How many CDs has Biden won?

[VAR]

OR-04: Biden +4
OR-05: Biden +9

https://www.rollcall.com/2020/12/03/what-makes-a-race-competitive/

[VAR]

Trump won NY-01 by 4%.

[Roll Roons]

Trump won NY-01 by 4%.

Huh. I wonder if there's a chance Biden won NY-02 even though Garbarino held it by 7.

[Tekken_Guy]

Yep...
Tax lien Cox
Lotto winner Cisneros

TJ Cox had ethics issues
Gil Cisneros was accused of sexual harassment.
Harley Rouda had a shady business record.

[Roll Roons]

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/12/05/adam-kinzinger-trump-criticism-443043

No exact numbers, but this article says Adam Kinzinger outperformed Trump in his district by about a dozen points. Kinzinger won 65-35.

[Kamala's side hoe]

Yep...
Tax lien Cox
Lotto winner Cisneros

Cisneros did very good things with his lotto money. Shame he lost reelection, he seems like an Average Joe who got into politics for the right reasons.

[Brittain33]

Yep...
Tax lien Cox
Lotto winner Cisneros

TJ Cox had ethics issues
Gil Cisneros was accused of sexual harassment.
Harley Rouda had a shady business record.

Was that used successfully against Rouda, if true? I assumed his district was too R for him to win in a reasonably competitive election against a candidate other than Rohrabacher.

[VAR]

NJ-07: Biden +9-10

[Devils30]

NJ-07: Biden +9-10

Ancestral Republican places like here, OC still have downballot life for the GOP.

[Tekken_Guy]

NJ-07: Biden +9-10

Ancestral Republican places like here, OC still have downballot life for the GOP.

Fiscally conservative and socially liberal.

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/democraticluntz/status/1335569400364212225?s=21

Trump won the 17th again. The more upscale portions of Peoria and Rockford are actually not in the 17th district which explains why it voted for Trump again despite some decent swings in Rock Island/Peoria/Rockford.

[VAR]

IL-03 swung to Trump.

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/democraticluntz/status/1335569400364212225?s=21

Trump won the 17th again. The more upscale portions of Peoria and Rockford are actually not in the 17th district which explains why it voted for Trump again despite some decent swings in Rock Island/Peoria/Rockford.

Good, will make it easier to shore up.

[jamestroll]

IL-03 swung to Trump.

This election showed me two things about IL..

1) Its Democratic dominance is not threatened

2) I correctly predicted it would trend Republican. Similar to Virginia it has a relatively large and vocal GOP minority. But the suburban trends keep it from being a swing state.

Though if the GOP won the national popular vote I do wonder how IL would look.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Biden will likely win either 225 or 226 districts, most likely 225.

[Roll Roons]

Biden will likely win either 225 or 226 districts, most likely 225.

I have him getting 224 at a minimum:
https://www.270towin.com/2020-house-election/v5PQDQa.

At least 9 districts (CA-21, CA-25, CA-39, CA-48, FL-27, NE-02, NY-24, PA-01, TX-24) voted Biden and R for Congress, while 6 (IA-03, ME-02, MI-08, NJ-03, PA-08, WI-03) went Trump and D for Congress.

NY-02 went R for Congress, but given the swing in Suffolk, I think there's a chance Biden won it. And of course, the congressional race in NY-22 is unresolved. 

[Battista Minola 1616]

Biden will likely win either 225 or 226 districts, most likely 225.

I have him getting 224 at a minimum:
https://www.270towin.com/2020-house-election/v5PQDQa.

At least 9 districts (CA-21, CA-25, CA-39, CA-48, FL-27, NE-02, NY-24, PA-01, TX-24) voted Biden and R for Congress, while 6 (IA-03, ME-02, MI-08, NJ-03, PA-08, WI-03) went Trump and D for Congress.

NY-02 went R for Congress, but given the swing in Suffolk, I think there's a chance Biden won it. And of course, the congressional race in NY-22 is unresolved. 

IL-17 went Trump/Dem as well I think (or at least, it certainly voted D for Congress, while you have it as Trump/Rep on your map).

[Roll Roons]

Biden will likely win either 225 or 226 districts, most likely 225.

I have him getting 224 at a minimum:
https://www.270towin.com/2020-house-election/v5PQDQa.

At least 9 districts (CA-21, CA-25, CA-39, CA-48, FL-27, NE-02, NY-24, PA-01, TX-24) voted Biden and R for Congress, while 6 (IA-03, ME-02, MI-08, NJ-03, PA-08, WI-03) went Trump and D for Congress.

NY-02 went R for Congress, but given the swing in Suffolk, I think there's a chance Biden won it. And of course, the congressional race in NY-22 is unresolved. 

IL-17 went Trump/Dem as well I think (or at least, it certainly voted D for Congress, while you have it as Trump/Rep on your map).

You're right - I forgot about that one.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Yep...
Tax lien Cox
Lotto winner Cisneros

TJ Cox had ethics issues
Gil Cisneros was accused of sexual harassment.
Harley Rouda had a shady business record.

Only the stuff about Cox is true.  The allegation against Cisneros was pretty thoroughly debunked in 2018.

[Devils30]

TX numbers show that the GOP will really have trouble adding to its seats. 2,3,6,10,21,22,23,24,25 and 31 all need tightening. GOP coalition bc of ultra red east and west TX isn't as efficient for them there as in GA.

[ProgressiveModerate]

TX numbers show that the GOP will really have trouble adding to its seats. 2,3,6,10,21,22,23,24,25 and 31 all need tightening. GOP coalition bc of ultra red east and west TX isn't as efficient for them there as in GA.

Democrat's have a natural Geography advantage in TX the same way the GOP has in IL. This should help to offset the gerrymander they come up with a bit.

[VAR]

CA-04: Trump +9.9%
CA-21: Biden +10.9%
CA-25: Biden +10.1%
CA-45: Biden +11.3%
CA-49: Biden +12.7%
CA-50: Trump +7.7%

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1336357162080034818

[Roll Roons]

Not surprised that Biden did worse in CA-21. It's mostly Hispanic and has a relatively low college-educated percentage - exactly the kind of place where Trump would be expected to improve.

[Nyvin]

CA-04: Trump +9.9%
CA-21: Biden +10.9%
CA-25: Biden +10.1%
CA-45: Biden +11.3%
CA-49: Biden +12.7%
CA-50: Trump +7.7%

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1336357162080034818

It's going to be so glorious to watch CA-50 trend into another Safe D seat by the end of the decade and have Darrell Issa flee in terror yet again.

[It’s so Joever]

TX numbers show that the GOP will really have trouble adding to its seats. 2,3,6,10,21,22,23,24,25 and 31 all need tightening. GOP coalition bc of ultra red east and west TX isn't as efficient for them there as in GA.

Democrat's have a natural Geography advantage in TX the same way the GOP has in IL. This should help to offset the gerrymander they come up with a bit.

It seems that the general pattern is that places with several midsized (relative) Democratic strongholds have a D advantage while places with one center of blue have an R advantage. I guess that is common sense.