FL-SEN 2022: Nothing to see here

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Likely R. Democrats need to be phoning up Shalala or Gillum to run. It's their only chance. I'm sure Nelson could make a comeback as well.

lmao..

[Dereich]

Likely R. Democrats need to be phoning up Shalala or Gillum to run. It's their only chance. I'm sure Nelson could make a comeback as well.

I'm sure the FL Democrats will indeed somehow sleepwalk themselves into nominating Gillum again despite the meth/escort scandal. HP-Hilarious Party.

But really, there's no reason to consider this Safe R. This is still Florida and it is still the case that any candidate that does not eat babies will get over 45% of the vote.

[Frenchrepublican]

Likely R. Democrats need to be phoning up Shalala or Gillum to run. It's their only chance. I'm sure Nelson could make a comeback as well.

I'm sure the FL Democrats will indeed somehow sleepwalk themselves into nominating Gillum again despite the meth/escort scandal. HP-Hilarious Party.

But really, there's no reason to consider this Safe R. This is still Florida and it is still the case that any candidate that does not eat babies will get over 45% of the vote.

Patrick Murphy didn’t eat any children and still got less than 45%.

[Bootes Void]

Likely R, although if Nelson wanted to make a comeback he could so but it will be an uphill battle

[SnowLabrador]

Likely R, although if Nelson wanted to make a comeback he could so but it will be an uphill battle

I highly doubt it. He's 78, and he will be 80 on Election Day 2022. That said, age didn't stop a certain person from running for an office much higher than US Senator from Florida.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Likely R, although if Nelson wanted to make a comeback he could so but it will be an uphill battle

I highly doubt it. He's 78, and he will be 80 on Election Day 2022. That said, age didn't stop a certain person from running for an office much higher than US Senator from Florida.

For all the memes about sleepy Joe, he actually campaigned. Nelson didn't even campaign enough in his bid four years prior to the 2022 cycle.

He's also been slowly emptying his campaign account since the defeat. I think he's not harbouring the slightest intention of attempting a comeback.

[KaiserDave]

Likely R, although if Nelson wanted to make a comeback he could so but it will be an uphill battle

I highly doubt it. He's 78, and he will be 80 on Election Day 2022. That said, age didn't stop a certain person from running for an office much higher than US Senator from Florida.

For all the memes about sleepy Joe, he actually campaigned. Nelson didn't even campaign enough in his bid four years prior to the 2022 cycle.

He's also been slowly emptying his campaign account since the defeat. I think he's not harbouring the slightest intention of attempting a comeback.

Why would he either? He's old and the Florida of his youth doesn't exist anymore. His time has passed.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

I'd rather FL elect Matt Gaetz than six more years of this manchild.

It takes a lot for me to say but Marco has to be the dumbest member of the Senate who's probably never had a single original thought in his life. On paper, he should he cucked the way Trump cucked him in his own primary. But because it's Florida and the Democratic Party is in the sh!tter here, he and his memorized 30-second speeches are here to stay for at least eight more years.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Dems like the Gov race is gonna run a sacrificial lamb candidate to make it look competetive, instead of winning by 20, Rubio and DeSantis will win  by 10 pts.

Dems are gonna have to wait til 2024, to make FL competitive again

[Donerail]

Rubio isn't going to lose, but I doubt he wins by that much.

The FL democrats are already pretty incompetent at turning out their voters in presidential elections but in midterms under a democratic president they’re even worse (look at the 2014 races)

I seen an election that the Democrat lost by one percentage point. How does that square with:

the big question is more if democrats are able to keep their loss in the single digits

?

In 2014 Crist was able too keep things very close in the Gov race but other statewide democrats were trounced. (Crist was helped by the fact that he had a lot of crossover appeal in the Tampa area)

That makes no sense. The Democratic candidates for Ag Commish and CFO in 2014 were both no-name candidates who raised around $40,000, going up against popular incumbents who each easily cleared $4 million. Val Demings, a current member of Congress who would get a ton of financial support for her campaign against Lil Marco, is not at all comparable to Will Rankin or Thad Hamilton.

