Chile Constitutional Referendum, September 4th 2022

[Antonio the Sixth]

How the f**k is DC surging back to relevance now, of all times? From everything I've seen, they are an utterly useless moderate-hero party that stands up for nothing but the (increasingly hated) status quo. They seem like the last party that would benefit from this political climate.

Well, in this election in particular everyone, including me, underestimated the state of the DC's machine. PS and PPD only coordinated in Valparaíso (where they won) because they assumed the DC had declined more or less to their level. They were wrong. If they (and some other progressive parties) had united in the Metropolitan Region they could have argued that DC triumph happened only because of the rightist vote and would have won in several other places like Bio-Bio.

More generally, is basically FA's fault. PS, in particular, has tried hard to avoid a new Concertación because they hated DC's unloyalty under Bachelet's government but FA itself is too chaotic to reach agreements and many elements within them don't want leftist unity. Constituent Unity exists basically because FA went to inscribe their primaries when they were still negotiating unity primaries among all the left. Chile Vamos has the presidency of the Chamber of deputies because FA couldn't keep their ranks in line and the most recent attempt to regain control failed because of former FA members (Pamela Jiles among them ironically). All of this has pushed PS to an alliance with DC again. And at this point is hard to blame them. Some weeks ago I talked to my mom (a lifelong communist) about the possibility of PS allying with FA instead of DC and she said "Why? they are a fraud too". Honestly, I can not stress enough how much the center-left base (the ones who still voted New Majority in 2017) hates, hates, the FA, me included.

Well this is incredibly depressing, but I guess it's a tale as old as time. Radical edgelords and moderate hacks teaming up to tear the sane left apart. Wonderful.

Thanks for the explanation.

[kaoras]

It's official, the Liberal Party (PL) has left the Frente Amplio. It seems extremely likely that they will join Unidad Constituyente.

FA has had a very turbulent life with many fusions and parties leaving, the main ones Partido Igualdad (PI), Humanista (PH) (which BTW is now basically Pamela Jiles personal vehicle since all the historic leaders left) and Ecologista (PEV) leaving last year after the constitutional accord. They have only attracted Unir and Fuerza Común since then, both funded by ex-PS members that must be feeling pretty stupid right now.


In more news. Unidad Constituyente will do non-binding "conventional" primaries (organized by the parties) in 85 comunas on December 20th for the mayoral elections. PS is still pushing for some primaries among all the left including FA and the Communist Party (PC), but negotiations are still ongoing. FA and Chile Digno (the new PC coalition including the regionalist party FREVS and many small leftist movements) have also reached an accord to some in some regions for governor elections and will negotiate together the possibility of doing primaries with Unidad Constituyente in some municipalities.

[kaoras]

UDD Opinion poll for the Gubernatorial election in Santiago (Región Metropolitana).

Escenario 1

Claudio Orrego (DC) 17%
Karina Oliva (FA) 10%
Hernán Larraín (EVOPOLI) 8%
Pablo Maltés (PH) 4%

Escenario 2

Claudio Orrego (DC) 18%
Karina Oliva (FA) 11%
Cristián Labbe Martínez (UDI) 8%
Pablo Maltés (PH) 4%.

There's other scenario with a doctor that became famous because of the pandemic, but that I would say that is almost troll polling. If no candidate reaches 40%, there's a runoff between the top 2.

This looks awful for Chile Vamos but their candidates really don't have much name recognition yet, so the only way is up. This is why this poll isn't that good for Orrego either, he is by far the most well known of all candidates and still is only at 17-18%. But overall this should be read as another sign of weakness for the right.

BTW, Pablo Maltés is the couple of Pamela Jiles and Cristian Labbe Martínez is the son of Cristián Labbe Galilea, ex secret police agent during the dictatorship who is now in jail for torture. Lovely that the right ran out of human right abusers and now is running their sons.

[kaoras]

Well, there's been A LOT of news but I haven't had time to cover it. I will update later but for now the most noteworthy regarding the upcoming constituent elections is that the reserved seats for indigenous peoples were finally approved.

There will be 17 seats: 7 for the Mapuche, 2 for Aymara, and 1 Diaguita, 1 Colla, 1 Atacameño, 1 Quechua, 1 Yagán, 1 Kaweskar, 1 Chango and 1 Rapa Nui.

