FL-SEN 2022: Nothing to see here

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I won't donate another nickel to Ds they raise so much money but again, just like last time they can't give us another stimulus check and people STILL NEED HELP

WBROOKS AND LANDSLIDE LYNDON SAID HEGAR WAS GONNA BEAT CORNYN ABD DEMINGS IS 20 PTS BEHIND, SHE ISN'T AHEAD

DS ARE GONNA PERFORM WHERE BIDEN APPROVALS ARE AND HIS APPROVALS IN RASSY ARE 50/49% NOT ENOUGH TO WIN FL

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a 304 map, Rassy Approvals show a 51/49% I don't know why wbrooks keep promoting these fundraising numbers, I don't care about it, due my situation

He posted HEGAR numbers along with Landslide Lyndon and said she would beat Cornyn

Unless VR passed, Rs are a lock for the H loss seats in IA, IS and D's will win 52/48 S and 291 Govs Winning MA, NH, AZ loosing KS


It's gonna be Reverse of 2018 DH, RS but identical Govs
RH, DS and 291 Govs

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

2016 believes those fake polls that showed DeSantis up by 60/40%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We already know Demings won't win unless it's a blue wave, and as long as Biden Approvals are mediocre, but it's not impossible, DeSantis came back during debated from six pts down against Gillium

Otherwise it's a 304 map and I haven't even seen Demings that much

You Govv has it 45/50% Approvals, I doubt that due to our leads in Cali and VA, if Biden winds up at 50/45 it's a 304 map, like Last time, but if it's more than that we have a chance

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

IGNORED Rs are trailing by nine pts in CO, AZ, PA and lost by a landslide in CA and VA by 5 pts and you think it's 2914, WE HAVE 14NTHS TIL THE ELECTION

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

DeSantis and Rubio easily gonna win, they handled Surfside well and DeSantis is running with Cuban Rubio unlike he ran with Scott last time

It doesn't matter, Biden doesn't need FL to win in 2024 ANYWAYS

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://news.yahoo.com/dems-anti-rubio-warrior-val-073348131.html



As I have repeadily said unlike on the 2924 board they recycle the same 2016/202o maps thinks 2016 Last forever

FL, NC and OH ,🟣🟣🟣 but Rs don't want to hear that because it means DC Statehood, just like MI, WI and PA are 🟣🟣🟣

Biden won OH, NC and FL with Obama 2008/12 and Demings and Ryan down bye 4

Guess what Ayotte, Baker, Steele, Craig can win and Walker, Hobbs Kelly of KS can win too, watch out for Michael Steele

PARTISAN maps are not likely in Midterms that's why Quinn lost in 2014

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

They can win, yes. Is it likely? Not at all. Sorry, king.

Upsets are possible

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

FL polling has been flawed for a while. And even if a poll shows him slightly ahead in the race 4 prez, it means nothing that early. Classic OC overreaction to one poll.

Both FL-Sen and Gov are Likely R.

What OH, FL and NC as I have said many times are permanently red states, okay, okay, okay when 2022 maps as I have said many times you can put FL red on your Map I will put FL, NC, OG and to make you mad put IA and MO all going blue..


WE THOUGHT THE SAME THING IN 2012 WHEJ WE WON oH,, FL twice they were permanently Blue state we were wrong


OH, FL, OhH ARENT PERMANENT RED STATES AS I HAVE SAID REPEAT MYSELF OVER AND OVER AND OVEE AGAIN

PREZ JOHNSON BELIEVES BAKER CANT LOSE BUT STEELE CAMT WIN


MIDTERMS ARE LESS PARTISAN THAN PREZ ELECTION

PBOWER2A WHOM IS A MODERATOR SAID OH, NC and FL aren't permanent too

But, you make your 2022/ the way you want and I will make my 2022/ maps the way I want just like S019 says Ryan can't win guess when won in 2018/ OH in a plus 10R state Brown won by 6

What happens if Craig wins, FL replaces MI in EC votes

HAVE A NICE DAY,  I know you don't stay long on here 😁😁😁

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am not speaking out that much against 3 used but still my mom always said we can have Mixed elections

The 304 map isn't the end all be all, Muhammad Child and Prez Johnson are following Election Guy, ALL HAIL TO THE 304 MAP

CRAIG, STEELE, LEPAGE CAN WIN WHILE CRIST, VAL, TIM RYAN CHERI BEASLEY CAN WIN, that's how we are gonna get DC STATEHOOD AND Keep H, LOL TX, NC, GA AND FL HAVE Been SPL VOTING since we won 40 Seats in a H, and it can happen in a D plus 5 election too

