CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD (user search)
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  CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD (search mode)
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Author Topic: CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD  (Read 66959 times)
Coastal Elitist
Tea Party Hater
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,252
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.71, S: 2.26

« on: November 16, 2020, 12:47:48 PM »
« edited: November 16, 2020, 01:06:23 PM by Coastal Elitist »


Rouda probably would have beaten generic R in 2018. He's a strong candidate for the area and Newsom is weak. Regardless, the district is essentially 50-50.
Lol no this is a terrible take he's not a strong candidate at all. I was surprised more people didn't have this race on their radar as a potential flip. First off Rouda is from the most liberal part of the district in Laguna Beach and is way to liberal for the district. Also in 2016 Rouda won conservative Huntington Beach and lost even more conservative Newport Beach by only a few thousand votes so it's obvious that voters wanted to get rid of Rohrabacher. Against a generic R Huntington Beach would definitely flip back and the margin in Newport Beach would increase and both of those things happened with Steel. She's currently winning Huntington Beach by about 7,500 and Newport Beach by 8,500 and she outperformed Rohrabacher's numbers everywhere else including in Laguna Beach. She also flipped Fountain Valley, Garden Grove, Laguna Niguel and Seal Beach which are all places a generic R should win. I wasn't surprised at all that he lost.

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Coastal Elitist
Tea Party Hater
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,252
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.71, S: 2.26

« Reply #1 on: November 17, 2020, 10:48:23 PM »

A vote dump from kern county goes 56/43 for cox.

pretty sure he only needed 55%.

stay tuned?
No

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Coastal Elitist
Tea Party Hater
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,252
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.71, S: 2.26

« Reply #2 on: November 18, 2020, 08:19:15 PM »

lol Kern will drag this one out:
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Coastal Elitist
Tea Party Hater
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,252
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.71, S: 2.26

« Reply #3 on: November 20, 2020, 09:12:45 PM »

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Coastal Elitist
Tea Party Hater
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,252
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.71, S: 2.26

« Reply #4 on: November 26, 2020, 12:08:26 AM »

Kings also updated and is basically done

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Coastal Elitist
Tea Party Hater
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,252
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.71, S: 2.26

« Reply #5 on: November 26, 2020, 12:18:27 AM »

Valadao declares victory

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Coastal Elitist
Tea Party Hater
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,252
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.71, S: 2.26

« Reply #6 on: November 27, 2020, 12:15:00 AM »



But Cisneros has a fairly conservative voting record, so that doesn't fit a certain narrative.
No he doesn't. All the CA Democrats that flipped seats in 2018 have super left wing voting records
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Coastal Elitist
Tea Party Hater
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,252
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.71, S: 2.26

« Reply #7 on: December 01, 2020, 03:07:01 AM »

It's nice when the late ballot trend your parties way. It shouldn't have been surprising in CA that the late ballots trended mostly R as the ballot tracker showed Rs narrowing the gap as it got closer to election day also on election night Trump was losing Placer and barely ahead in El Dorado and Kern. I'm glad that I was actually right this time about the CA house races. All the ones I had flipping did flip.
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