The problem for Republicans is Texas. Democrats were rightfully disappointed that Texas wasn't closer this year, but zoom out a little and the trend lines are still looking good! In 2012, Romney won by 16%. In 2016, Trump won by 9%. This year, it's going to be around 6%, with unprecedented turnout. If Biden is a successful president, and Texas continues to urbanize, and turnout returns to the mean, Texas will go blue--by 2024 possibly, but certainly by 2028. Once that happens, how do Republicans win the electoral college?
rgv trend will keep the state purple
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