If you had to stake your life on 45 states, which 5 states would remain?

[ProudModerate2]

Swap out FL with NH for me.

I'm struggling between NH or FL also.
But with the OP implying a Biden vs trump scenario, I think I will stick with FL and say the OP's 5-State map is correct.

[jaichind]

Swap out FL with NH for me.

I'm struggling between NH or FL also.
But with the OP implying a Biden vs trump scenario, I think I will stick with FL and say the OP's 5-State map is correct.

My is a 3 way struggle between FL MN and NH

[W]

willing to stake on 46. will not touch AZ, WI, NC, FL.

[Queen Isuelt]

willing to stake on 46. will not touch AZ, WI, NC, FL.

Why not Arizona?

It’s an old voting state similar to Florida. Kristen Sinema is the only democrat to win in decades. The BernieBros hate her and progressives have no shot here.

Bernie has no chance in Florida because his support with anyone over 40 collapses. Bernie can only win via an inside straight, he has to gain Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania and hold Nevada and Minnesota. Ilhan Omar is a real drag for Bernie outside of the twin cities.

[ProudModerate2]

willing to stake on 46. will not touch AZ, WI, NC, FL.

Why not Arizona?

It’s an old voting state similar to Florida. Kristen Sinema is the only democrat to win in decades. The BernieBros hate her and progressives have no shot here ...

I think enthusiasm for Kelly in the AZ Senate race, will drag some (a good portion of) voters in this state to vote Dem in the presidential race. IMO, this is why AZ may come-into-play for 2020.

[LiberalDem19]

California, New York, Alabama, Tennessee, and Oregon.

Okay, in all seriousness:

Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Florida, and Arizona

[RGM2609]

WI, MI, PA, IA and AZ

[All Along The Watchtower]

Fear times Five.

[Libertas Vel Mors]

Really depends on the nominee.

I will vote Trump if Klobuchar is not the nominee and vote for Slotkin. Senate I haven’t decided yet.

So my five are Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa and Pennsylvania.

Arizona, Florida and Georgia will 99% vote republican if they vote for a loon. (Sanders/warren). Pete will get crushed by trump.

Florida is so hard to win for democrats. Minnesota is going to be very tough.

You think Minnesota is a near-lock for Trump?

Definitely.

I was watching an event yesterday with Amy Klobuchar and she was talking about how Democrats have retreated from rural/small town America. She was talking about the 32 counties that voted for Barack Obama/Trump in 16 and how it was similar in Minnesota in 16. She even told Clinton in October that she might need to come to Minnesota as voters she knew were with Klobuchar were backing Trump but the Clinton campaign wanted to stay on offence and win Florida, North Carolina and Arizona. The reason she outperforms other Democrats is because she actively and purposefully campaigns in small/rural counties. Klobuchar was talking about Clay and Polk Counties and she’s the only statewide democrat that has people on the ground and continues to meet Trump voters that tell her they had no choice compared to Clinton.

Klobuchars big point is democrats have stopped campaigning in rural districts and giving republicans a free run. I think this happened in Missouri and Ohio where Democrats became so focused on getting out the vote in urban areas they just forgot about the rural vote. There not just farmers.

Trump will spend big money here and Ilhan Omar is not like in Minnesota outside of the district. You also have a very competitive congressional seats.

Tammy Baldwin, Sherrod Brown and Amy Klobuchar are the Template for democrats to win yet the democratic voter isn’t listening.

Completely ignoring the twin cities and their shifts leftward. Seriously, did you spend more than five miliseconds thinking about this?

This. MN is certainly a potential Trump win, but it's no where near a lock, even if MN-07 is.

[Biden his time]

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Dead

[patzer]

If I thought Trump had a 50/50 shot of winning, I'd probably go with OP's map. But I think that Trump has about a one-in-three shot of winning, so:

My next states would be PA, MI, IA, NH, and ME.

I believe you’re the only person in this thread who stayed alive (unless mgop intended a red florida in post 18 but that seems unlikely)