PAT QUINN AND UDALL LOST ON 2014/304 MAP ISNT THE END ALL BE ALL, LOL

You can post your own random maps in the Post random map thread too

But, Prez Johnson blanketed statement about Crist and Demings losing was silly, you can't make a Prediction like that with a yr to go in an Election, and he believes Charlie Baker can win in a D wave ELECTION, Charlie Baker hasn't even committed to running yet

Ben Downing can easily win

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

FL polling has been flawed for a while. And even if a poll shows him slightly ahead in the race 4 prez, it means nothing that early. Classic OC overreaction to one poll.

Both FL-Sen and Gov are Likely R.

What OH, FL and NC as I have said many times are permanently red states, okay, okay, okay when 2022 maps as I have said many times you can put FL red on your Map I will put FL, NC, OG and to make you mad put IA and MO all going blue..


WE THOUGHT THE SAME THING IN 2012 WHEJ WE WON oH,, FL twice they were permanently Blue state we were wrong


OH, FL, OhH ARENT PERMANENT RED STATES AS I HAVE SAID REPEAT MYSELF OVER AND OVER AND OVEE AGAIN

PREZ JOHNSON BELIEVES BAKER CANT LOSE BUT STEELE CAMT WIN


MIDTERMS ARE LESS PARTISAN THAN PREZ ELECTION

PBOWER2A WHOM IS A MODERATOR SAID OH, NC and FL aren't permanent too

But, you make your 2022/ the way you want and I will make my 2022/ maps the way I want just like S019 says Ryan can't win guess when won in 2018/ OH in a plus 10R state Brown won by 6

What happens if Craig wins, FL replaces MI in EC votes

HAVE A NICE DAY,  I know you don't stay long on here 😁😁😁

He has spoken.

I must also add Prez Johnson and Muhammad believes they're never wrong, but theybwill be wrong on Election night if any wave develops and Baker doesn't runs it he loses to Ben Downing

Markey that Prez Johnson endorsed got lucky die to AOC endorsing him, he needed a Socialist to bail him out and a female ha, Ha

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

FL is an R 3 state if nothing else Rubio and DeSantis will win by 3pts it's not a D yr it's a Neutral Environment

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Will you stop with this, Olawakandi.

When does your algorithm reset next? Because this is getting old. Bring the new material already!

Florida Senate is probably winnable, Ohio is gone though, racist, uneducated Appalachian whites aren't coming back anytime soon.

The only Democrat to get a majority of the vote in Ohio since 1964 was a guy named Barack Obama and he did it twice

This doesn't change the fact that Democrats are extremely unlikely to win back Ohio with how much they've fallen in Appalachia.

It does disapprove the reason that Democrats have lost Ohio is due to racism

Well racism works in many ways, and ultimately the latest push by Republicans for historical revisionism and against police reform shows this. There were absolutely racist people who voted for Obama. But what Obama's presidency also did was accelerate white resentment in America, this combined with the Democrats becoming "woke" or whatever, left an electorate full of energized racists that was likely to vote Republican.

Huh, Republicans are far more liberal on the issue of police reform/criminal justice reform than they were 10-15 years ago. Even supporting stuff like the first step act in 2010 would have gotten you laughed out of the room as a "bleeding heart liberal" in the GOP then . This idea the GOP has gotten more right wing on social/cultural issues then they were 10 years ago left alone 15 years ago(other than immigration) is laughably false. The Overton window has just moved so far left on those issues, that Republicans taking Obama's positions from 2013/14 on many issues are considered super right wing now and the reason the Democrats have lost so many voters is due to how far left they have moved since 2014.


By the way not only have Democrats lost support among WWC since then but among Hispanics, Asians and even African Americans.

