CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD
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Author Topic: CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD  (Read 66940 times)
lfromnj
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« Reply #1675 on: November 24, 2020, 01:48:50 PM »
IA02 and IA01 are about the same for both 2016/2012 and probably 2020. However Iowa 2nd is closer to Missouri so its rurals are way more red but it also has johnson county which has the university of iowa and is super blue. Iowa 1st's doesn't have any deep blue areas but its rurals are a bit less red.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1676 on: November 24, 2020, 02:02:23 PM »
« Edited: November 24, 2020, 02:13:12 PM by Roll Roons »
Quote from: lfromnj on November 24, 2020, 01:48:50 PM
IA02 and IA01 are about the same for both 2016/2012 and probably 2020. However Iowa 2nd is closer to Missouri so its rurals are way more red but it also has johnson county which has the university of iowa and is super blue. Iowa 1st's doesn't have any deep blue areas but its rurals are a bit less red.

If Hart and Brindisi both end up losing, low college turnout can definitely be blamed in both districts. In 2018, campus turnout at the University of Illinois was a big part of the reason the race in IL-13 was so close. We would have likely seen clear Democratic victories if there was campus organizing at the University of Iowa or SUNY Binghamton.
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VAR
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« Reply #1677 on: November 24, 2020, 02:05:31 PM »
Hyde-Smith up by only 10.03%. This could be closer than MT-SEN.
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2016
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« Reply #1678 on: November 24, 2020, 02:28:26 PM »
Miller-Meeks now ahead by 41 Votes
https://electionresults.iowa.gov/IA/106279/web.264614/#/detail/1300
Even if you throw in the Scott & Jasper Recounts (should they stand as they are) Miller-Meeks would still be ahead.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #1679 on: November 24, 2020, 02:33:17 PM »
Quote from: 2016 on November 24, 2020, 02:28:26 PM
Miller-Meeks now ahead by 41 Votes
https://electionresults.iowa.gov/IA/106279/web.264614/#/detail/1300
Even if you throw in the Scott & Jasper Recounts (should they stand as they are) Miller-Meeks would still be ahead.

If that's correct then she's ahead by two votes; it'll come down to Johnson County.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #1680 on: November 24, 2020, 02:35:08 PM »
Quote from: Position TBD Pete on November 24, 2020, 02:33:17 PM
Quote from: 2016 on November 24, 2020, 02:28:26 PM
Miller-Meeks now ahead by 41 Votes
https://electionresults.iowa.gov/IA/106279/web.264614/#/detail/1300
Even if you throw in the Scott & Jasper Recounts (should they stand as they are) Miller-Meeks would still be ahead.

If that's correct then she's ahead by two votes; it'll come down to Johnson County.

My math has Hart up by 4 votes, unless I'm missing something.
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Matty
boshembechle
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« Reply #1681 on: November 24, 2020, 02:36:03 PM »
Who cares? This isn’t going to be decided for months, at which point it doesn’t matter.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #1682 on: November 24, 2020, 02:37:09 PM »
Quote from: marty on November 24, 2020, 02:36:03 PM
Who cares? This isn’t going to be decided for months, at which point it doesn’t matter.

This. This race will not be solved for a very long time. Expect endless court battles.
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Matty
boshembechle
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« Reply #1683 on: November 24, 2020, 02:41:03 PM »
Quote from: KaiserDave on November 24, 2020, 02:37:09 PM
Quote from: marty on November 24, 2020, 02:36:03 PM
Who cares? This isn’t going to be decided for months, at which point it doesn’t matter.

This. This race will not be solved for a very long time. Expect endless court battles.

It won't be called until after the georgia election outcome, in which EITHER outcome makes this race moot.

if dems win those races, pelosi have one more or one less house seat won't matter.

if dems lose those races, it won't matter what the house passes.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #1684 on: November 24, 2020, 02:45:54 PM »
Quote from: marty on November 24, 2020, 02:36:03 PM
Who cares? This isn’t going to be decided for months, at which point it doesn’t matter.

Ehh, good point. I don't think NY-22 is getting resolved soon either.

