Is the Class 1 senate map the most democratic ever since?
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  Is the Class 1 senate map the most democratic ever since?
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Author Topic: Is the Class 1 senate map the most democratic ever since?  (Read 255 times)
iceman
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« on: November 05, 2022, 08:41:34 PM »



This set of senate seats has always been the white whale for the GOP. This map was the one wherein blue waves/ripple usually happen: 2006, 2012, 2018. Do you think another wave in 2024 would continue the streak for DEMS?
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2022, 08:57:31 PM »



This set of senate seats has always been the white whale for the GOP. This map was the one wherein blue waves/ripple usually happen: 2006, 2012, 2018. Do you think another wave in 2024 would continue the streak for DEMS?

Too early to tell. If the GOP shoots themselves in the foot enough and the recession is over by then it's possible the Dems lose only West Virginia, while the Republicans could get closer to 60 than 50 seats.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2022, 08:58:54 PM »

If this class was always a white whale for Republicans, they harpooned it pretty good in ‘94.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2022, 09:00:13 PM »

2000 was the first blue wave on this map with Dems picking up like 5 seats off the giant class of 1994 (the last Republican wave).
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Nyvin
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2022, 09:16:56 PM »

I find interesting that Class 1 is Northeast heavy, Class 2 is Southern heavy, and Class 3 is more or less balanced.
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2022, 10:02:38 PM »

     Dems have basically maxed out on this map; in 2018 despite an overall strong year they lost a net 2 seats because they had too much territory to defend. In the hypothetical situation where 2024 is a blue wave the odds are high that they will walk away with another net loss in the Senate as MT, OH, and WV are all states the GOP could conceivably flip even in a poor national environment, whereas there is hardly anything the Dems could realistically pick off. FL and TX would be targets, but if the recent movement in the Latino vote holds they should remain out of reach.
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