Newsflash we still have a COVID CRISIS HOW MUCH WAS TRUMP APPROVALS WHEN HE LEFT OFFICE AT HEIGHT of COVID 37.5 PERCENTAGE

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's are expected to lose OH, IA, TX and NC it's best to donate to Warnock and BARNES

The only way we win Red States is if Biden stays above 50,0thats because we win a 303/235 map with Biden at 50/45 and 44% is the new 50%


Biden is underwater on all the red states, he is even in Blue states and GA and LA are runoff states so if a D us under 50 as long as we can hold the R to 49% it goes to a runoff and we can win a Runoff


We can win red District I'm red states that's why even in this Environment it's not automatic 25 net gain for Rs but winning a Gov or Senate race in a red state is gonna be difficult it was expected that Beasley was a top recruit and she is losing by 7


Barnes and Warnock abd Abrams or Chambers aren't DOA but Deming's and Beasley are it's easier for Blk men to get elected Sen anyways Cory Booker, Harris ce from California


That's why it's silly to say Barnes is DOA Ron Johnson won by 200K votes like Toomey, Rubio, Grassley and Portmam won by 2M


Do users know what 200K votes are , apparently not,we get 175K out 250K Provision ballots, Provisions ballots gave us WI, PA, MI alone in 2020 they are late breaking

That's why R nut maps are silly the 303 map is there for us it can be a 218DH 53/47D S and we get DC Statehood

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://andoverpoll.com/state/florida/
Phillips Academy has Demings up1

FL is a battlefield state

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Good news we have to win FL, NC, OH

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rubio will win, and only by slightly less than DeSantis.

There is 15 PERCENT Blk and 26 percent Latino and certainly alot of females that is not true
.
There are many Minorities in the state that are poor too that don't vote R

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Survey done for EMILY’s List says Val Demings and Marco Rubio are tied

EMILY’s List — a national group supporting pro abortion rights candidates — released a poll showing Democratic U.S. Rep. Val Demings and Republican U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio tied in Florida’s 2022 U.S. Senate contest.

The poll, done by Change Research, a Democratic polling firm out of California, finds both candidates drew 46% in a survey of likely Florida voters, with 7% saying they are unsure and 2% saying they would not vote.

The poll was shared exclusively with Florida Politics.

https://floridapolitics.com/archives/546419-survey-done-for-emilys-list-says-val-demings-and-marco-rubio-are-tied/


Most interesting: "Rubio is underperforming with white voters, especially white and Republican women.There is a12-point gap between Rubio’s margin and Trump’s margin with white women in this survey (+5Rubio v. +17 Trump), and that gap is 15 points with Republican women (+80 Rubio v. +15 Trump)."

Ahh yes white women don’t quite trust Marco. What they really want is a nice republican like Trump or DeSantis

Lol D's, like BIDEN win the PVI of women 55(45% Biden did Kerry, Hillary and Gore tied among White Women
 
.Obama ran with Biden in 2008/12 too and Obama won FL

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We are doing so well in FL, OH, NC, and PA that even if lose the H we will have 53 Senators as wave insurance for 24 PA, NC, FL, OH equals 53 without GA Runoffs

We will see next W what MQK has on Barnes even if Johnson is narrowly ahead it's gonna be Barnes or Johnson up 47/43 and Evers up 49/45 on Michels

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Steve Konraki has FL, NC SEN as Tossups and WI and PA, AZ and NV

There are 2 viul D and 5 vul R Sen/GOV
KELLY, OR D GOV
DUNLEAVY, AZ, KEMP MD, MA R GOV

KELLY, WARNOCK D SEN
RUBIO, NC, OH, PA, JOHNSON R SEN


We can get a 303 map GOV and FL, NC and OH SEN and who knows about LA

Biden isn't at 42% he's at 47/52 approval in the Rassy polls

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

At least Demmings campaign seems competent comapred to Christ. A lot of her ads are good because they fight back against things like defund the police and higher taxes without playing the moderate card that'd turn off a lot of progressives.

Still likely won't be enoguh for her to win but I think she'll keep the Senate race closer than the Governors race.

 
Looks like you're u're Dooming you have an R nut map 54 R seats aren't gonna happen Demings is more likely to win than Rs getting 54 Seats

Politician and Election Guy are gone they had 55R seats

Even Xing and S019 changed their maps no D has Rs winning 54 seats

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This rac is 50/47 DeSantis and 50/48 Rubio if anyone thinks that it's over, think again, the poll that was just released confirmed that it's still a close race, thats why I have it D it's the first Battleground state up and then NC and OH blue states aren't swing states they were only won by Trump during Hillary Benghazi Rs have failed to win a single blue state since 2016

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is gonna be a major upset Demings Winning

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's not safe R Civiq just polled this race Rubio +2 and that's not Safe R

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Barnes and Beasley and Ryan are tied or Leading all their races Rubio benefits because he take Latino votes away from Ds not Blk votes that otherwise go D that's why if Gwen Graham runs she will beat Rick Scott