FL-SEN 2022: Nothing to see here
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Continential
The Op
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« Reply #450 on: September 18, 2021, 11:58:18 AM »

UWS should be hired as Rubio's oppo researcher
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #451 on: September 18, 2021, 01:27:22 PM »

We already know Demings won't win unless it's a blue wave, and as long as Biden Approvals are mediocre, but it's not impossible, DeSantis came back during debated from six pts down against Gillium

Otherwise it's a 304 map and I haven't even seen Demings that much

You Govv has it 45/50% Approvals, I doubt that due to our leads in Cali and VA, if Biden winds up at 50/45 it's a 304 map, like Last time, but if it's more than that we have a chance
Biden will have Obama 2010 & 2014 JA Numbers next year on E-DAY!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #452 on: September 19, 2021, 07:22:19 AM »

IGNORED Rs are trailing by nine pts in CO, AZ, PA and lost by a landslide in CA and VA by 5 pts and you think it's 2914, WE HAVE 14NTHS TIL THE ELECTION
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« Reply #453 on: September 20, 2021, 11:51:31 AM »

Florida is becoming a RED STATE soon!!!

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/florida-playbook/2021/09/20/more-bad-news-for-florida-democrats-494394

WOW, Unbelievable, Remarkable!!!

Republicans erased a 700,000+ Democratic Registration Advantage during the Obama Years to almost nil. It currently stands at 23,000+.

Insane effort by the Republican Party of Florida!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #454 on: September 20, 2021, 11:56:35 AM »

DeSantis and Rubio easily gonna win, they handled Surfside well and DeSantis is running with Cuban Rubio unlike he ran with Scott last time

It doesn't matter, Biden doesn't need FL to win in 2024 ANYWAYS
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #455 on: October 17, 2021, 03:32:55 PM »
« Edited: October 17, 2021, 03:37:16 PM by Mr. Kanye West »

https://news.yahoo.com/dems-anti-rubio-warrior-val-073348131.html



As I have repeadily said unlike on the 2924 board they recycle the same 2016/202o maps thinks 2016 Last forever

FL, NC and OH ,🟣🟣🟣 but Rs don't want to hear that because it means DC Statehood, just like MI, WI and PA are 🟣🟣🟣

Biden won OH, NC and FL with Obama 2008/12 and Demings and Ryan down bye 4

Guess what Ayotte, Baker, Steele, Craig can win and Walker, Hobbs Kelly of KS can win too, watch out for Michael Steele

PARTISAN maps are not likely in Midterms that's why Quinn lost in 2014
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President Johnson
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« Reply #456 on: October 17, 2021, 03:58:26 PM »

They can win, yes. Is it likely? Not at all. Sorry, king.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #457 on: October 17, 2021, 04:03:24 PM »

They can win, yes. Is it likely? Not at all. Sorry, king.

Upsets are possible
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Pericles
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« Reply #458 on: October 17, 2021, 04:15:26 PM »

It's the wrong year.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #459 on: October 17, 2021, 06:50:30 PM »

Will you stop with this, Olawakandi.

When does your algorithm reset next? Because this is getting old. Bring the new material already!
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S019
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« Reply #460 on: October 17, 2021, 09:06:20 PM »

Will you stop with this, Olawakandi.

When does your algorithm reset next? Because this is getting old. Bring the new material already!

Florida Senate is probably winnable, Ohio is gone though, racist, uneducated Appalachian whites aren't coming back anytime soon.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #461 on: October 18, 2021, 09:15:16 AM »

FL polling has been flawed for a while. And even if a poll shows him slightly ahead in the race 4 prez, it means nothing that early. Classic OC overreaction to one poll.

Both FL-Sen and Gov are Likely R.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #462 on: October 18, 2021, 10:01:04 AM »
« Edited: October 18, 2021, 10:04:06 AM by Mr. Kanye West »

FL polling has been flawed for a while. And even if a poll shows him slightly ahead in the race 4 prez, it means nothing that early. Classic OC overreaction to one poll.

Both FL-Sen and Gov are Likely R.


What OH, FL and NC as I have said many times are permanently red states, okay, okay, okay when 2022 maps as I have said many times you can put FL red on your Map I will put FL, NC, OG and to make you mad put IA and MO all going blue..