These seats will be taken from the original 155 seats and the electoral service will have the adjust the districts' size to make room for them according to the following criteria: Seats must be taken from the districts that have most of the indigenous population of each indigenous people, their size can't be reduced by more than 1 seat and the district can't drop below 3 seats. (Those conditions are totally incompatible with each other BTW, because many of them are concentrated in the extreme regions with only 3 seats, so, good luck with that SERVEL!)

This could actually lead to fairer district sizes. Currently, they are designated in such a way that left-leaning districts have uneven number of seats and right-leaning districts have an even number, so in the case of a close election, the left will get the upper hand. (This worked mostly as intended in 2017)

The electoral system will be nationwide Single Non Transferable vote (corrected afterwards to achieve gender parity) and there will be a special electoral roll with CONADI and other state's services data (like people with "evident" indigenous last names). If people don't appear in that roll they can make a petition to the electoral service to vote in the indigenous roll.
 

[Former President tack50]

Oof for Chile, Single non transferrable vote is one of the worst election systems out there Basically plurinominal FPTP.

[kaoras]

Oof for Chile, Single non transferrable vote is one of the worst election systems out there Basically plurinominal FPTP.

It will be only for the indigenous seats. The rest will still be Open List PR (which is another kind of mess). And honestly, Chile used to have the binominal system which must be THE worst electoral system ever designed so we literally had nowhere to go but up when they made the electoral reform. (But I still dream of Mixed Member Proportional)

[kaoras]

Yesterday Unidad Constituyente did "conventional" primaries (organized by themselves, not by the Electoral Service) for mayoral elections in 73 comunas. 100k people voted, which is double what they expected. (but these were 100% machine's election)

The Christian Democrats were once again the big winners winning more than half of the comunas they disputed (28/53). Full results are:

Democracia Cristiana (DC): 28
Partido Socialista (PS): 17
Partido Radical (PR): 13
Partido Por la Democracia (PPD): 10
Independent: 3
Partido Progresista (PRO): 2

Comments: The DC has been acting like insufferable jerks since the gubernatorial primaries and these results aren't going to help in that regard. I just hope they don't jeopardize omission deals with the rest of the left.

PS results are meh (they expected between 10-20 because most of their strong zones were already secured by the party in negotiations). PS had grown used to being the biggest party of the left these last few years, which is why they desperately tried to avoid another coalition with the DC (because without them they are the big dudes). In fact, they are still trying, they want to create a new political coalition with the Liberal Party (PL), PPD-PR, and former RD members without the DC, but at the same time keeping Unidad Constituyente as an alliance for purely electoral purposes (Don't worry, I don't get it either).

PPD machine really is on life support if they are being beaten by the radicals of all people. That is like, getting beaten by the French radicals.

Frente Amplio participated in 3 primaries and lost badly in all

[kaoras]

The presidential race is on fire:

Chile Vamos:
-Joaquin Lavin (UDI) still best positioned in the polls but has fallen somewhat recently. Still unclear if it will run for re-election as mayor of Las Condes
-Evelyn Matthei (UDI) still best positioned in the right's primary polls. She WILL run for re-election as mayor of Providencia in April. That would be very interesting because there is a non-0 chance she could lose which would likely end her candidacy before the primary in July
-Mario Desbordes (RN). Left Piñera's Cabinet recently (Piñera pushed potential candidates to resign). Could be proclaimed by PRI as their candidate soon. Its main selling point is that he was one of the few on the right that didn't behave like a headless chicken during the social uprising.
-Sebastian Sichel (Ind). Ex-DC, Ex-Ciudadanos, also had to resign from the State Bank direction recently along with Desbordes. He literally invented a polling firm to show that "he polls well". Chile Vamos parties have said that they will allow him to compete in their primary

Jose Antonio Kast will run again with his Republican party but is almost sure that he won't participate in a primary with Chile Vamos.

On the Left (oh boy)

On the Christian Democrats (DC): Alberto Undurraga (former minister, rightist faction) and Ximena Rincón (senator, leftist faction) will face each other in an internal primary on January 17th.

Partido Radical (PR): They proclaimed their president Carlos Maldonado as their candidate for a center-left primary, he will go absolutely nowhere.

Partido por la Democracia (PPD): They will do an internal primary on January 31st between party president Heraldo Muñoz, party vice-president Francisco Vidal and ex-deputy Jorge Tarud. The real battle is between Muñoz and Vidal. Muñoz has more support within the party but Vidal is more popular among the public (well, by center-left candidates' standards). Machine boss Guido Girardi could easily tip the balance for one or another.  

