bagelman
Junior Chimp
    
Posts: 8,973

Political Matrix E: -2.60, S: -0.90
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« Reply #1 on: November 12, 2020, 02:00:05 AM » |
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Sanders - maybe. We would be less surprised by the very poor margins in the states needed, but I think he scrapes by. Though I'm not confident in this.
Gabbard - underrated. Wasn't worth nominating but not a terrible choice for candidate. Bad choice for POTUS though.
Warren - 50/50 tossup election with her. She needs the anti-Trump vote and all of it. Much less appealing than Sanders.
Bloomberg - here felons have some money to vote for Trump and make FL Likely R.
Klobuchar - a tough girl power candidate that can appeal to older white women could've outpreformed Biden in some areas.
Buttigieg - No! Minority turnout craters, and it's not because he's gay! Loses! My poor mom would be devastated.
Steyer - literal CEO will not win back Bernie Bros.
Patrick - boring, lean No
Bennet - maybe
Yang - yes
Delaney - no
Booker - probably not
Williamson - no
Castro - doubt it, no charisma
Harris - doubt it, poor fit for WI/MI/PA. Best candidate to win GA while losing lol.
note that doubt it ≠ guaranteed loss
Bullock - probably wins, doesn't win MT which is a moral defeat but good candidate
Messam - no
Beto - will help Dems register new Trump voters across the nation. TX's Biden swing is nullified. Independents believe the election is a referendum on the abolition of the second amendment. Maybe 2018 does OK?
Ryan - doubt it, boring. Look at how horrible he did in the Youngstown-Akron DEM vote sink. Akron dragged him across the finish line.
de Blasio - good candidate to give Trump 70% in Staten Island. No.
Gillibrand - generic Dem isn't horrible? Unsure she's been gone a while.
Moulton - doubt it but not terribly familiar with him. Congressmen who run for POTUS often have delusions of grandeur or are just trying to raise their profiles.
Inslee - solid choice for the base. Dems give up on OH and focus on east rather than west PA.
Gravel - attacks on age will be solid hits on this has been
Swalwell - No! "Pass the Torch" was cringeworthy enough in 2019 among Democrats, imagine how older independents would react!
Ojeda - I wish but no. Won't get enough of the educated vote. Loss would be a tear jerker.
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