OH-01 (Change Research): Trump +1
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  OH-01 (Change Research): Trump +1
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Author Topic: OH-01 (Change Research): Trump +1  (Read 701 times)
LimoLiberal
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« on: November 02, 2020, 10:05:43 PM »

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1RLsioeQZMNIHBeH1xo3nCGherCVpenMxoUxXGKaHUqw/edit#gid=1882933718

These polls aren't showing the massive suburban swing to Biden in these districts as Cook and Sabato have predicted.
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 10:06:37 PM »

47-45 Chabot
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Buzz
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2020, 10:06:55 PM »

Change Research is garbage.
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Hammy
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2020, 10:07:03 PM »

C- pollster.
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redjohn
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2020, 10:07:37 PM »

This would be the best performance here for a Democrat since 2008 lol
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2020, 10:08:14 PM »

Biden needs to win this district along with stronger turnout by the cities to win Ohio
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kireev
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2020, 10:09:44 PM »

15% black. But the district is 22% black.
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2020, 10:11:26 PM »

This would be the best performance here for a Democrat since 2008 lol
Yep.. but Obama carried the district by 11 points. lol.
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republican1993
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2020, 10:19:20 PM »

massive swings but he's still winning
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lfromnj
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2020, 11:03:15 PM »
« Edited: November 02, 2020, 11:19:40 PM by #proudtikitorchmarcher »

This would be the best performance here for a Democrat since 2008 lol
Yep.. but Obama carried the district by 11 points. lol.
Redistricting/gerrymandering . The current version is Mccain +4 or so. The one in Wikipedia shows the old district where most of Cinci was kept whole.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2020, 11:06:12 PM »

15% black. But the district is 22% black.
Turnout disparities are probably a bit bad for the Ds here due to a lot of GOP suburbanites/exurbanites. Still its a bit more black.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2020, 07:33:45 AM »

Oct 29-Nov 1
505 likely voters
MoE: 4.6

Trump 49
Biden 48
Jorgensen 1
Don't recall 1
Not sure 1
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