2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

Trump is going to win again?

[It’s so Joever]

I warned you all.

[Storr]

Just wait: NM will be surprisingly close.

no it won't.

[Non Swing Voter]

Wow...maybe my prediction actually will come true. Also what is happening in Allegheny?

what was your prediction?

[Panda Express]

Collin County finally posted! 95% in, +4 Trump

[It’s so Joever]

Wow...maybe my prediction actually will come true. Also what is happening in Allegheny?

what was your prediction?

Only WI/PA flip.

[wbrocks67]

Are the blue counties in VA gonna report or...

I honestly can't tell what is happening. Are blue areas just not reporting? These results are just very weird and we have no idea what is out.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

Just wait: NM will be surprisingly close.

Parscale vindicated I guess.

[SnowLabrador]

Ugh. This is one depraved nation.

[Dr. Arch]

I warned you all.

Even if you're right, I'm done with you, MModerate, etc. Enjoy the ignore list forever.

[Calthrina950]

Just wait: NM will be surprisingly close.

I believe it. Perhaps a high single-digit margin for Biden?

[Pyro]

It is still early and I have no idea how this will shake out, but maybe we all owe Hillary a big apology. Maybe she was never the problem and maybe Trump was always going to win 2016.

Biden's running the same campaign. Maybe courting Republicans isn't a smart strategy.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Trump is flipping Nevada.

Bet on it.

[Pericles]

Prediction from Tender:

Biden might actually lose this election.

No, he's almost certainly going to improve over Hillary well enough to win. Miami is not the pattern but the exception.

Hispanics seem like they're swinging pretty hard to Trump, which puts the entire sunbelt out of play. Trump also seems like he's overperforming in rural counties.

Biden only needs WI + MI + PA and with the rural white swings he's very likely to get them, and it looks like overall whites swinging to Biden will swamp minorities swinging to Trump.

[NYDem]

I warned you all.

We heard the first 15 times.

[Santander]

It is still early and I have no idea how this will shake out, but maybe we all owe Hillary a big apology. Maybe she was never the problem and maybe Trump was always going to win 2016.

People laughed when I said Trump was the best Republican candidate in 2016, even after the election.

[wbrocks67]

Seriously does anyone actually know how many mail-in votes there are, none of these "reporting" numbers make sense

All of these states, it's hard to tell what is and what's out. I feel like some of the totals could severely be skewed.

However, in NC, theres nearly 4 million votes and Biden is up by 6. That's nearly the entire EV. How much of Election Day vote could there be to overpower that when they were already at 100% of 2016 turnout?

[Crumpets]

Not to beat a dead horse here, but there is seriously something not right about the "precincts reporting" %s that are being listed. Fairfax City is reportedly almost all in, but also barely shows 3,000 votes after casting 7,367 in 2016. If that number is wrong across multiple counties in multiple states, there is something big we are missing.

Which states is this true for?

So far Boone County, KY; Clay County, IN; and Fairfax City (not county), VA all have clearly wrong % reporting numbers, at least on the NYT map, unless turnout dropped substantially (like, 30-50%) since 2016 and all saw huge swings (Boone and Clay to Biden, Fairfax to Trump).

Add Orange County, IN and Cherokee County, OK to this list.

[Storr]

Just wait: NM will be surprisingly close.

no it won't.

Considering Trump nearly tripled his votes in Starr county TX?

I think its fairly reasonable to assume this will be close.

Starr County Texas is nowhere near New Mexico.

[LabourJersey]

I think it's very very clear that the procedure for declaring how mail vote-by-mail ballots is unclear and varies wildly state to state.

I still think Biden is definitely going to win (Sabato's map might prevail???) but it'll be a long night.

I have work at 7AM tm--this may not be fun

[tjstarling]

It is still early and I have no idea how this will shake out, but maybe we all owe Hillary a big apology. Maybe she was never the problem and maybe Trump was always going to win 2016.

Biden's running the same campaign. Maybe courting Republicans isn't a smart strategy.

If you think someone like Warren or Sanders would have or would be doing better, I think you’re very much mistaken.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

(Whoops, forgot to quote)

I think forumlurker was referring to Trump being up 39% in Allegheny at the present. 

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

This thread is toxic.

[The Free North]

Trump is flipping Nevada.

Bet on it.

If he improves with Mexican voters there like he did in TX. Yes.

Biden will lock up the Midwest though, he is still favored here and I think he wins Ohio too. Everyone needs to calm down.

[Pericles]

It is still early and I have no idea how this will shake out, but maybe we all owe Hillary a big apology. Maybe she was never the problem and maybe Trump was always going to win 2016.

Yeah way too early. No evidence actually suggests that could be true.