How many CDs has Biden won?

[VAR]

Biden carried MI-05 by 4%.

https://twitter.com/im_sorry_wtf/status/1327715755572432896

[VAR]

FL-26: Trump +5
FL-27: Biden +3

https://twitter.com/mcimaps/status/1323912378472423424

[ProgressiveModerate]

FL-26: Trump +5
FL-27: Biden +3

https://twitter.com/mcimaps/status/1323912378472423424

Geez those swing were massive. Hillary won both by close to 20%. High turnout can alter a lot.

[Frenchrepublican]

Biden carried MI-05 by 4%.

https://twitter.com/im_sorry_wtf/status/1327715755572432896

Barely the same than Clinton.

[lfromnj]

Biden carried MI-05 by 4%.

https://twitter.com/im_sorry_wtf/status/1327715755572432896

Barely the same than Clinton. It's interesting that Macomb swung massively toward Biden while Genese didn't.

Macomb didn't massively swing towards Biden , 3 point swing still solid though.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

FL-26: Trump +5
FL-27: Biden +3

https://twitter.com/mcimaps/status/1323912378472423424

Hey dems, next time you run in a Cuban district, maybe run somebody who's actually hispanic/speaks spanish?

[Frenchrepublican]

Biden carried MI-05 by 4%.

https://twitter.com/im_sorry_wtf/status/1327715755572432896

Barely the same than Clinton. It's interesting that Macomb swung massively toward Biden while Genese didn't.

Macomb didn't massively swing towards Biden , 3 point swing still solid though.

Yeah, in fact.

I had the Senate numbers in mind when I wrote this.

[VAR]

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1327722713784479749

[S019]

Biden carried MI-05 by 4%.

https://twitter.com/im_sorry_wtf/status/1327715755572432896

This seat was drawn as a Dem sink, with the fair redistricting maps, Kildee is done for in 2022, especially given he barely outperformed Biden

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1327722713784479749

This shows that Dems didn't do as bad in the House as people are saying.  They just over performed massively in 2018 and lost some of the low hanging fruit to Republicans.  Incumbency advantage is becoming less and less important. 

[Calthrina950]

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1327722713784479749

This shows that Dems didn't do as bad in the House as people are saying.  They just over performed massively in 2018 and lost some of the low hanging fruit to Republicans.  Incumbency advantage is becoming less and less important. 

If this is true, why didn't the Democrats flip seats such as IN-05, MO-02, or the districts in Texas, including TX-24 (which Biden won and which O'Rourke had won in 2018) and TX-23? And the Democratic collapse in South Florida sticks out as a sore thumb on this map. This is to say nothing of PA-01, where Fitzpatrick won handily. Democrats had come into this election hoping to expand their majority, and now Republicans may only be about 4-10 seats away from gaining it back in 2022.

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1327722713784479749

This shows that Dems didn't do as bad in the House as people are saying.  They just over performed massively in 2018 and lost some of the low hanging fruit to Republicans.  Incumbency advantage is becoming less and less important. 

If this is true, why didn't the Democrats flip seats such as IN-05, MO-02, or the districts in Texas, including TX-24 (which Biden won and which O'Rourke had won in 2018) and TX-23? And the Democratic collapse in South Florida sticks out as a sore thumb on this map. This is to say nothing of PA-01, where Fitzpatrick won handily. Democrats had come into this election hoping to expand their majority, and now Republicans may only be about 4-10 seats away from gaining it back in 2022.

Key part of your response.  Deal with it.

[Calthrina950]

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1327722713784479749

This shows that Dems didn't do as bad in the House as people are saying.  They just over performed massively in 2018 and lost some of the low hanging fruit to Republicans.  Incumbency advantage is becoming less and less important. 

If this is true, why didn't the Democrats flip seats such as IN-05, MO-02, or the districts in Texas, including TX-24 (which Biden won and which O'Rourke had won in 2018) and TX-23? And the Democratic collapse in South Florida sticks out as a sore thumb on this map. This is to say nothing of PA-01, where Fitzpatrick won handily. Democrats had come into this election hoping to expand their majority, and now Republicans may only be about 4-10 seats away from gaining it back in 2022.

Key part of your response.  Deal with it.

