When will the GOP win again?

[MarkD]

I think Biden will win a second term, and then Harris will win twice after that. So I don't think the Republicans will win again until 2036.

[EastwoodS]

I think Biden will win a second term, and then Harris will win twice after that. So I don't think the Republicans will win again until 2036.

You probably also think 2+2=5 don’t you?

[Chips]

I still think the GOP will win in 2028, But now I wouldn't be really surprised if the GOP victory gets pushed back to 2032 or later.

[Samof94]

I still think the GOP will win in 2028, But now I wouldn't be really surprised if the GOP victory gets pushed back to 2032 or later.

Depends on who runs. Ted Cruz just seems like an easy target as does some socially reactionary Roy Moore type.

[MT Treasurer]

Random guess, will be fun to bump/look back: Most likely 2028 or 2032 (can’t decide which one, but leaning toward 2028 for now because Republicans always get lucky with that Senate map). Their map is 2020 + NV + ME-AL + MI + WI + PA + an upset in one of NM/NH/MN (probably NM), maybe -NC/-AK/+AZ. The five closest states: NC, AZ, NM, ME, TX.

[EastwoodS]

I think at the presidential level it is still 50/50, to think any party has and advantage or is heavily favored is silly, IMO.

[OSR stands with Israel]

If Biden runs for reelection: Probably 2028

If Biden doesnt run for reelection: Probably 2024

[TodayJunior]

2040. It will take at least a generation of new voters who don’t remember DJT to wipe out the stench/stain of who he was no matter who the nominees are of either party. The only way it happens earlier is if the Democrats fracture, which is unlikely.

[EastwoodS]

2040. It will take at least a generation of new voters who don’t remember DJT to wipe out the stench/stain of who he was no matter who the nominees are of either party. The only way it happens earlier is if the Democrats fracture, which is unlikely.

lol.

[hyouzel the predictor]

2040. It will take at least a generation of new voters who don’t remember DJT to wipe out the stench/stain of who he was no matter who the nominees are of either party. The only way it happens earlier is if the Democrats fracture, which is unlikely.

lol.

If he is talking about the popular vote I mostly agree. Fact of the matter is, there are more Democrats in the US than Republicans, and the country won't shift to the right until the GOP becomes the saner option. I don't know about 2040, maybe 2036 for a popular moderate incumbent GOP prez against a leftist martyr candidate.

[Flyersfan232]

The problem for Republicans is Texas.  Democrats were rightfully disappointed that Texas wasn't closer this year, but zoom out a little and the trend lines are still looking good!  In 2012, Romney won by 16%.  In 2016, Trump won by 9%.  This year, it's going to be around 6%, with unprecedented turnout.  If Biden is a successful president, and Texas continues to urbanize, and turnout returns to the mean, Texas will go blue--by 2024 possibly, but certainly by 2028.  Once that happens, how do Republicans win the electoral college?

rgv trend will keep the state purple

[Suburbia]

Maybe 2028 or 2032

Harris will be the first Black female president but will be a one-termer due to backlash..the backlash may be worse than Obama's 2010 and 2014

[mikhaela]

2024 will be a Republican victory as long as Trump is not the nominee.

[GeorgeBFree]

When America goes bankrupt or inflation exceeds 10% adjusted for government fudging.

[Chips]

2024 will be a Republican victory as long as Trump is not the nominee.

IDK about that but 2024 will be a competitive race.

[MABA 2020]

For the last four years I've been very confident that dems would win in 2020, but post-2020 I have no clue how 2024 will go, I guess cos I'm not even sure the incumbent prez will be running.

With that being said, I'm gonna guess Biden or Harris win in '24 and the GOP win in '28

[TodayJunior]

When hell freezes over.

Exactly. Two words: Donald trump or January 6. Pick one. Either one makes them screwed 40 ways from Sunday.

[EastwoodS]

When hell freezes over.

Exactly. Two words: Donald trump or January 6. Pick one. Either one makes them screwed 40 ways from Sunday.

Y’all are in fairyland. Come back to reality, please.

[TodayJunior]

When hell freezes over.

Exactly. Two words: Donald trump or January 6. Pick one. Either one makes them screwed 40 ways from Sunday.

Y’all are in fairyland. Come back to reality, please.

I'm just saying I don't understand sticking by a guy who just lost by 7 million votes and lost two GOP strongholds (AZ, GA) who is toxic to a MAJORITY of the electorate. If I were a Republican, I would definitely reconsider. If they renominate him again, you risk losing anyone who's not part of the MAGA base and increasing opposition turnout again. If you nominate someone else more on the establishment side, you risk low turnout. I see nothing but a dead end for the GOP.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We don't know but it's very hard for Rs to win Majority with their members are retiring

Sifton, Fetterman, Ryan, Jackson never have lost a race before, but Abbey Faunekarr has, but Biden has a net Approvals in IA unlike in ,,2020, with a wave we can get 240 H and 56/44 Senate. Ryan lost the nomination, for Prez, doesn't count

We have turned into Israel, since Ariel Sharon, the Labor party has been out of power since, the same can happen as we are now in electric energy Economy not a fossil fuel economy, R to D country
 

As Minorities make up 100 M, WC Females are 100M and WC males make up 100M. 200 M is greater than 100M. Even if WC females are married to WC male hubby just like Cindy McCain, they vote D, the math isn't there anymore for Evangelicals, sorry

[One Term Floridian]

2040. It will take at least a generation of new voters who don’t remember DJT to wipe out the stench/stain of who he was no matter who the nominees are of either party. The only way it happens earlier is if the Democrats fracture, which is unlikely.

lol.

Idk why so many Dems feel Trump is Hoover 2.0 he’s clearly not.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

2040. It will take at least a generation of new voters who don’t remember DJT to wipe out the stench/stain of who he was no matter who the nominees are of either party. The only way it happens earlier is if the Democrats fracture, which is unlikely.

lol.

Idk why so many Dems feel Trump is Hoover 2.0 he’s clearly not.

He is Hoover, Historical fact, no Prez except Hoover and Taft has lost the House in a  Midterm and lost the WH and Senate in the next Prez Election, all three served 1 term

We haven't had a post Insurrectionists Election until 2022, when we do with all these R retirements, we can have a Hoover Midterms

[dw93]

UPDATE:

After saying 2024 or 2028 on November 10th, I'm now upping it to 2028 or 2032. I think the capitol insurrection and Trump's general conduct since the election (which continues to this day), as well as a likely recovered economy will tank the GOP (though only narrowly) in 2024.

[EastwoodS]

UPDATE:

After saying 2024 or 2028 on November 10th, I'm now upping it to 2028 or 2032. I think the capitol insurrection and Trump's general conduct since the election (which continues to this day), as well as a likely recovered economy will tank the GOP (though only narrowly) in 2024.

Lol, is it always January 7th in your world? If you really think that the insurrection is the main reason for a GOP lose in 2024, then I already know the GOP is winning in 2024. Lol.

[dw93]

UPDATE:

After saying 2024 or 2028 on November 10th, I'm now upping it to 2028 or 2032. I think the capitol insurrection and Trump's general conduct since the election (which continues to this day), as well as a likely recovered economy will tank the GOP (though only narrowly) in 2024.

Lol, is it always January 7th in your world? If you really think that the insurrection is the main reason for a GOP lose in 2024, then I already know the GOP is winning in 2024. Lol.

If you read the whole post you’d see I listed Trump’s general conduct since 11/3 as well as a likely recovered economy as other reasons for a Dem victory in 2024.