Democrat is going to beat Rubio.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

There’s no harm in running a good candidate here and I’ll never understand why Atlas seems to think it’s bad strategy to run strong candidates in as many races as possible.  If nothing else, it tends to boost down-ballot base turnout and gives good wave/scandal insurance.

[Suburbia]

What percentage of the Latino vote does Demings get?

Patrick Murphy won 50% of the Latino vote, to Rubio's 48%....

Does Rubio win the Latino vote overall against Demings?

https://www.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls/florida/senate

Rubio probably wins a lot of police union endorsements, even if Demings was a former cop, the FLGOP will run the "Defund the Police" thing to get Boomservatives and others to vote, especially in The Villages, etc.

Demings probably gets Black police union endorsements and maybe Latino police union endorsements.....

But an element of the Democratic base has grown increasingly critical of law enforcement, and that could be a challenge for Demings because of her background. James dismissed the concern, saying young and progressive voters “aren’t really anti-police. They’re against police brutality.”

Still, Sink said Demings might have “some explaining to do.”

https://www.politico.com/news/2021/05/18/demings-running-for-senate-rubio-489137

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

No Democrat is going to beat Rubio.

Ha, you understimate the power of Crist, obviously the D's campaign in FL depends on Charlie Crist he is very wealthy and speaks Espanol, he almost beat Rick Scott in an R plus 5 Environment, in 2014

Afro Americans despises DeSsntis, Crist and Murphy or Val Deming's are gonna get the share of the vote of Andrew Gillium whom almost won, he lost by .5

Everyone thinks that DeSantis won by a landslide in 2018 but he didnt

I have been going back and forth on OH, NC and FL but an Election isn't over yet, if an Election is decided a yr prior, Scott Brown would have beaten Shaheen, that's why Hassan has a chance still

[Real Texan Politics]

https://www.politico.com/news/2021/05/18/demings-running-for-senate-rubio-489137

Val Deming's to run for Senate instead of Gov

So that practically makes the dem primary for gov a two way race between Crist and Fried.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

What a waste. I really liked Demmings.

This...she should have waited to oust Scott in a presidential year, Scott is more vulnerable than Rubio.

Rubio will win by 5-9 points, it is Lean R for now....could be interesting

I'm not fully convinced Scott is a much easier target, given his electoral history. There's a good chance Voldemort succeeds again, even if Biden or Harris win the presidential election nationwide.

Sir Mohammed doesn't believe in blue waves we didn't win 33H seats in 2017, I keep saying this over and over again, we won them on ADS IN FALL OF 2018

We are still in 2021/ not 2022, a yr prior to Election

[Wormless Gourd]

Are there FL progressives excited for Demings or Murphy?

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Unlike Gillum, one of the most progressive candidates ever nominated by the state party for governor, Demings is more moderate in tone and policy, James said, “so Republicans can’t call her a socialist.”

Lol.

Nobody cares about a candidates "moderate tone", let alone their opponents.

[SWE]

Thank god Demings decided to go the JKIII route and nip a potentially promisung career in the bud with an impossible senate campaign, I'll always be grateful for that

[Donerail]

What’s interesting is that both Demmings and Murphy are from the same region. I wonder if this opens the door for a prominent South Florida politician to win the primary by consolidating the region in a split field - no idea who that might be and don’t know if one is even contemplating running. One of the major reasons Gwen Graham lost that ‘18 primary was due to abysmal performance in South Florida. Regional dynamics and investment do matter in the state. I’ve lived in Seminole county (Murphy’s backyard) and Miami-Dade and these places really are very different on many social and political dimensions.

The difficulty here is that I struggle to imagine a candidate who can consolidate "South Florida" — South Florida is internally split on so many of those "social and political dimensions" that one candidate can't possibly hope to cover all of them. What plays among Miami Cubans may not play w/ Haitians or retirees in Boca. In the absence of another black candidate, for instance, Demings should be able to win Lauderdale Lakes even if a "south Florida candidate" gets in, just like how Gillum was able to run up the score there despite Levine being from Miami.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Thank god Demings decided to go the JKIII route and nip a potentially promisung career in the bud with an impossible senate campaign, I'll always be grateful for that

Underestimate Charlie Crist if you want obviously DeSantis isn't gonna win by 10 points that an R pollster Chamber of Commerce said he was gonna win by, it's a Key Race just like OH and NC, a blue wave doesn't develop a yr prior to Election, otherwise Scott Brown would have beaten Shaheen in 2014, and he lost in An R plus 5 Environment, that's why Hassan has a chance in a Biden majority Prez. We didn't win 33H seats in 2017 we won them on ADS in 2018, anything can happen next yr

It's a tag team between Val DeMings or Murphy and CRIST