[Not Me, Us]

There's basically no reason for any serious elected Democrat in Florida to throw away their career on an unwinnable race. Safe R.

[Figueira]

Jesus Christ, people are overreacting. Lean R.

[GALeftist]

How stupid are the people of Florida?

That said, the state level infrastructure just isn't there. Hope promising FL Dems stay out until the party is purged and the state starts bouncing back.

[One Term Floridian]

Watch Lil Marco be the Joni Ernst of 2020. He'll dip in the polls and Dems will smell blood and spend millions trying to oust him. Only for Marco to be re-elected by like 7 points lol

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Watch Lil Marco be the Joni Ernst of 2020. He'll dip in the polls and Dems will smell blood and spend millions trying to oust him. Only for Marco to be re-elected by like 7 points lol

Titanium Tilt R FL should put a stop to that.

[Coolface Sock #42069]

I’m now buying into the hype after Trump’s showing in South Florida and his 4% margin despite losing nationally. Rubio + horrible state Democratic Party + great state Republican Party + short Democratic bench + Cuban vote swing = Likely R.

It’ll be interesting to see the following two things:

1. How Sabato ranks this seat in his first rankings, and

2. If Rubio immediately pivots to running for president again once he wins.

[NewYorkExpress]

Tossup.

Rubio's clearly keeping the seat warm in preparation for a Presidential run in 2024, and I'm not sure Florida voters will like that.

[SevenEleven]

Safe R.

[One Term Floridian]

Tossup.

Rubio's clearly keeping the seat warm in preparation for a Presidential run in 2024, and I'm not sure Florida voters will like that.

They didn’t give a rat’s ass last time and they’ll give even less of an F this time. Likely/almost safe R

[SenatorCouzens]

Likely Republican as of now, but things can change. Rubio is just a great fit for this state.

[2016]

Likely Republican as of now, but things can change. Rubio is just a great fit for this state.

Cubans will totally go bonkers if they see someone like DWS or Val Demings on the other side and come out in droves for him. Rubio's Cuban Heritage is helping him a lot especially in Miami-Dade. He outperformed Trump by a GAZILLON down there in 2016.

I think Demings or DWS will challenge him!

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Likely Republican as of now, but things can change. Rubio is just a great fit for this state.

Cubans will totally go bonkers if they see someone like DWS or Val Demings on the other side and come out in droves for him. Rubio's Cuban Heritage is helping him a lot especially in Miami-Dade. He outperformed Trump by a GAZILLON down there in 2016.

I think Demings or DWS will challenge him!

DWS would not give up her House seat for that; she can't even win over the base, let alone crossover votes. Why would Demings be particularly objectionable?

[lfromnj]

Likely Republican as of now, but things can change. Rubio is just a great fit for this state.

Cubans will totally go bonkers if they see someone like DWS or Val Demings on the other side and come out in droves for him. Rubio's Cuban Heritage is helping him a lot especially in Miami-Dade. He outperformed Trump by a GAZILLON down there in 2016.

I think Demings or DWS will challenge him!

Whats wrong with Demings?

she was law enforcement too earlier, and never heard anything crazy about her. Anyway one of those 3 will have to run statewide or retire from politics. Maybe Biden might give some role in admin?

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Anyway one of those 3 will have to run statewide or retire from politics.

Huh? DWS and Demings are still gonna have their safe seats for life after redistricting.

[lfromnj]

Anyway one of those 3 will have to run statewide or retire from politics.

Huh? DWS and Demings are still gonna have their safe seats for life after redistricting.

Meant Soto/Demings/Murphy, its a game of musical chairs for those 3, Demings probably survives and I would say so but one of them has to go statewide or just go away or get very lucky and win one of the crack seats.