How depressing.  Tongue
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Canis
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« Reply #1685 on: November 24, 2020, 02:55:39 PM »
Angelica Duenas came to my College Democrats meeting last Thursday and said she's not conceding the race until all the ballots are counted I really don't see why she hasn't conceded yet though she's down 27,800 votes and their only 41 thousand ballots left to count in LA county and a lot of them aren't in her district she did admit its unlikely she wins but she said she doesn't want to pull a Al Gore. She also announced shes running in 2022 in her words for reelection or a rematch with Cardenas
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2016
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« Reply #1686 on: November 24, 2020, 02:57:22 PM »
Quote from: BudgieForce on November 24, 2020, 02:35:08 PM
Quote from: Position TBD Pete on November 24, 2020, 02:33:17 PM
Quote from: 2016 on November 24, 2020, 02:28:26 PM
Miller-Meeks now ahead by 41 Votes
https://electionresults.iowa.gov/IA/106279/web.264614/#/detail/1300
Even if you throw in the Scott & Jasper Recounts (should they stand as they are) Miller-Meeks would still be ahead.

If that's correct then she's ahead by two votes; it'll come down to Johnson County.

My math has Hart up by 4 votes, unless I'm missing something.
How can Hart be ahead by 4 Votes? She is down 41 according to the Iowa Secretary of State Office. If you would throw in the 30 Votes she netted out of Scott County and the 9 she netted out of Jasper (both yet to be confirmed) Miller-Meeks would still lead by 2 Votes.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #1687 on: November 24, 2020, 03:23:25 PM »
Quote from: 2016 on November 24, 2020, 02:57:22 PM
Quote from: BudgieForce on November 24, 2020, 02:35:08 PM
Quote from: Position TBD Pete on November 24, 2020, 02:33:17 PM
Quote from: 2016 on November 24, 2020, 02:28:26 PM
Miller-Meeks now ahead by 41 Votes
https://electionresults.iowa.gov/IA/106279/web.264614/#/detail/1300
Even if you throw in the Scott & Jasper Recounts (should they stand as they are) Miller-Meeks would still be ahead.

If that's correct then she's ahead by two votes; it'll come down to Johnson County.

My math has Hart up by 4 votes, unless I'm missing something.
How can Hart be ahead by 4 Votes? She is down 41 according to the Iowa Secretary of State Office. If you would throw in the 30 Votes she netted out of Scott County and the 9 she netted out of Jasper (both yet to be confirmed) Miller-Meeks would still lead by 2 Votes.

I never claimed to be good at math.
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Xing
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« Reply #1688 on: November 24, 2020, 03:38:10 PM »
Yeah, IA-02 and NY-22 look like they'll both take months to resolve, at this point.
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2016
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« Reply #1689 on: November 24, 2020, 04:45:58 PM »
NY-22 Update

We will not know the Winner here for weeks if not months!
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VAR
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« Reply #1690 on: November 24, 2020, 04:52:55 PM »
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1691 on: November 24, 2020, 05:06:56 PM »
Quote from: #SaveTheSenate on November 24, 2020, 04:52:55 PM


IMO needed the 100 million resistance cash to be winnable.
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #1692 on: November 24, 2020, 06:01:02 PM »
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UncleSam
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« Reply #1693 on: November 24, 2020, 06:04:47 PM »
Does Los Angeles county have like one intern in a back room somewhere counting votes? How does it take them a week to process ~500 ballots?
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #1694 on: November 24, 2020, 06:06:07 PM »
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #1695 on: November 24, 2020, 06:10:39 PM »
Way below what Smith needed, and she's really not been hitting her targets in most of these ballot drops. Likely Garcia at this point.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1696 on: November 24, 2020, 06:13:35 PM »
Quote from: UncleSam on November 24, 2020, 06:04:47 PM
Does Los Angeles county have like one intern in a back room somewhere counting votes? How does it take them a week to process ~500 ballots?

To be fair to CA atleast they don't have stupid massive errors.
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Matty
boshembechle
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« Reply #1697 on: November 24, 2020, 06:21:38 PM »
someone explain to me why we are getting these random ballot drops of like 300 ballots? lmao

is it that hard to expedite this?
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #1698 on: November 24, 2020, 06:26:26 PM »
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Matty
boshembechle
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« Reply #1699 on: November 24, 2020, 07:36:16 PM »
I don't get why they aren't calling ca25. Christy smith hasn't gotten more than 53% in ANY LA county dump since 11/3.

she needs like 60% to catch up.

isn't that enough to call a race?
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