WE THOUGHT THE SAME THING IN 2012 WHEJ WE WON oH,, FL twice they were permanently Blue state we were wrong


OH, FL, OhH ARENT PERMANENT RED STATES AS I HAVE SAID REPEAT MYSELF OVER AND OVER AND OVEE AGAIN

PREZ JOHNSON BELIEVES BAKER CANT LOSE BUT STEELE CAMT WIN


MIDTERMS ARE LESS PARTISAN THAN PREZ ELECTION

PBOWER2A WHOM IS A MODERATOR SAID OH, NC and FL aren't permanent too

But, you make your 2022/ the way you want and I will make my 2022/ maps the way I want just like S019 says Ryan can't win guess when won in 2018/ OH in a plus 10R state Brown won by 6

What happens if Craig wins, FL replaces MI in EC votes

HAVE A NICE DAY,  I know you don't stay long on here 😁😁😁
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ChiefFireWaterMike
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« Reply #463 on: October 18, 2021, 11:44:10 AM »

FL polling has been flawed for a while. And even if a poll shows him slightly ahead in the race 4 prez, it means nothing that early. Classic OC overreaction to one poll.

Both FL-Sen and Gov are Likely R.


What OH, FL and NC as I have said many times are permanently red states, okay, okay, okay when 2022 maps as I have said many times you can put FL red on your Map I will put FL, NC, OG and to make you mad put IA and MO all going blue..


WE THOUGHT THE SAME THING IN 2012 WHEJ WE WON oH,, FL twice they were permanently Blue state we were wrong


OH, FL, OhH ARENT PERMANENT RED STATES AS I HAVE SAID REPEAT MYSELF OVER AND OVER AND OVEE AGAIN

PREZ JOHNSON BELIEVES BAKER CANT LOSE BUT STEELE CAMT WIN


MIDTERMS ARE LESS PARTISAN THAN PREZ ELECTION

PBOWER2A WHOM IS A MODERATOR SAID OH, NC and FL aren't permanent too

But, you make your 2022/ the way you want and I will make my 2022/ maps the way I want just like S019 says Ryan can't win guess when won in 2018/ OH in a plus 10R state Brown won by 6

What happens if Craig wins, FL replaces MI in EC votes

HAVE A NICE DAY,  I know you don't stay long on here 😁😁😁
He has spoken.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #464 on: October 20, 2021, 12:54:00 AM »
« Edited: October 20, 2021, 01:02:04 AM by Mr. MANDELA BARNES »

I am not speaking out that much against 3 used but still my mom always said we can have Mixed elections

The 304 map isn't the end all be all, Muhammad Child and Prez Johnson are following Election Guy, ALL HAIL TO THE 304 MAP

CRAIG, STEELE, LEPAGE CAN WIN WHILE CRIST, VAL, TIM RYAN CHERI BEASLEY CAN WIN, that's how we are gonna get DC STATEHOOD AND Keep H, LOL TX, NC, GA AND FL HAVE Been SPL VOTING since we won 40 Seats in a H, and it can happen in a D plus 5 election too

PAT QUINN AND UDALL LOST ON 2014/304 MAP ISNT THE END ALL BE ALL, LOL

You can post your own random maps in the Post random map thread too

But, Prez Johnson blanketed statement about Crist and Demings losing was silly, you can't make a Prediction like that with a yr to go in an Election, and he believes Charlie Baker can win in a D wave ELECTION, Charlie Baker hasn't even committed to running yet

Ben Downing can easily win
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #465 on: October 20, 2021, 07:08:55 AM »

FL polling has been flawed for a while. And even if a poll shows him slightly ahead in the race 4 prez, it means nothing that early. Classic OC overreaction to one poll.

Both FL-Sen and Gov are Likely R.


What OH, FL and NC as I have said many times are permanently red states, okay, okay, okay when 2022 maps as I have said many times you can put FL red on your Map I will put FL, NC, OG and to make you mad put IA and MO all going blue..


WE THOUGHT THE SAME THING IN 2012 WHEJ WE WON oH,, FL twice they were permanently Blue state we were wrong


OH, FL, OhH ARENT PERMANENT RED STATES AS I HAVE SAID REPEAT MYSELF OVER AND OVER AND OVEE AGAIN

PREZ JOHNSON BELIEVES BAKER CANT LOSE BUT STEELE CAMT WIN


MIDTERMS ARE LESS PARTISAN THAN PREZ ELECTION

PBOWER2A WHOM IS A MODERATOR SAID OH, NC and FL aren't permanent too

But, you make your 2022/ the way you want and I will make my 2022/ maps the way I want just like S019 says Ryan can't win guess when won in 2018/ OH in a plus 10R state Brown won by 6

What happens if Craig wins, FL replaces MI in EC votes

HAVE A NICE DAY,  I know you don't stay long on here 😁😁😁
He has spoken.