Partido Socialista (PS): They really want to have a candidate, and they really want that candidate to not be former OAS secretary Jose Miguel Insulsa (only one in the party that seems to actually want to run). Deputies are asking party president and former minister Alvaro Elizalde to run. I think he might cave if only to not be stuck with Insulsa (they said that they will do an internal primary before January 31th)

Frente Amplio (FA) : Is still unknown if Beatriz Sanches will run again. She has been totally unable to remain in the public eye during this government despite being the coalition's spokeswoman. Deputy and ex-PS Marcelo Diaz has said he is running.

Partido Comunista (PC): They will run Daniel Jadue, no doubt. He is at the top of the polls along with Pamela Jiles (but Jadue is more popular among leftist)

Is very likely that FA and PC will do a Primary together. In the Centre-left parties, the situation is still unclear

Partido Humanista (PH): Pamela Jiles is clearly running, riding high in the populist wave. PH is now Jiles personal vehicle after completing the hostile takeover this year. Most likely she will go to the first round directly.

[kaoras]

Servel released the new distribution of seats per district. They didn't think particularly hard about it and just slashed one seat to the 17 districts with the highest % of indigenous population that had more than 3 seats. Here it is

https://twitter.com/kennethbunker/status/1342869469337694209

Now on the coalition game:

FA and the Communist Party (PC) reached an alliance for governors election and a general alliance for constituent and the municipal election is imminent (with cringy twitter drama included). This is being called the "left pole" and includes some small movements allied with PC.

More to the left, the Ecologist Party will run alone while the PH has a new coalition called Diginad Ahora (Dignity Now) with former FA members like Partido Igualdad and small movements.

There are also a lot of independent candidatures and lists (the most notorious ones are left-ish) and small hardcore tankie parties like Unión Patriotica. Is unclear how many of them will make it to the ballot, the deadline is January 11th.

On the centre-left, PS seem to be kinda serious in their attempt to form a "social democratic pole" with the PPD-PR-PL-PRO and ex FA members, excluding the DC. DC said they don't care as long as is done inside Unidad Constituyene, but PS intent seems to be to create a political coalition without the DC and rendering Unidad Constituyente to a mere electoral pact of convenience.

Speaking of PS, a group of members are pushing for former Bachelet's spokeswoman Paula Narvaez to be their presidential candidate, claiming that she is heir to Bachelet legacy. PS is so desperate that if she accepts I think they will just roll with her. She is a way better option than Alvaro Elizalde, that's for sure.

[kaoras]

Cadem Poll for primaries on the Right/Chile Vamos. Relevant numbers are in purple (people who actually intend to vote in that primary)



I absolutely refuse to believe that Sichel suddenly got that popular overnight among the right base. I'm honestly perplexed considering he barely registers in the general polls. Maybe he will crash and burn a la Golborne but I guess we will have to keep an eye on him. In any case, Evelyn Matthei still leads in the most likely scenario and Lavin is really weak among the base. Jose Antonio Kast, in the very unlikely scenario where he runs in the Chile Vamos primary, at best would serve as a spoiler to Matthei.

[kaoras]

Speaking of PS, a group of members are pushing for former Bachelet's spokeswoman Paula Narvaez to be their presidential candidate, claiming that she is heir to Bachelet legacy. PS is so desperate that if she accepts I think they will just roll with her. She is a way better option than Alvaro Elizalde, that's for sure.

Well, speaking of that, guess who signed that petition... Michelle Bachelet herself. That is huuuge. Considering how uninterested (and unpopular) Elizalde is and how much resistance exists to Insulza, Bachelet endorsement basically assures that Paula Narvaez is going to be the PS candidate. Bachelet is the only ex-president and major figure of the centre-left that remains popular among leftist, if she starts supporting Narvaez more publicly then Narvaez could really start taking off in the centre-left primary polls.

[Lumine]

I have to admit Sichel suddenly appearing to be popular - although he did poll well as a minister - is unexpected, but if it helps (purely anecdotal evidence) when I brought up his name in a number of conversations I was surprised to hear a positive reaction. As to him polling well among right-wing voters, maybe it's an issue of pragmatism, in the sense that he (theoretically) seems like someone who would appeal to centrist voters and expand Chile Vamos whilst not being ideologically suspicious - unlike say, Desbordes and Lavin - by virtue of not having outlined a lot of specific stances.

