VA-07 - Optimus: Biden +5
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  VA-07 - Optimus: Biden +5
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Author Topic: VA-07 - Optimus: Biden +5  (Read 720 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: November 03, 2020, 11:50:05 AM »

https://github.com/optimus-forecasting-and-polling/0ptimus-SC-VA7-November-2020/blob/main/virginia_cd_7_poll_toplines_tl_31_october_2020.pdf

Oct 31 - Nov 2
514 likely voters
MoE: 4.6%

Biden 47%
Trump 42%
Third party candidate 2%
Refused 0% (but some voters)
Not sure 9%
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,047


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30

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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2020, 11:51:17 AM »

Trump probably wins by like 4-3 points here.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
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Canada


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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2020, 11:51:32 AM »

Trump +6 district, 11 point shift
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cg41386
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Posts: 950
United States


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E: -6.39, S: -7.74

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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2020, 11:53:02 AM »

OPTIMUS PRIME
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One Term Floridian
swamiG
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2020, 11:53:45 AM »


My district. Biden+5 sounds about right. I imagine Spanberger wins it by a little more and that Warner dominates. I have a few committed GOP friends voting for Trump/Freitas/Warner. Anecdotal I know, but tells you how much goodwill and respect Mark Warner still has from being Governor back in the day
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
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Ukraine


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E: -7.35, S: -0.35

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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2020, 11:55:40 AM »

Trump probably wins by like 4-3 points here.

It says BIDEN +4
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Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
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E: 1.48, S: 1.30

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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2020, 11:56:26 AM »

I know.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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Posts: 13,369
United States


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E: -1.48, S: -1.83

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« Reply #7 on: November 12, 2020, 04:40:13 PM »

Trump probably wins by like 4-3 points here.

No clown
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