How many CDs has Biden won?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 25, 2024, 05:03:31 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  How many CDs has Biden won?		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 4 5 6 7 8 [9] 10 11 12
Author Topic: How many CDs has Biden won?  (Read 17138 times)
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,453
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #200 on: November 26, 2020, 10:49:59 AM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on November 25, 2020, 05:28:34 PM
Quote from: Southern Governor Punxsutawney Phil on November 25, 2020, 11:50:32 AM
Quote from: gracile on November 24, 2020, 09:10:12 PM
Connecticut:


very fitting that D gains among wealthier white voters have made CT-04 the most pro-Biden district in the state.

Doubly so when the district's former longtime GOP congressman is a staunch never-Trumper who endorsed Biden. If anything, Chris Shays epitomizes the politics of this area so well.
He does, he really does.
Logged
n1240
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,207


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #201 on: November 26, 2020, 12:39:58 PM »

Unknown until the counties actually post precinct results. Rough estimate using Kings County (only county completely in district) I would say that Biden is winning CA-21 by 8-13 points.
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,936
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #202 on: November 26, 2020, 02:21:53 PM »
Quote from: #SaveTheSenate on November 26, 2020, 09:49:42 AM
Quote from: Roll Roons on November 25, 2020, 08:40:01 PM
Quote from: Nyvin on November 25, 2020, 07:28:00 PM
Quote from: #SaveTheSenate on November 25, 2020, 05:13:22 PM
Washington:



I'm actually kinda surprised WA-3 was that close.

And of course JHB outran Trump by 10 points. Now that I think about it, which GOP House incumbents DIDN’T run ahead of Trump? Jim Hagedorn is the only one I know of.

Apparently Richard Hudson (NC-08) ran behind Trump as well.

Hudson's opponent was Pat Timmons-Goodson, who was the first black woman to be appointed to the North Carolina Supreme Court. I remember seeing a CBS This Morning report, either on the day of or the day before the election, in which she was interviewed. It was a report highlighting female and minority candidates-Young Kim was also featured. She was a strong candidate, from what I gathered, but couldn't overcome the environment, an indication of how candidate quality has become more and more submerged by overall political trends.
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #203 on: November 27, 2020, 03:08:43 PM »
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,936
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #204 on: November 27, 2020, 09:34:22 PM »
Quote from: #SaveTheSenate on November 27, 2020, 03:08:43 PM


Ryan is one of the most vulnerable Democratic incumbents in 2022, assuming that his district isn't completely dismembered in redistricting.
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,734


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #205 on: November 28, 2020, 10:16:36 AM »
Quote from: Calthrina950 on November 27, 2020, 09:34:22 PM
Quote from: #SaveTheSenate on November 27, 2020, 03:08:43 PM


Ryan is one of the most vulnerable Democratic incumbents in 2022, assuming that his district isn't completely dismembered in redistricting.

My guess is Rs will try to crack his district but add a D vote sink in Cincinnati
Logged
n1240
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,207


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #206 on: November 28, 2020, 06:48:45 PM »
Quote from: n1240 on November 26, 2020, 12:39:58 PM

Unknown until the counties actually post precinct results. Rough estimate using Kings County (only county completely in district) I would say that Biden is winning CA-21 by 8-13 points.

Fresno has precinct data available, might try and analyze it in detail later but eyeballing about 10 mid-sized/large precincts it looks like Biden is outrunning Cox by 11 points there.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,531
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #207 on: November 29, 2020, 11:07:29 PM »
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,679
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #208 on: November 29, 2020, 11:09:08 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on November 29, 2020, 11:07:29 PM


So 11 is the only flip then?
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,531
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #209 on: November 29, 2020, 11:16:26 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on November 29, 2020, 11:09:08 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on November 29, 2020, 11:07:29 PM


So 11 is the only flip then?

Correct
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #210 on: November 30, 2020, 05:32:54 PM »


Schweikert outperformed Trump in AZ-06.
Logged
Roll Roons
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,048
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #211 on: November 30, 2020, 06:13:33 PM »


NJ-05 was Biden +5. Gottheimer outperformed him by just over 2 points, but still ran significantly behind his 2018 performance. 
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,134
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #212 on: November 30, 2020, 08:54:48 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on November 30, 2020, 06:13:33 PM


NJ-05 was Biden +5. Gottheimer outperformed him by just over 2 points, but still ran significantly behind his 2018 performance. 