Maybe he'll have actual appeal among independents and do surprisingly well on the primary, though precedents would indeed suggest he's more likely to crash and burn in spectacular fashion.

As to Narvaez, it will be fascinating to see how far a Bachelet endorsement can take her. I have no doubt she has the sufficient prestige to ensure Narvaez steamrolls Insulza and Elizalde, but it will be interesting to see how much of an impact this might cause on the polls and Unidad Constituyente itself.

[kaoras]

Interesting tidbit about Sichel, I will take note. As for anectodal evidence, I brought Narvaez to my family and their reactions were basically: "who was she again?" followed by "if Bachelet supports her she has my vote" (though we are as hardcore Bacheletist as it gets). Her biggest problem right now is that nobody remembers her and a change.org signature isn't exactly the most noticeable endorsement for the nonpolitical engaged (where Bachelet tends to be more popular). I think it will take a while before she takes off, but steamrolling Insulza in a possible PS primary could help with that.

[kaoras]

I have to admit Sichel suddenly appearing to be popular - although he did poll well as a minister - is unexpected, but if it helps (purely anecdotal evidence) when I brought up his name in a number of conversations I was surprised to hear a positive reaction. As to him polling well among right-wing voters, maybe it's an issue of pragmatism, in the sense that he (theoretically) seems like someone who would appeal to centrist voters and expand Chile Vamos whilst not being ideologically suspicious - unlike say, Desbordes and Lavin - by virtue of not having outlined a lot of specific stances.

Hmm, I read the theory on Twitter that Sichel is an Allamand-Larraín operation against Mario Desbordes. Some dirigents are also asking RN council to give freedom of action to support Sichel. What do you think of that?  

[Lumine]

I have to admit Sichel suddenly appearing to be popular - although he did poll well as a minister - is unexpected, but if it helps (purely anecdotal evidence) when I brought up his name in a number of conversations I was surprised to hear a positive reaction. As to him polling well among right-wing voters, maybe it's an issue of pragmatism, in the sense that he (theoretically) seems like someone who would appeal to centrist voters and expand Chile Vamos whilst not being ideologically suspicious - unlike say, Desbordes and Lavin - by virtue of not having outlined a lot of specific stances.

Hmm, I read the theory on Twitter that Sichel is an Allamand-Larraín operation against Mario Desbordes. Some dirigents are also asking RN council to give freedom of action to support Sichel. What do you think of that?  

Well, I do remember Sichel was considered as a presidential candidate for Ciudadanos + Amplitud - when Velasco and Perez didn't want to do it - in 2017, so I'd take his ambition to be president and his actual campaign seriously. However, I do believe Allamand and company have settled on him as a clever way to neutralize and undermine Desbordes (I read a story today which reported Senator Chahuan as having been in "constructive" talks with Sichel for some time now), and will try to use that opportunity.

I'm not sure if RN will indeed declare freedom of action, if only because Desbordes is said to control roughly 40% of the council and it doesn't seem likely his critics will be able to form a majority for it. In any case, at the very least I would expect a number of the pro-Allamand deputies to declare for Sichel, and a far more interesting scenario if RN does declare freedom of action.

On the bright side for Desbordes, at least he's being nominated by the PRI this week...

[Estrella]

Will there be any restrictions on who is allowed to contest Indigenous seats (like, only independents or community organizations) or will "national" parties be able to take part too? If it's the latter, do you have an idea who the seats could go to?

[kaoras]

Will there be any restrictions on who is allowed to contest Indigenous seats (like, only independents or community organizations) or will "national" parties be able to take part too? If it's the latter, do you have an idea who the seats could go to?

Candidates must run only as individuals, but members of political parties can run for those seats too, although they have to follow the same requisites. Mapuche, Aymara and Diaguita candidates need the support of either 3 communities / 5 indigenous associations / 1 traditional leadership / or 120 signatures of indigenous people (of their same people) registered in the Indigenous Development Corporation list. Other peoples need only 1 community/association or 60 signatures.

The traditional communities have had a lot of problems registering candidates because of the short time they were given (until January 11th).

I don't know how those seats could go. Aymaras are very right-leaning and Mapuche who live in rural communities lean slightly to the right according to studies even if their political leadership is overwhelming left-wing. So I have no idea, left-leaning parties have better infrastructure to run candidates, but I don't think anyone can say anything with confidence at this stage.

[kaoras]

The political news this week has been all about Sichel and Narvaez. The last Activa poll (fieldwork ended right before Bachelet support for Narvaez) actually has Sichel surging, so I guess this is for real.

