2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[MillennialModerate]

Biden is leading the popular vote 5 to 0 with 1 precinct reporting. I don't want to react too much to early reports, but I think this means Biden might win unanimously.

LOL

[MillennialModerate]

Fellow red avatars, welcome to the best day of your life.

From your mouth to gods ears

[Crumpets]

Can someone recommend the best strategy for an election watcher in the UK, five hours ahead of Eastern? When will the main action happen and when will the path be set?

Have options of staying up as late at possible, which means IN and KY will close and be called at midnight, but I'm not going to make it much past 11pm Eastern ; or getting some sleep in early and rising at say 9 or 10pm Eastern, but would I have missed much of the fun by then?

11 pm Eastern (4 am UK time) is usually when we start to get a very good picture of what the night is going to look like if we haven't already by that point. I'm probably going to stay up til then and then try to get some sleep unless I'm too ecstatic/devastated to do so. If you'd prefer, though, I think you can also reasonably get up at 3:30 UK time and start watching then, since I'm pretty certain the race will not be called by that point. The only thing you might miss out on would be an early Florida call or something else that makes it clear that, as soon as the West Coast polls close, one candidate will cross the line.

[Torrain]

CNN reporting that 100,286,748 ballots have been cast so far.

[Horus]

Woke up optimistic.

I think at the absolute minimum Biden is gonna keep it close and we're gonna pick up the Senate. Let's go!

[wbrocks67]

This is a good explainer on this years exit poll: https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/02/politics/exit-polls-2020-pandemic/index.html

It sounds like they're doing as much as they can to make it as accurate as possible, but this year is so fluid they probably (unfortunately) should be taken with even more of a grain of salt than usual

[Buzz]

Just voted!!  +1 for Trump, Perdue, and Collins in GA!

[Splash]

The bed-wetters will no doubt seize on this but here you go:

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1323605625071407104
But on the other hand:

https://twitter.com/NYTnickc/status/1323604965122809857

https://twitter.com/srl/status/1323610792290340865

[GoTfan]

The bed-wetters will no doubt seize on this but here you go:

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1323605625071407104

But Atlas told me Biden had Florida in the bag because #RepublicansforBiden.

[wbrocks67]

The bed-wetters will no doubt seize on this but here you go:

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1323605625071407104

But on the other hand:

https://twitter.com/NYTnickc/status/1323604965122809857

OMG this day is going to be long if we're already overreacting to reports like this after barely an hour in one county

[Splash]

OMG this day is going to be long if we're already overreacting to reports like this after barely an hour in one county

At least it's not raining in NoVa 

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Just talked with my apartment neighbor who got back from voting.  

He said that there was a woman that had to fill out a provisional because her mail-in ballot was never sent.  Apparently, the poll worker asked one of the others "hey, (name), where do we put provisional ballots once they're filled out?"

Ah, way to be prepared, PA.  

According to him, turnout was high and the line -- though long -- was moving quickly.  It was also the first time he'd ever filled out a paper ballot instead of using a machine.  He was asked to either keep the pen with which he filled out his ballot or drop it in a disposal box near the door.  Hope y'all invested in BIC. 

[It's not just that you are a crook senator]

Are you all really suprised that the election day vote is heavily republican? Most people already voted by early voting..

[wbrocks67]

Are you all really suprised that the election day vote is heavily republican? Most people already voted by early voting..

Not to mention, there is a ton of Dems who could be returning their mail in ballots today as well who aren't in these EV #s. We just don't know what it all means. But we knew the actual in person early vote would skew R today.

[Horsemask]

Happy election day everyone. Unfortunately my plan to work through today to make the time go by fell through, as I am home sick. Hopefully it's just a cold, which is what my gut is telling me. I'm awaiting results of a COVID test. I'm glad I voted early this year!

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Happy election day everyone. Unfortunately my plan to work through today to make the time go by fell through, as I am home sick. Hopefully it's just a cold, which is what my gut is telling me. I'm awaiting results of a COVID test. I'm glad I voted early this year!

Wishing you the best of health, Horsemask!

[ExSky]

Margins in Florida have already begun to even out for E Day. Republicans simply don’t have the E Day margin people thought they would.

[Yank2133]

https://mobile.twitter.com/PeterSchorschFL/status/1323618317882544131

[Confused Democrat]

Margins in Florida have already begun to even out for E Day. Republicans simply don’t have the E Day margin people thought they would.

Source?

[ExSky]

Margins in Florida have already begun to even out for E Day. Republicans simply don’t have the E Day margin people thought they would.

Source?

Wasserman and Cohn are talking about it on twitter

[ExSky]

Margins in Florida have already begun to even out for E Day. Republicans simply don’t have the E Day margin people thought they would.

Source?

Also this guys twitter. A lot of the panic was that Republicans were leading in Broward early on. Now the Dems have pulled ahead and appear to be pulling away.

 https://mobile.twitter.com/umichvoter99

[ExSky]

Happy election day everyone. Unfortunately my plan to work through today to make the time go by fell through, as I am home sick. Hopefully it's just a cold, which is what my gut is telling me. I'm awaiting results of a COVID test. I'm glad I voted early this year!

Time to Join the sh**tposting fest on atlas!

[Confused Democrat]

Margins in Florida have already begun to even out for E Day. Republicans simply don’t have the E Day margin people thought they would.

Source?

Wasserman and Cohn are talking about it on twitter

I just read their tweets. Wasserman says that E-Day turnout looks very good for Republicans, so what tweets are you referring to when you say it’s evening out and the Reps don’t have the margins they thought they would? Cohn seems to be the only one urging caution because it’s too early to infer anything from these returns.

[psychprofessor]

Stop trying to read tea leaves from 7 am morning votes geez louise

[compucomp]

Margins in Florida have already begun to even out for E Day. Republicans simply don’t have the E Day margin people thought they would.

Can we wait until the afternoon to make statements like this? Wasserman just clowned himself by extrapolating from 7:30AM data and we're about to make the same mistake an hour later?