That's pretty encouraging to me actually. Maybe suburban trends in my part of the state will remain in Democrats' favor. Even if he didn't end up doing as well as in 2018 (probably for reasons based more on turnout.), Gottheimer will almost certainly get a more favorable district without those parts of Sussex and Warren counties, so he should be secure for the future.

It's also so weird to see that my town provided one of the few Trump-Gottheimer results. I really don't get it never votes for Democrats for President but always seems more friendly to them down-ballot.
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #213 on: December 01, 2020, 06:12:46 PM »
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,531
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #214 on: December 01, 2020, 06:17:30 PM »
Quote from: #SaveTheSenate on December 01, 2020, 06:12:46 PM


Hope Malliotakis enjoys her 2 years in Congress.
Logged
Gracile
gracile
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,064


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #215 on: December 01, 2020, 06:28:25 PM »
« Edited: December 01, 2020, 06:33:29 PM by gracile »
Any preliminary California numbers? Curious how much House candidates over/underperformed Biden.
Logged
Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,369
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.48, S: -1.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #216 on: December 01, 2020, 07:11:56 PM »
« Edited: December 01, 2020, 07:43:54 PM by YE »
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,734


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #217 on: December 01, 2020, 09:23:12 PM »
Quote from: Co-Chair Bagel23 on December 01, 2020, 07:11:56 PM


Pretty crazy to think about how Trump[ was able to double his vote share in certain traditionally one sided Dem areas. Sho9ws how both parties shouldn't take any voters for granted. I suspect if the educational divide becomes bigger and bigger, we'll start to see the GOP make modest gains in cities like NYC. Maybe not enough to make the state competative on the Presidential level, but they could certainly give Ds a run for their money in off years in various statewide races
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #218 on: December 02, 2020, 04:04:22 AM »
Biden carried CA-39 by 10 points while Democratic incumbent Gil Cisneros somehow managed to lose reelection to Young Kim.

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1334028468619677696
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #219 on: December 02, 2020, 04:07:30 AM »
Biden carried CA-48 by 1.5%.

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1333956931300388866
Logged
Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,990
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #220 on: December 02, 2020, 11:19:10 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on December 01, 2020, 06:17:30 PM
Quote from: #SaveTheSenate on December 01, 2020, 06:12:46 PM


Hope Malliotakis enjoys her 2 years in Congress.

Yeah, Dems are going to obliterate this district and probably give Rose a chance to return. I would say NY-11 becomes solid blue and NY-2 can easily become lean blue while 1 becomes titanium red. I expect NY-22 to get Syracuse and 23/24 to combine Katko/Reed into one ultra red district.
Logged
KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,622
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #221 on: December 02, 2020, 11:21:54 AM »
Quote from: #SaveTheSenate on December 02, 2020, 04:04:22 AM
Biden carried CA-39 by 10 points while Democratic incumbent Gil Cisneros somehow managed to lose reelection to Young Kim.

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1334028468619677696

Yikes that's very very embarrassing
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #222 on: December 02, 2020, 02:25:54 PM »
Nevada & Ohio:

NV-02: Trump +10
NV-03: Biden +0.2
NV-04: Biden +4
OH-01: Trump +3
OH-10: Trump +4.5
OH-12: Trump +6
OH-13: Biden +3.5
OH-14: Trump +9

https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/11/19/1163009/-Daily-Kos-Elections-presidential-results-by-congressional-district-for-2020-2016-and-2012
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,679
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #223 on: December 02, 2020, 02:27:36 PM »
Quote from: KaiserDave on December 02, 2020, 11:21:54 AM
Quote from: #SaveTheSenate on December 02, 2020, 04:04:22 AM
Biden carried CA-39 by 10 points while Democratic incumbent Gil Cisneros somehow managed to lose reelection to Young Kim.

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1334028468619677696

Yikes that's very very embarrassing

Democrats had some seriously weak candidates in CA that were carried over the line by the 2018 wave. 
Logged
Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,990
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #224 on: December 02, 2020, 04:05:27 PM »
Yep...
Tax lien Cox
Lotto winner Cisneros
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 4 5 6 7 8 [9] 10 11 12  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.053 seconds with 12 queries.