Lavin 12,7
Jiles 11,9
Jadue 9,1
Matthei 7,2
Sichel 6,2 (up from 1,6)

Likely voters:

Jadue 13,7
Jiles 13,2
Lavin 11,5
Matthei 8,9
Sichel 5,7

As Lumine mentioned, Sichel reached an accord with senator and also candidate Francisco Chahúan (RN) for "fair play" and to consolidate a "centre axis" in Chile Vamos. RN vice-president (close to Allamand) is pushing more aggressively for freedom of action in the party.

On the Narvaez front, Bachelet endorsement has caused a snowball effect within the PS, even many deputies, and senators that signed the petition for Alvaro Elizalde last week are now in team Narvaez, notably senator Isabel Allende which is important since she is the leader of an important internal faction within PS and could help to secure open primaries. Is honestly kinda surreal all the buzz and non-stop talk about someone that hasn't even confirmed that she wants to run for president (although is almost secure that she will announce formaly after new year). El Mostrador said that Bachelet is planning a more potent gesture for Narvaez to elevate her name recognition.

[Lumine]

Five days to go until candidacies for April are formalized on January 11th, and things are moving really fast.

Among other developments:

• Joaquin Lavin is in for the Presidential race. While not a surprise, the announcement comes far earlier than anyone expected, and he will not run for reelection as mayor. The timing is fascinating, because it probably tries to undermine Jadue/Matthei due to both running for mayor and then - presumably - for president.

-

• Beatriz Sanchez is out, though the fact that this was announced early by a Frente Amplio party chairman caused an internal scandal on by itself. It does seem that the Frente Amplio is starting to panic in finding a presidential nominee, as Fernando Atria (Plan B) turned them down as well. Both Atria and Sanchez should run for the constituent convention. Marcelo Diaz still in and pressuring for primaries.

-

• We're getting a new cabinet reshuffle within the hour as Monckeberg (Presidency) and Walker (Agriculture) are allegedly going to run for the constituent elections.

-

• It is all but confirmed there will not be a unity list for the left. We're likely headed for at least four (Unidad Constituyente, PC+Frente Amplio, the Humanists and the Ecologists), plus literally dozens of left wing - or left leaning - independents.

-

• A unity list for the right may yet happen, as there's a lot of internal pressure to include about a dozen candidates from JAK's Partido Republicano in the Chile Vamos list. A mistake and a wrong approach in my opinion, but those of us against a constituent pact seem to be in the clear minority.

(Also Narvaez seems to be taking off indeed, though she's yet to be polled)

[kaoras]

From a purely electoral point of view including JAK that way is likely the best option. I doubt there are many people who are still planning to vote for Chile Vamos this year that will be turned off by Kast. Besides, the option is the integration of known figures so (probably) no crazy lunatics there, and it will favor them in the seat distribution because of the crazy division of the left (Why the Humanists and Ecologists run alone again? I would have thought they would at least pact with each other).

I think what could be more damaging for the right is the Felices y Forrados list of independents (which is supported by a kinda shady business that has gained popularity because they are usually at odds with the private pension funds, is a long story). Some analysts say that it could gain traction from the Errazuriz-Parisi- populist -vaguely right-leaning electorate. (There is some leftist wishful thinking in that train of thought but given how "traditional" the Chile Vamos list is shaping out to be, I think there's definitely a market for that)
 

[kaoras]

Narvaez won't make any movement until after the PS council meeting on January 16th which will decide the mechanism to select their presidential candidate. I think that's kinda dumb considering almost all of PS has already fallen behind her but apparently she doesn't want to risk her gig at UN for nothing .

She was polled on Criteria and got 7% in an all-left primary poll with weird wording, higher than Elizalde and Insulza (4% both). It's fine for a start considering her abysmal name ID, but as I said earlier, it will take a while and she will need a more noticeable endorsement from Bachelet and an internal primary within PS to get herself known (PS insiders say that she could take up to 90% of the vote in an open primary against Insulza and I can totally see that tbh)

[kaoras]

The Unity list between Chile Vamos and Republicanos in 8 districts was approved by RN and Evopoli. Republicanos will compete with 10 candidates. I'm not sure if in the other districts they are still going to run separately. In any case, a clear contrast with the absolute chaos of the left. They honestly deserve everything they get.