I must also add Prez Johnson and Muhammad believes they're never wrong, but theybwill be wrong on Election night if any wave develops and Baker doesn't runs it he loses to Ben Downing

Markey that Prez Johnson endorsed got lucky die to AOC endorsing him, he needed a Socialist to bail him out and a female ha, Ha
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ChiefFireWaterMike
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« Reply #466 on: October 20, 2021, 09:48:52 AM »

FL polling has been flawed for a while. And even if a poll shows him slightly ahead in the race 4 prez, it means nothing that early. Classic OC overreaction to one poll.

Both FL-Sen and Gov are Likely R.


What OH, FL and NC as I have said many times are permanently red states, okay, okay, okay when 2022 maps as I have said many times you can put FL red on your Map I will put FL, NC, OG and to make you mad put IA and MO all going blue..


WE THOUGHT THE SAME THING IN 2012 WHEJ WE WON oH,, FL twice they were permanently Blue state we were wrong


OH, FL, OhH ARENT PERMANENT RED STATES AS I HAVE SAID REPEAT MYSELF OVER AND OVER AND OVEE AGAIN

PREZ JOHNSON BELIEVES BAKER CANT LOSE BUT STEELE CAMT WIN


MIDTERMS ARE LESS PARTISAN THAN PREZ ELECTION

PBOWER2A WHOM IS A MODERATOR SAID OH, NC and FL aren't permanent too

But, you make your 2022/ the way you want and I will make my 2022/ maps the way I want just like S019 says Ryan can't win guess when won in 2018/ OH in a plus 10R state Brown won by 6

What happens if Craig wins, FL replaces MI in EC votes

HAVE A NICE DAY,  I know you don't stay long on here 😁😁😁
He has spoken.

I must also add Prez Johnson and Muhammad believes they're never wrong, but theybwill be wrong on Election night if any wave develops and Baker doesn't runs it he loses to Ben Downing

Markey that Prez Johnson endorsed got lucky die to AOC endorsing him, he needed a Socialist to bail him out and a female ha, Ha
Indeed, as always, you speak truth.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #467 on: November 24, 2021, 05:21:03 PM »

Reports say Pinellas County has flipped its Party Registration from BLUE to Red!

If that's true it is CHEKMATE for Democrats. If they even can't hold Pinellas it's GLOOMY for them because Pinellas is the Swing County in the State.
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Hollywood
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« Reply #468 on: November 24, 2021, 05:53:58 PM »

Reports say Pinellas County has flipped its Party Registration from BLUE to Red!

If that's true it is CHEKMATE for Democrats. If they even can't hold Pinellas it's GLOOMY for them because Pinellas is the Swing County in the State.

I believe 2020 was a D+1 with 13% margin of victory among Independents for Biden, according to the CNN exit poll.  So 2022 could easily be R+3 with the GOP having at least a decisive lead among Independents of 10-15 percent.  Reports from Cuban, South American, Jewish and Asians communities presents a very dark picture for Democrats in the State, and there's no way he's going to do well in Jacksonville and Tampa suburbs.  The additional problem of hundreds of thousands of new Republican transplants into the state has provided the GOP with an extra 250k voters in the past couple years, and another 75-125k is likely to enter the state this year.  There's hundreds of new people in and around my community with Trump banners in their garages, homes, and apartments. 

Thus, Florida is completely gone for Democrats in 2022 and 2024. 
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #469 on: November 24, 2021, 06:09:35 PM »

Reports say Pinellas County has flipped its Party Registration from BLUE to Red!

If that's true it is CHEKMATE for Democrats. If they even can't hold Pinellas it's GLOOMY for them because Pinellas is the Swing County in the State.

I believe 2020 was a D+1 with 13% margin of victory among Independents for Biden, according to the CNN exit poll.  So 2022 could easily be R+3 with the GOP having at least a decisive lead among Independents of 10-15 percent.  Reports from Cuban, South American, Jewish and Asians communities presents a very dark picture for Democrats in the State, and there's no way he's going to do well in Jacksonville and Tampa suburbs.  The additional problem of hundreds of thousands of new Republican transplants into the state has provided the GOP with an extra 250k voters in the past couple years, and another 75-125k is likely to enter the state this year.  There's hundreds of new people in and around my community with Trump banners in their garages, homes, and apartments.  

Thus, Florida is completely gone for Democrats in 2022 and 2024.  
CNN FL 2020 Exit Poll
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/florida
It actually was D 30/I 32/ R 38
BUT you were right, Biden did beat Trump among Independents in FL 54/43.

