FL-SEN 2022: Nothing to see here

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rubio being Cuban helps him alot and will spill over to Gov race, D's must understand that, just like Menendez, Padilla, Grisham all help them being Latino in those states

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Dems are doomed in FL VAN DEMING'S, MURPHY AND CRIST voted for Kate's Law.

We are best off contesting OH, NC and IA and FL has a Cuban Embargo on it anyways

That's why Ds are unable to win FL

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rubio is Vulnerable they sent me a poll showing Rubio only beating Grayson 47/42

56 Senators c'mon let's go PR and DC Statehood next session of Congress 118th

Speaker Mccarthy plse, that's why the D's are up 10 pts on Generic ballot, the Rs are blocking Everything like the Commission and they just objected to a bipartisan bill of Ernst and Gillibrand on sexual harrassment in military, the Filibuster needs to go

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rubio is still ahead but DeSantis and Rubio aren't winning by 10 more like 5

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is our 55th or 56th seat opportunity and it probably means PR Statehood not just DC statehood until I see a real poll I am not gonna bother with donations.

But, Rs are 9 pts down on a QU Generic ballot because the voters see them blocking the Commission

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This race is down in importance than OH, IA or NC, it's the 56th seat and we have a better chance with Fink, D's aren't GONNA donate that much to this race

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

DS ARENT WINNING FL AND DeSANTIS is 10pts ahead of Crist and Fried

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

DeSantis isn't loosing with Rubio it was only close in 2018 because Rick Scott not Rubio was on the ballot and Scott is a target in 2024

DeSantis gave 1000 cheques

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Change, I enthusiastically support Deming's

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Bc she's basically the antithesis (or closest) of a Democratic candidate could be to the GOP's talking points (defund the police, socialism, etc.)

Err.... Val Demings is a reliable liberal and literally served as House impeachment manager in Trump's impeachment trial. She’s very easy to paint as some out-of-touch partisan and would have close to zero crossover appeal in a GE. The idea that Republicans won’t be able to paint her as a career politician who embodies "GOP talking points" is ludicrous.

The Rs talk about Law and Order and she is a former cop, again, at this point she is an underdog but don't count out the blue wave in 500 days

In the post Insurrectionists era law and order appeals to Indies and Gaetz is still in Congress after Boehner told Rangel to resign, the hypocrisy of RS and it Maxine Waters initiated the Insurrectionists, she would be in jail

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Bc she's basically the antithesis (or closest) of a Democratic candidate could be to the GOP's talking points (defund the police, socialism, etc.)

Err.... Val Demings is a reliable liberal and literally served as House impeachment manager in Trump's impeachment trial. She’s very easy to paint as some out-of-touch partisan and would have close to zero crossover appeal in a GE. The idea that Republicans won’t be able to paint her as a career politician who embodies "GOP talking points" is ludicrous.

The only worthwhile attack the GOP has right now that made a difference was socialism and crime, not really 'career politician'. And Demings is clearly not a socialist, and her police record shows you can't hit her on crime, really.

To say she has 'zero crossover appeal' in the GE is ridiculous

There is a difference between what she does in Orlando and what she does in Congress.

Biden has a 60% RV Approvals, he didn't have that Approvals when he was running as a candidate and we lost FL by 3%, those are Approvals that Trump can only dream, the same Approvals Bush W had in 2002/ when Rs netted seats after 9/11

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Bc she's basically the antithesis (or closest) of a Democratic candidate could be to the GOP's talking points (defund the police, socialism, etc.)

Err.... Val Demings is a reliable liberal and literally served as House impeachment manager in Trump's impeachment trial. She’s very easy to paint as some out-of-touch partisan and would have close to zero crossover appeal in a GE. The idea that Republicans won’t be able to paint her as a career politician who embodies "GOP talking points" is ludicrous.

The only worthwhile attack the GOP has right now that made a difference was socialism and crime, not really 'career politician'. And Demings is clearly not a socialist, and her police record shows you can't hit her on crime, really.