 
In other things, primary polls by DataInfluye:



Narvaéz leads in Constituent Unity, a three-way tie in Chile Vamos (but including JAK, without him Matthei would probably lead) and Jadue crushing Jiles in a hypothetical FA-PC primary (which I insist, Jiles isn't part of FA nor PC...). Only FA candidate that has said he wants to run, Marcelo Díaz, is at expectacular 0%.

[Estrella]

The Unity list between Chile Vamos and Republicanos in 8 districts was approved by RN and Evopoli. Republicanos will compete with 10 candidates. I'm not sure if in the other districts they are still going to run separately. In any case, a clear contrast with the absolute chaos of the left. They honestly deserve everything they get.

Would that present an opening for Ciudadanos/Sentido Futuro/Amplitud/whatever they're calling themselves today?

[kaoras]

The Unity list between Chile Vamos and Republicanos in 8 districts was approved by RN and Evopoli. Republicanos will compete with 10 candidates. I'm not sure if in the other districts they are still going to run separately. In any case, a clear contrast with the absolute chaos of the left. They honestly deserve everything they get.

Would that present an opening for Ciudadanos/Sentido Futuro/Amplitud/whatever they're calling themselves today?

Ciudadanos is in Unidad Constituyente and Amplitud doesn't exist anymore, in fact, one of their main figures was Sebestián Sichel . Danger for the Right will come in form of independent candidatures and small parties (I read today about the inscription of a Conservative Cristian Party list lol). The always godawful pundit commentariat seems sure that the independents will only affect the left but there's plenty of dissafected rightwingers out there looking for alternatives.

[kaoras]

Well, the inscription of the list for the elections was a total dumpster fire, very spicy, let's see:

Constituent Elections:

Vamos Chile: Chile Vamos (UDI-RN-PRI-EVOPOLI) + Partido Republicano (PRep).

The united rightist list has caused trouble because Kast's Republican Party inscribed far-right hack Teresa Marinovic in district 10 (not one of the names that they proposed to Chile Vamos). This caused the resignation of RN Sylvia Eyzaguirre from the list (she can't actually do that) and a lot of drama in the right, saying that they wouldn't have approved the deal if they knew that Marinovic was going to be a candidate. Dissidence to RN directive has seized this chance and is pushing once again for the resignation of the pro-Desbordes party president. Kast said that Marinovic is going to continue as a candidate and is openly gloating about the goal he scored to Chile Vamos.

La Lista del Apruebo ("The Approve's list"): Unidad Constituyente (DC-PS-PPD-PR-PRO-Ciudadanos) + Nuevo Trato (PL + ex FA Members).

Centre-Left plus the former moderate wing of the Broad Front trying to catch low info voters with their name. Hilarious amount of infighting between PS and DC for municipal elections but we'll see that later.

Apruebo Dignidad ("I approve dignity"): Frente Amplio (RD-CS-C)+ Chile Digno (PC+FRVS) + Partido Igualdad (PI)

The leftist pole between FA and the Communist Party + some social movements. Having seen the composition of the list I'm going to say the Communist party is going to eat the FA alive. They tried to reach an alliance with the Humanist alliance (Dignidad Ahora, PH+PI) but they walked out after a sexual abuse allegation against a PH deputy (Which honestly seem more like a convenient excuse from FA-PC to not reach an agreement they didn't want) and ended up including only the PI

Humanist Pary (PH) : See drama above.

Ecologist Green Party (PEV) : Running alone for some reason that is beyond the comprehension of our simple minds.

Unión Patriótica (UPA- Patriotic Union): Tankies from the Communist Party - Proletary Action led by Eduardo Artés who got 0,5% in the last presidential election.

Partido de los Trabajadores Revolucionarios (PTR- Workers Revolutionary Party): Hilariously high-income Trotskyists, literally rich blonde guys role-playing as revolutionaries.

Ciudadanos Cristianos (Christian Citizens): Conservative Christian Party (PCC) + National Citizen Party (PNC)

PCC are evangelicals and PNC is a tiny RN splinter. Haven't been able to found how many candidates they will run.

Plus a myriad of independent lists like Independientes No Neutrales (center-left), Lista del Pueblo (left), Felices y Forrados (populism), and a lot of independent candidatures but we don't know how many of them will make it to the ballot, we will know in a few weeks. But for now, there a total of 78! lists, you can check them all here: https://www.servel.cl/sorteo-del-orden-de-las-listas-declaradas-para-elecciones-de-abril-de-2021/