What? Yes, the Democrats kept their majority, but it will be a very narrow one indeed. Pelosi, for example, cannot afford more than a handful of defections to win reelection as Speaker in January, and the divide between progressives and moderates in the Democratic caucus could hamper the Party's legislative agenda, even more so then it is already with the Senate still in Republican hands. And Democratic Representatives such as Slotkin, Spanberger, and Lamb have expressed their concerns about the Party's messaging and outreach, and these concerns should certainly be taken into consideration. It would be foolish for us to think that the Democratic majority is guaranteed to survive the midterms.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Biden carried MI-05 by 4%.

https://twitter.com/im_sorry_wtf/status/1327715755572432896

This seat was drawn as a Dem sink, with the fair redistricting maps, Kildee is done for in 2022, especially given he barely outperformed Biden

Its amazing how many sinks in the Midwest have failed or nearly failed. MI-05, WI-03, ILL-14, etc.

[Calthrina950]

Biden carried MI-05 by 4%.

https://twitter.com/im_sorry_wtf/status/1327715755572432896

This seat was drawn as a Dem sink, with the fair redistricting maps, Kildee is done for in 2022, especially given he barely outperformed Biden

Its amazing how many sinks in the Midwest have failed or nearly failed. MI-05, WI-03, ILL-14, etc.

The speed of the urban-rural realignment over the past decade, particularly within the last five years, has been astounding. I cringed somewhat at seeing the vast, encroaching ocean of >70% or >60% Republican rural counties that have now popped up throughout the Midwest, and elsewhere across the country. Yes, "land doesn't vote, people do" but these kinds of sharply polarized geographic voting patterns don't bode well for our country's political stability.

[ProgressiveModerate]

This was Obama in 2008 using the current CD lines, crazy to see how much rural areas have shifted towards Rs and suburban areas towards Ds.

According to data compiled by DailyKos (https://m.dailykos.com/stories/2012/11/19/1163009/-Daily-Kos-Elections-presidential-results-by-congressional-district-for-the-2012-2008-elections), which I used for my map, Obama carried current TX-23 in 2008.

Huh, my data had McCain winning by about 2%. Some of Daily Kos's TX numbers seem off though.

[Roll Roons]

Right now, between confirmed flips and eyeballing results, I have the following districts as Trump-Biden:
AZ-01
GA-06
GA-07
IL-14
MI-11
MN-02
NE-02
NV-03
NH-01
NJ-05
NJ-11
NY-18
PA-17
TX-24
VA-02
VA-07

The only Clinton-Trump district I for sure know of is FL-26. What other districts flipped in both directions?

[lfromnj]

Biden carried MI-05 by 4%.

https://twitter.com/im_sorry_wtf/status/1327715755572432896

This seat was drawn as a Dem sink, with the fair redistricting maps, Kildee is done for in 2022, especially given he barely outperformed Biden

Its amazing how many sinks in the Midwest have failed or nearly failed. MI-05, WI-03, ILL-14, etc.

The speed of the urban-rural realignment over the past decade, particularly within the last five years, has been astounding. I cringed somewhat at seeing the vast, encroaching ocean of >70% or >60% Republican rural counties that have now popped up throughout the Midwest, and elsewhere across the country. Yes, "land doesn't vote, people do" but these kinds of sharply polarized geographic voting patterns don't bode well for our country's political stability.

I mean I wouldn't really call MI05 rural

[ProgressiveModerate]

Right now, between confirmed flips and eyeballing results, I have the following districts as Trump-Biden:
AZ-01
GA-06
GA-07
IL-14
MI-11
MN-02
NE-02
NV-03
NH-01
NJ-05
NJ-11
NY-18
PA-17
TX-24
VA-02
VA-07

The only Clinton-Trump district I for sure know of is FL-26. What other districts flipped in both directions?

Some potential flips:

Clinton - Trump:
TX-23

Trump - Biden:
IA-1
NJ-3
TX-3

[Tekken_Guy]

Right now, between confirmed flips and eyeballing results, I have the following districts as Trump-Biden:
AZ-01
GA-06
GA-07
IL-14
MI-11
MN-02
NE-02
NV-03
NH-01
NJ-05
NJ-11
NY-18
PA-17
TX-24
VA-02
VA-07

The only Clinton-Trump district I for sure know of is FL-26. What other districts flipped in both directions?

