Maine (Change Research): Biden winning

[LimoLiberal]

This is a confusing PDF, figure the margin out yourself

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eBWQtr-cx1ECGu-dsFcF_VdhnFfyRPd3qz3zcTmhdFY/edit?usp=sharing

[Senator Incitatus]

52-40? It's right there.

ME-02 is 47-46. Jorgenson has 4% in both.

[Lief 🐋]

New Poll: Maine President by  Change Research on 2020-11-02

Summary: D: 52%, R: 40%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Lief 🐋]

New Poll: Maine Senator by  Change Research on 2020-11-02

Summary: D: 46%, R: 42%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[WD]

Also Gideon+4, and Gideon+8 after RCV.

[emailking]

I guess the returns we'll see will be 1st choices only? Applying IRV makes sense once you have all the votes.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Oct 29-Nov 2

Statewide
1024 likely voters
MoE: 3.5%

Biden 52
Trump 40
Jorgensen 4
Hawkins 2
Did not vote 1
Don't recall 0
Would not vote 0
Not sure 1

ME-02
475 likely voters
MoE: 4.6%

First Round
Biden 47
Trump 46
Jorgensen 4
Hawkins 1
Don't recall 0
Did not vote 0
Would not vote 0
Not sure 1

After RCV (3rd round)
Biden 50
Trump 50

[Stuart98]

I guess the returns we'll see will be 1st choices only? Applying IRV makes sense once you have all the votes.

Yes, it's impractical to post full IRV preferences because of how many permutations there are.

[the506]

I guess the returns we'll see will be 1st choices only? Applying IRV makes sense once you have all the votes.

Yes. In ME-2 in 2018 they held a press conference at the SOS office about a week later where they applied the second/third choices.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

ME-01 (from their twitter)
549 likely voters

Biden 56
Trump 35
Jorgensen 4
Hawkins 3