Swayable: a bunch of states, Biden +6
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  Swayable: a bunch of states, Biden +6
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Author Topic: Swayable: a bunch of states, Biden +6  (Read 471 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
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« on: November 03, 2020, 08:38:14 AM »
« edited: November 03, 2020, 09:55:13 AM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

First batch: https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-11-02-small.html
Second batch: https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-11-02-large.html

All samples are of likely voters

National
https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-11-02-national.html
Nov 1
5174 likely voters
MoE: 1.7
Changes with Oct 29-31

Biden 52 (n/c)
Trump 46 (n/c)
Jorgensen 2 (n/c)
Hawkins 0 (but some voters) (n/c)

AL
Oct 27-Nov 1
330
moe 7.9
Changes with Oct 23-26

Trump +17
Trump 55 (-1)
Biden 38 (+1)
Jorgensen 7 (n/c)

AZ
Oct 27-Nov 1
360
moe 7.1
Changes with Oct 23-26

Biden +5
Biden 51 (-2)
Trump 46 (+2)
Jorgensen 4 (n/c)

CO
Oct 23-Nov 1
455
moe 6

Biden +15
Biden 55
Trump 41
Jorgensen 3
Hawkins 1

CT
Oct 23-Nov 1
367
moe 6.2

Biden +30
Biden 64
Trump 33
Jorgensen 2
Hawkins 1

FL
Oct 27-Nov 1
1261
moe 3.7
Changes with Oct 23-26

Biden +8
Biden 53 (+7)
Trump 46 (-5)
Jorgensen 1 (-1)
Hawkins 1 (n/c)

GA
Oct 27-Nov 1
438
moe 6.2
Changes with Oct 23-26

Biden +9
Biden 54 (+3)
Trump 44 (-4)
Jorgensen 2 (+1)

IL
Oct 27-Nov 1
485
moe 6
Changes with Oct 23-26

Biden +12
Biden 55 (+1)
Trump 44 (+1)
Jorgensen 1 (-1)
Hawkins 0 (but some voters) (n/c)

IN
Oct 27-Nov 1
264
moe 7.8
Changes with Oct 23-26

Trump +12
Trump 55 (+2)
Biden 43 (+1)
Jorgensen 2 (-3)

KY
Oct 23-Nov 1
383
moe 7.4

Trump +14
Trump 55
Biden 42
Jorgensen 4

LA
Oct 23-Nov 1
378
moe 6.7

Trump +18
Trump 57
Biden 39
Jorgensen 4

MD
Oct 23-Nov 1
503
moe 5.7

Biden +36
Biden 67
Trump 31
Jorgensen 2
Hawkins 0 (but some voters)

MI
Oct 27-Nov 1
413
moe 6.5
Changes with Oct 23-26

Biden +9
Biden 54 (-5)
Trump 45 (+5)
Jorgensen 1 (n/c)
Hawkins 0 (but some voters) (n/c)

MO
Oct 23-Nov 1
487
moe 6.6

Trump +11
Trump 55
Biden 43
Jorgensen 2
Hawkins 0 (but some voters)

MN
Oct 23-Nov 1
466
moe 5.9

Biden +9
Biden 53
Trump 43
Jorgensen 4
Hawkins 0 (but some voters)

NC
Oct 27-Nov 2
690
moe 5.3
Changes with Oct 23-26

Biden +6
Biden 52 (+2)
Trump 46 (-1)
Jorgensen 1 (-1)
Hawkins 0 (but some voters) (n/c)

NJ
Oct 27-Nov 1
324
moe 7.2
Changes with Oct 23-26

Biden +19
Biden 59 (-3)
Trump 40 (+2)
Jorgensen 1 (+1)
Hawkins 0 (but some voters) (n/c)

OH
Oct 27-Nov 1
516
moe 5.8
Changes with Oct 23-26

Trump +5
Trump 52 (-3)
Biden 47 (+3)
Jorgensen 1 (n/c)
Hawkins 0 (but some voters) (n/c)

OR
Oct 23-Nov 1
324
moe 7.3

Biden +23
Biden 60
Trump 37
Hawkins 1
Jorgensen 1

PA
Oct 27-Nov 2
1107
moe 3.9
Changes with Oct 23-26

Biden +2
Biden 50 (-2)
Trump 48 (+2)
Jorgensen 2 (n/c)

SC
Oct 23-Nov 1
426
moe 7.4

Trump +1
Trump 50
Biden 49
Jorgensen 1
Hawkins 0 (but some voters)

TN
Oct 23-Nov 1
485
moe 5.9

Trump +17
Trump 58
Biden 41
Jorgensen 1
Hawkins 0 (but some voters)

TX
Oct 27-Nov 2
1151
moe 3.9
Changes with Oct 23-26

Trump +4
Trump 51 (+3)
Biden 47 (n/c)
Jorgensen 1 (-2)
Hawkins 0 (but some voters) (n/c)

VA
Oct 27-Nov 1
467
moe 6.4
Changes with Oct 23-26

Biden +15
Biden 56 (+1)
Trump 41 (-3)
Jorgensen 3 (+2)

WA
Oct 23-Nov 1
489
moe 6

Biden +20
Biden 59
Trump 39
Jorgensen 2
Hawkins 1

WI
Oct 27-Nov 1
253
moe 8.2
Changes with Oct 23-26

Biden +10
Biden 55 (+1)
Trump 45 (n/c)
Jorgensen 1 (-1)
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Stuart98
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2020, 08:41:45 AM »

D- pollster, tied with SurveyMonkey for worst pollster that's not outright banned.
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DTC
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2020, 08:45:48 AM »

I believe everything in this thread. Biden will do 7% better in GA than PA
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The Daily Beagle
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2020, 08:54:52 AM »

I believe everything in this thread. Biden will do 7% better in GA than PA

HELL YES Tongue
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Roblox
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2020, 08:55:48 AM »

Lol arenít these released too late to even be in the 538 model?
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2020, 08:58:17 AM »

Lol arenít these released too late to even be in the 538 model?

No. They were some of the last in. The Trafalgar ones don't seem to have been released in time, though.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2020, 09:39:25 AM »

OR is Biden+23, not 33.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2020, 09:57:23 AM »

Trump has no path to Prez
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