Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0
pbrower2a:
Quote from: Mr.Barkari Sellers on August 10, 2022, 12:25:52 AM
It doesn't even matter because we only need blue states to win not red states and D's are winning all the blue states at 45 percent in the S and Gov and Beasley, Demings and Ryan are over performing in red states.
Hillary Clinton 2016 + MI + PA + WI. Anything beyond that is icing on the cake. Arizona may be drifting D much as Colorado and New Mexico did in Obama campaigns and kept doing so, and Arizona demographics are close to those of Colorado and New Mexico. It's too early to tell, but Greater Atlanta could make Illinois in the 1990's relevant as the suburbs start to go D. You may not think of Atlanta and Chicago having much in common -- but they are economic powerhouses in their regions and they are much more cosmopolitan than the more rural areas within their states.
Ohio used to be a swing state, and it is not all that long ago that it had two D Senators (Glenn and Metzenbaum). The R shift reflects that the cities other than Columbus have been hemorrhaging people with Ohio becoming more urban. If cities such as Cincinnati, Cleveland, Dayton, and Toledo can recover (Youngstown is going from being a city to a town), then Democrats recover.
Then there is the phenomenon of Donald Trump, who has ever-fanatical, deluded (perhaps even demented) support among an ever-shrinking constituency. Trump is delayed damage. Trump is the Enron Corporation of electoral politics Enron went from one of the most admired companies in America to the most derided, in the meantime going into bankruptcy and receivership.
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That's why you don't over donate in this Environment you pick one like I am doing Tim Ryan and donate to them you don't donate to everyone.
You are making a good choice.
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Rs are underperforming they were expected to win 245 H seats and 54 Senate Seats and they aren't because in 2020 they offered us 2K stimulus checks, together they went back to their tax cuts for the rich,. That's why Collins over perform because of Tara Reade and she negotiate 2K stimulus checks she is DOA in 26 to Jared Golden Filibuster Voting Rights and voting against Inflation Reduction Act no matter what she does on SSM that's why Mills, Golden are winning and King called Collins out on blocking Voting Rights.
It could also be that Donald Trump has severely damaged the Republican Party with his misconduct and his demand that Republicans support his cult of personality and defend him against allegations of serious malfeasance. Those connected to him in any way are at risk of defeat. Republicans should have kept some distance from him just as prominent people stayed clear of John Gotti. Few people of political or administrative relevance had their careers ruined when Gotti was ruined. But -- the Mafia is more infamous than famous, and in general people of real ability want anything to do with the Mafia. Trump was more mainstream until he betrayed the mainstream of American economic and political life.
The GOP has drifted from the center-right (Gerald Ford) to the disreputable, if not fascist Right (John Birch Society, which has not changed since the 1960's), but the current GOP has gone that way. To be fully fascist, one needs to support either genocidal (Nazis, Ba'athism) or potentially-genocidal (KKK) causes or brutal military regimes (Pinochet's Chile or current Myanmar).
wbrocks67:
Back above 40% in Morning Consult-
both in their regular Politico poll (42/56) from August 10th
and their global leader weekly poll (40/53) which just got updated today
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers:
Just a quick note FL has shifted from Lean Crist to Lean DeSantis because D's just raised taxes on Inflation Reduction Act, and FL is an anti tax state and we know summer polls are more D friendly
So, if Vance, or Budd jumps into the lead that is why Raising taxes it's not gonna effect the 303 map but wave insurance it definitely will effect, it will be a 52 D Senate 303 map unchanged but the H and if D's can get more seats in the Senate we don't know and some Latinos are very conservative on taxes as whites are
They haven't polled NV with CCM, but she is more vulnerable according to Nate Silver than Kelly and Fetterman
GeorgiaModerate:
Fox News, Aug. 6-9, 1002 RV (change from mid-July)
Approve 42 (+2)
Disapprove 58 (-1)
Strongly approve 19 (+3)
Strongly disapprove 40 (-1)
GCB: D 41 (nc), R 41 (-3)
philly09:
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 11, 2022, 05:35:13 PM
Fox News, Aug. 6-9, 1002 RV (change from mid-July)
Approve 42 (+2)
Disapprove 58 (-1)
Strongly approve 19 (+3)
Strongly disapprove 40 (-1)
GCB: D 41 (nc), R 41 (-3)
From R+3 to EVEN. Trends are real.
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