Some potential flips:

Clinton - Trump:
TX-23

Trump - Biden:
IA-1
NJ-3
TX-3

Re-elected Abby Finkenauer agrees.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Right now, between confirmed flips and eyeballing results, I have the following districts as Trump-Biden:
AZ-01
GA-06
GA-07
IL-14
MI-11
MN-02
NE-02
NV-03
NH-01
NJ-05
NJ-11
NY-18
PA-17
TX-24
VA-02
VA-07

The only Clinton-Trump district I for sure know of is FL-26. What other districts flipped in both directions?

Some potential flips:

Clinton - Trump:
TX-23

Trump - Biden:
IA-1
NJ-3
TX-3

Re-elected Abby Finkenauer agrees.

I think I saw that all Iowa districts voted for Trump (IA-3 was actually the closest and was decided by 0.1%) and that TX-3 did as well.

[Calthrina950]

Biden carried MI-05 by 4%.

https://twitter.com/im_sorry_wtf/status/1327715755572432896

This seat was drawn as a Dem sink, with the fair redistricting maps, Kildee is done for in 2022, especially given he barely outperformed Biden

Its amazing how many sinks in the Midwest have failed or nearly failed. MI-05, WI-03, ILL-14, etc.

The speed of the urban-rural realignment over the past decade, particularly within the last five years, has been astounding. I cringed somewhat at seeing the vast, encroaching ocean of >70% or >60% Republican rural counties that have now popped up throughout the Midwest, and elsewhere across the country. Yes, "land doesn't vote, people do" but these kinds of sharply polarized geographic voting patterns don't bode well for our country's political stability.

I mean I wouldn't really call MI05 rural

That's correct, but it doesn't change the thrust of my observation.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Right now, between confirmed flips and eyeballing results, I have the following districts as Trump-Biden:
AZ-01
GA-06
GA-07
IL-14
MI-11
MN-02
NE-02
NV-03
NH-01
NJ-05
NJ-11
NY-18
PA-17
TX-24
VA-02
VA-07

The only Clinton-Trump district I for sure know of is FL-26. What other districts flipped in both directions?

Some potential flips:

Clinton - Trump:
TX-23

Trump - Biden:
IA-1
NJ-3
TX-3

Re-elected Abby Finkenauer agrees.

Oops sorry I meant IA-03, but it still looks like Trump narrowly won it

[Roll Roons]

Right now, between confirmed flips and eyeballing results, I have the following districts as Trump-Biden:
AZ-01
GA-06
GA-07
IL-14
MI-11
MN-02
NE-02
NV-03
NH-01
NJ-05
NJ-11
NY-18
PA-17
TX-24
VA-02
VA-07

The only Clinton-Trump district I for sure know of is FL-26. What other districts flipped in both directions?

Some potential flips:

Clinton - Trump:
TX-23

Trump - Biden:
IA-1
NJ-3
TX-3

Re-elected Abby Finkenauer agrees.

I think I saw that all Iowa districts voted for Trump (IA-3 was actually the closest and was decided by 0.1%) and that TX-3 did as well.

Yeah, Trump won all four districts in Iowa again. TX-24 was the only Trump-Biden district in Texas, as Biden lost TX-02, TX-03, TX-10, TX-21 and TX-22 by around 1-2 points each. Not sure about the margins in TX-06, TX-25 and TX-31.

NJ-03 is possible, since Burlington and Ocean both swung about 5 points left. Though I think Trump probably won NJ-02.

[Tekken_Guy]

Right now, between confirmed flips and eyeballing results, I have the following districts as Trump-Biden:
AZ-01
GA-06
GA-07
IL-14
MI-11
MN-02
NE-02
NV-03
NH-01
NJ-05
NJ-11
NY-18
PA-17
TX-24
VA-02
VA-07

The only Clinton-Trump district I for sure know of is FL-26. What other districts flipped in both directions?

Some potential flips:

Clinton - Trump:
TX-23

Trump - Biden:
IA-1
NJ-3
TX-3

Re-elected Abby Finkenauer agrees.

I think I saw that all Iowa districts voted for Trump (IA-3 was actually the closest and was decided by 0.1%) and that TX-3 did as well.

Yeah, Trump won all four districts in Iowa again. TX-24 was the only Trump-Biden district in Texas, as Biden lost TX-02, TX-03, TX-10, TX-21 and TX-22 by around 1-2 points each. Not sure about the margins in TX-06, TX-25 and TX-31.

NJ-03 is possible, since Burlington and Ocean both swung about 5 points left. Though I think Trump probably won NJ-02.

How about Ohio? Did Biden flip any districts or did he only win the usual four?