ME-Change Research: Gideon +4 (Savage at 7%) (user search)
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  ME-Change Research: Gideon +4 (Savage at 7%) (search mode)
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Author Topic: ME-Change Research: Gideon +4 (Savage at 7%)  (Read 1851 times)
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« on: November 03, 2020, 02:19:13 AM »

I swear, whenever I come to the conclusion that Collins is more likely to win than Tillis, a poll comes out the next day showing the exact opposite. It’s been this way for months now.

Anyway, Collins will have to pray for record R turnout in rural/small-town ME and a big win in the Bangor area, a small polling error as the state's R trend is stronger than expected/undecideds breaking R (this has Biden winning ME-02 by 1, I could see Trump winning by 5 here, for instance) and/or polls underestimating the residual goodwill/crossover appeal she still has in the state, but it’s looking really tough. I wouldn’t be that surprised if she eked out a narrow win (polls have underestimated her before, including in 2008), but I also wouldn’t be surprised if she only barely outperformed Trump. Still some uncertainty in this race even if it’s an uphill battle for Collins.
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