I think FL doing so well has a lot to do with Governor DeSantis keeping the State open despite the COVID-19 Pandemic. People were and still are fed up with all the Restrictions, Vaccine Mandates, etc.

It was a little bit of a Gamble by DeSantis but it worked.
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Hollywood
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« Reply #470 on: November 24, 2021, 08:04:30 PM »

Reports say Pinellas County has flipped its Party Registration from BLUE to Red!

If that's true it is CHEKMATE for Democrats. If they even can't hold Pinellas it's GLOOMY for them because Pinellas is the Swing County in the State.

I believe 2020 was a D+1 with 13% margin of victory among Independents for Biden, according to the CNN exit poll.  So 2022 could easily be R+3 with the GOP having at least a decisive lead among Independents of 10-15 percent.  Reports from Cuban, South American, Jewish and Asians communities presents a very dark picture for Democrats in the State, and there's no way he's going to do well in Jacksonville and Tampa suburbs.  The additional problem of hundreds of thousands of new Republican transplants into the state has provided the GOP with an extra 250k voters in the past couple years, and another 75-125k is likely to enter the state this year.  There's hundreds of new people in and around my community with Trump banners in their garages, homes, and apartments.  

Thus, Florida is completely gone for Democrats in 2022 and 2024.  
CNN FL 2020 Exit Poll
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/florida
It actually was D 30/I 32/ R 38
BUT you were right, Biden did beat Trump among Independents in FL 54/43.

I think FL doing so well has a lot to do with Governor DeSantis keeping the State open despite the COVID-19 Pandemic. People were and still are fed up with all the Restrictions, Vaccine Mandates, etc.

It was a little bit of a Gamble by DeSantis but it worked.

Cause there's a lot of D voters that left the state after attending college, and many voters responded to exit pollsters to claim they are Rs despite their registrations indicating D and I.  In 2020, I was registered D cause I wanted to vote in the primary, and I had been registered Independent when I moved to Florida as well as when I lived in NJ.  This happens to tons of college kids who register with Democrats on campus.  But I was certainly a Republican after I left undergraduate school. 

It wasn't a gamble for DeSantis.  Old people with a 1.5% chance of dying in 2020 knew to either vaccinate or continue social distancing, and younger groups had a nonzero chance.  With vaccines, continued social distancing of old unvaccinated persons, and monoclonal antibodies, the chances of dying dropped significantly.  The real drop in Florida came when unvaccinated and vaccinated persons learned that monoclonal antibodies had been incredibly successful for unvaccinated people that had conditions contraindicating vaccination.  Because of unvaxxed movement, biologic companies have now created a multitude of remedies that's 85% effective, and fights off a host of other viruses and illnesses like cancer and cardiovascular disease.  They are closer to a cure that's safer, more effective and cheaper than taking a multitude of vaccines for a bunch of viral infections (treats influenza).  Thank God.  I've literally worked on dozens of drug cases with biologics. Monoclonal Antibodies has paved a pathway to cheaply cure, remedy or prevent transmission of, HIV and all other STDS, cancer, Ebola, asthma, allergies, heart disease, etc.  It is opening up more natural means for preventing illness. It will literally leave people with long-term natural immunity. Even Europe has started to adopt it cause they realize they can't keep giving people several vaccinations each year, because it's not a true solution to the problem as they are witnessing right now  at the start of a brutal winter (70K case, 321 dead today).  The same will happen to the Midwest and NE over the next several months.  Florida is pretty much finished with significant outbreaks of Covid-19, because it peaked at the best time of the year (summer). 

The states that are relying solely on vaccinations are going to suffer the most this winter, because they don't understand the science.  Because they don't realize that millions and billions of dollars are being pumped into political parties and media by legacy pharmaceutical companies like Pfizer and Merck in order to push one drug over another one.  It's an awful situation that has provided us with the Opioid and Adderral crises, as well as blocked HIV and cancer drugs from quickly entering the market.   Extremist Covid-19  policy has shot the Democrat Party in the foot, if not a vital organ, because they did not understand the risks associated with vaccinating everyone and shutting down the economy.  The deaths that come from homicide, suicide, overdoses, war, famine, etc., that is associated with their plan.  Recent polls show them losing on Covid-19 policy. 
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #471 on: November 24, 2021, 08:13:12 PM »

Reports say Pinellas County has flipped its Party Registration from BLUE to Red!

If that's true it is CHEKMATE for Democrats. If they even can't hold Pinellas it's GLOOMY for them because Pinellas is the Swing County in the State.