To say she has 'zero crossover appeal' in the GE is ridiculous

There is a difference between what she does in Orlando and what she does in Congress.

Biden has a 60% RV Approvals, he didn't have that Approvals when he was running as a candidate and we lost FL by 3%, those are Approvals that Trump can only dream, the same Approvals Bush W had in 2002/ when Rs netted seats after 9/11

That 60 % is nationwide, not statewide. And actually, Biden has an approval rating of just 45 % in Florida.

https://www.fau.edu/newsdesk/articles/biden-approval-rating.php

So I'm sorry to tell you this : Florida is not Massachusetts.

The Election is 500 days from now and we haven't seen one Sen poll in FL

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Election is 500 days away

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Election in midtlterms don't always go the way they should like in Prez Elections, they can go different ways as we see Biden have very high Approvals but Rust belt Hassan abs Whitmer are trailing

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am optimistic about this race, the Economy is opening up and we can win in a blue wave

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is hilarious thread Rs think that D's never won FL and D's act like Rs never won MI, states can vote different ways in Midterm, Synder won MI and Biden and Obama won FL, both are battleground states in 2008/2012 and are battleground in 2022/2024

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

UWS D's aren't winning FL we know, I'd they did it would be a tsunami, it would be 56th seat pickup opportunity, in the best case scenario, D's will only win NC as 53 seats especially without HR 1/4

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

FL is our 56 th seat after WI, PA, GA, NC, OH, IA and FL state pickup opportunity anyways way down on the list of pickups, as of now Biden is exactly at 52 percent Approvals, if the Election were held today Rs would narrowly win the H while D's keep a 303 map in the S and Govs but the Election isn't today it's 500 days from now

It does depend on the H and how much split voting it does in red wall states vs a 303 map in the Senate and Gov races but it's still possible D's even on a 303 S and Gov map can hold the H

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Grayson internal polling has Rubio up 52/48% is a DONE DEAL RUBIO AND DeSantis would win 52/48% just like Whitmer and Hassan will win on a Neutral Environment 52/48%

wbrooks along with Landslide Lyndon said Barb Bollier was gonna win KS Sen, I wouldn't take his advice, she got slaughtered like Bullock and let's not forget wbrooks and HEGAR either. Too many UNDECIDED. They all lost miserably😖😖😖

Biden is exactly at 52%Approvaks in a Neutral Environment it will be a 304 EC map D's picking up ME 2 if the EC map was duplicated in 2024 against Trump or DeSantis

52/48 SEN and the Ds can keep the H with split voting in House districts and red stayes

If I had to guess D's 218/217 H 52/48 S with GA going to a Runoff and 25/25 Govs Rs picking up KS and D's winning NH and MA Govs around 304 blue wall and D's finally passing DC statehood after 2022

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This st is wave insurence we won't know about it til next yr anyways, not this yr, the Election is a long was from now

I want Val to win, and MT Treasurer keep thinking every state is gonna vote the same way as Prez Election is inaccurate, Whitmer is Vulnerable, so is the PA Gov race and Hassan.
We have some wave insurence states in AZ, KS and MA Gov that can vote D.

Midterms are different than Prez Elections, partisan trends don't always play out but Fried is a better candidate than Crist

Rs are -9 on Generic ballot and Sununu won by 7 pts in 2018 and we won AZ and OH Sen, we don't know how the races will play out

I would love to see us winning OH, FL, IA, AK and NC are the same time MI, OR, and PA Gov goes R that would be a cool map

It would be bad news for Hassan and Whitmer though

Sununu is 7 pts ahead like Gov race and shows no signs of weakness

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Grayson own internal poll shows Rubio only up by 5 pts do you really think a poll by Chamber of Commerce is credible showing DeSantis and Rubio up by 10, NO, NO, NO

5 pts is not a landslide with 500 days left

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am rooting for Val but I would not put one nickel in this race

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This state is definitely wave insurence and we will see about wave insurence in a Pandemic

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

That's because the Rs have a Supermajority in the State Legislature

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Goodbye Rubio