How many CDs has Biden won?

[Skill and Chance]

OK, it seems Trump did win TX-23, but by only 2%. Biden won the Bexar portion by 4.4%, Trump won it by 3 in 2016 IIRC.

https://twitter.com/OryxMaps/status/1328564452199895040

Hillary won TX-23. Hurd, Katko and Fitz were the only Clinton district Republicans after 2018.

It's wild that TX-23 is now a Romney->Clinton->Trump district.

[Roll Roons]

OK, it seems Trump did win TX-23, but by only 2%. Biden won the Bexar portion by 4.4%, Trump won it by 3 in 2016 IIRC.

https://twitter.com/OryxMaps/status/1328564452199895040

Hillary won TX-23. Hurd, Katko and Fitz were the only Clinton district Republicans after 2018.

I was referring to the Bexar portion, which is basically San Antonio suburbs, not the entire district.

Ah, got it. Yeah in that case, those RGV swings toward Trump really were wild.

[ProgressiveModerate]

OK, it seems Trump did win TX-23, but by only 2%. Biden won the Bexar portion by 4.4%, Trump won it by 3 in 2016 IIRC.

https://twitter.com/OryxMaps/status/1328564452199895040

Hillary won TX-23. Hurd, Katko and Fitz were the only Clinton district Republicans after 2018.

It's wild that TX-23 is now a Romney->Clinton->Trump district.

It has voted for the loser 4 times in a row now.

[Calthrina950]

OK, it seems Trump did win TX-23, but by only 2%. Biden won the Bexar portion by 4.4%, Trump won it by 3 in 2016 IIRC.

https://twitter.com/OryxMaps/status/1328564452199895040

Hillary won TX-23. Hurd, Katko and Fitz were the only Clinton district Republicans after 2018.

It's wild that TX-23 is now a Romney->Clinton->Trump district.

This also helps to explain why Gonzales held the seat with relative ease against Ortiz-Jones. She was not going to win if Biden also lost the district-as he did. So that means Texas has one Trump-Biden district and one Clinton-Trump district.

[VAR]

It appears Trump carried OH-10 by 4-6%.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

It appears Trump carried OH-10 by 4-6%.

rip mommy desiree tims

[VAR]

Biden carried KS-03 by 10%.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Did Biden rack it up in inner city shakopee?

[VAR]

It appears CA-48 slightly swung to Trump. Biden ahead by 1.5% (Clinton won it by 1.7%).

[Frenchrepublican]

Florida

[Skill and Chance]

Florida

Interesting.  This shows that the Dem coalition in Florida has unpacked geographically even as it has weakened.

[Roll Roons]

Florida

Interesting how Matt Gaetz' district had the biggest leftward swing.

Man, South Florida was just so brutal for Biden.

[Frenchrepublican]

Florida

Interesting how Matt Gaetz' district had the biggest leftward swing.

Man, South Florida was just so brutal for Biden.

FL-4 had a bigger leftward swing.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Maybe Rs will draw Soto out instead of Murphy

[Frenchrepublican]

Maybe Rs will draw Soto out instead of Murphy

It would be smarter.

[cwh2018]

Florida

Interesting.  This shows that the Dem coalition in Florida has unpacked geographically even as it has weakened.

Bidem did a little better with whites and the over 65 than a democrat would usually do he improved in St Johns county and made some improvements in a couple of the medium-sized panhandle counties which has a strong military presence as well.

[Skill and Chance]

Maybe Rs will draw Soto out instead of Murphy

It would be smarter.

9 being closer than 7 is pretty crazy.

[Frenchrepublican]

Maybe Rs will draw Soto out instead of Murphy

It would be smarter.

9 being closer than 7 is pretty crazy.

The 7th has many woke whites.

[Gass3268]

Legitimatly hope Republicans go nuts with redistricting this next cycle so there can be a push for a Michigan style reform package in its wake.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Maybe Rs will draw Soto out instead of Murphy

It would be smarter.

You overrate how easy it is to cut Orlando from 3 Dem to 2 Dem districts while Florida adds 2 districts overall. It's almost certainly not possible to do without a Jacksonville swing seat. Otherwise, all the surrounding territory which is also compensating for parts of Tampa jut gets too close for comfort.

[Frenchrepublican]

Maybe Rs will draw Soto out instead of Murphy

It would be smarter.

You overrate how easy it is to cut Orlando from 3 Dem to 2 Dem districts while Florida adds 2 districts overall. It's almost certainly not possible to do without a Jacksonville swing seat. Otherwise, all the surrounding territory which is also compensating for parts of Tampa jut gets too close for comfort.

You could do something like that

[ProgressiveModerate]

Maybe Rs will draw Soto out instead of Murphy

It would be smarter.

You overrate how easy it is to cut Orlando from 3 Dem to 2 Dem districts while Florida adds 2 districts overall. It's almost certainly not possible to do without a Jacksonville swing seat. Otherwise, all the surrounding territory which is also compensating for parts of Tampa jut gets too close for comfort.

You could do something like that

A lot of those districts look too close for comfort though, and could easily flip with a small demographic shift or political realignment

[S019]

Also given the rules in FL, you can't really cut minority seats once they exist, FL has quite strict rules which need to follow, and eliminating an existing minority seat is a no-no

[lfromnj]

Also given the rules in FL, you can't really cut minority seats once they exist, FL has quite strict rules which need to follow, and eliminating an existing minority seat is a no-no

There are no minority seats eliminated in that map. Murphy is not a minority seat

[S019]

Also given the rules in FL, you can't really cut minority seats once they exist, FL has quite strict rules which need to follow, and eliminating an existing minority seat is a no-no

There are no minority seats eliminated in that map. Murphy is not a minority seat

I was referring to the suggestion of cutting Soto instead of Murphy earlier in the thread