I believe 2020 was a D+1 with 13% margin of victory among Independents for Biden, according to the CNN exit poll.  So 2022 could easily be R+3 with the GOP having at least a decisive lead among Independents of 10-15 percent.  Reports from Cuban, South American, Jewish and Asians communities presents a very dark picture for Democrats in the State, and there's no way he's going to do well in Jacksonville and Tampa suburbs.  The additional problem of hundreds of thousands of new Republican transplants into the state has provided the GOP with an extra 250k voters in the past couple years, and another 75-125k is likely to enter the state this year.  There's hundreds of new people in and around my community with Trump banners in their garages, homes, and apartments.  

Thus, Florida is completely gone for Democrats in 2022 and 2024.  
CNN FL 2020 Exit Poll
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/florida
It actually was D 30/I 32/ R 38
BUT you were right, Biden did beat Trump among Independents in FL 54/43.

I think FL doing so well has a lot to do with Governor DeSantis keeping the State open despite the COVID-19 Pandemic. People were and still are fed up with all the Restrictions, Vaccine Mandates, etc.

It was a little bit of a Gamble by DeSantis but it worked.

Cause there's a lot of D voters that left the state after attending college, and many voters responded to exit pollsters to claim they are Rs despite their registrations indicating D and I.  In 2020, I was registered D cause I wanted to vote in the primary, and I had been registered Independent when I moved to Florida as well as when I lived in NJ.  This happens to tons of college kids who register with Democrats on campus.  But I was certainly a Republican after I left undergraduate school. 

It wasn't a gamble for DeSantis.  Old people with a 1.5% chance of dying in 2020 knew to either vaccinate or continue social distancing, and younger groups had a nonzero chance.  With vaccines, continued social distancing of old unvaccinated persons, and monoclonal antibodies, the chances of dying dropped significantly.  The real drop in Florida came when unvaccinated and vaccinated persons learned that monoclonal antibodies had been incredibly successful for unvaccinated people that had conditions contraindicating vaccination.  Because of unvaxxed movement, biologic companies have now created a multitude of remedies that's 85% effective, and fights off a host of other viruses and illnesses like cancer and cardiovascular disease.  They are closer to a cure that's safer, more effective and cheaper than taking a multitude of vaccines for a bunch of viral infections (treats influenza).  Thank God.  I've literally worked on dozens of drug cases with biologics. Monoclonal Antibodies has paved a pathway to cheaply cure, remedy or prevent transmission of, HIV and all other STDS, cancer, Ebola, asthma, allergies, heart disease, etc.  It is opening up more natural means for preventing illness. It will literally leave people with long-term natural immunity. Even Europe has started to adopt it cause they realize they can't keep giving people several vaccinations each year, because it's not a true solution to the problem as they are witnessing right now  at the start of a brutal winter (70K case, 321 dead today).  The same will happen to the Midwest and NE over the next several months.  Florida is pretty much finished with significant outbreaks of Covid-19, because it peaked at the best time of the year (summer). 

The states that are relying solely on vaccinations are going to suffer the most this winter, because they don't understand the science.  Because they don't realize that millions and billions of dollars are being pumped into political parties and media by legacy pharmaceutical companies like Pfizer and Merck in order to push one drug over another one.  It's an awful situation that has provided us with the Opioid and Adderral crises, as well as blocked HIV and cancer drugs from quickly entering the market.   Extremist Covid-19  policy has shot the Democrat Party in the foot, if not a vital organ, because they did not understand the risks associated with vaccinating everyone and shutting down the economy.  The deaths that come from homicide, suicide, overdoses, war, famine, etc., that is associated with their plan.  Recent polls show them losing on Covid-19 policy. 
If DeSantis & Rubio do get a High Single Digit/Low Double Digit Win next November Democrats almost certainly going to lose two House Districts with FL-7 and FL-13.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #472 on: November 24, 2021, 11:36:33 PM »

FL is an R 3 state if nothing else Rubio and DeSantis will win by 3pts it's not a D yr it's a Neutral Environment
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #473 on: November 24, 2021, 11:44:27 PM »

FL is an R 3 state if nothing else Rubio and DeSantis will win by 3pts it's not a D yr it's a Neutral Environment
LOL, are you kidding us? There is nothing that suggest it will be a Neutral Environment.
Rubio beat Murphy by 8 Points in 2016 and Demings is well to the left of Murphy + if current Trends continue Republicans will have a 130-150K Registration Advantage by September 2022.
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Lambsbread
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« Reply #474 on: December 20, 2021, 11:57:45 AM »

Obviously not pertinent to the Senate race, but wasn't sure where else to put this. Murphy retiring:

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