2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 599245 times)
MillennialModerate
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« Reply #125 on: November 03, 2020, 09:44:50 AM »

I don’t know why - I’ve been a dimmer this whole race but was turning that tcornwr the last few weeks but now all of a sudden today I have dread. I think today is a tossup and a trump win is not out of the question at all. I’d call it a true tossup. I think the early vote numbers are whatever - they’re just the same Dem votes must cast earlier due to the anti Trump sentiment and the pandemic.

And I think the senate is simply not happening. It’s broke the GOP Way in the last few days and I’d bet $100 easily that we don’t even get a 50/50 split.



A fool and his money....

Quote me and put me in the sig for tool bag entirety if I’m wrong but as usual (except for NV 18 SEN) I will be right. I called the Markey disaster months before pollsters did and posters on here did. When Bredesen has a lead in TN SEN briefly I said that race had no chance of flipping. Your replies of “good call” will be a sorry consolation to me trust me. But the Senate is a lost cause I guarantee it. Georgia is fools gold if I’ve ever seen it.

Three locks of the night:

POTUS is a tossup, winner gets under 300EV
DEMS keep House (100%), GOP keeps Senate (98%)
Georgia is an 0 for 3 state for Dems
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randomusername
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« Reply #126 on: November 03, 2020, 09:45:36 AM »

https://www.mediaite.com/trump/trump-tells-fox-friends-hell-claim-victory-only-when-theres-victory-no-reason-to-play-games/

This is somewhat encouraging.
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #127 on: November 03, 2020, 09:46:15 AM »

Margins in Florida have already begun to even out for E Day. Republicans simply don’t have the E Day margin people thought they would.

Can we wait until the afternoon to make statements like this? Wasserman just clowned himself by extrapolating from 7:30AM data and we're about to make the same mistake an hour later?

I’m going on what Cohn stated...

Yep he's really saying that..

Now post the other tweet where says what I repeated. Any imbecile can post random tweets.
I'm looking at his Twitter feed and I see no tweet similar to your statement..

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BigSerg
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« Reply #128 on: November 03, 2020, 09:49:05 AM »
« Edited: November 03, 2020, 09:54:08 AM by 7sergi9 »

Humor


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Holmes
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« Reply #129 on: November 03, 2020, 09:50:26 AM »

Not Republicans thinking Amish people will save them.
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Confused Democrat
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« Reply #130 on: November 03, 2020, 09:53:23 AM »



Broward numbers appear to be very encouraging.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #131 on: November 03, 2020, 09:54:54 AM »

Humor




Nate Silver doesn't poll people and the Amish don't vote. Even if they did there aren't enough of them to swing the election.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #132 on: November 03, 2020, 09:58:20 AM »

Ca. 500.000 people have already voted today in FL.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #133 on: November 03, 2020, 09:58:48 AM »

I hope he isn't alone:

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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #134 on: November 03, 2020, 09:58:55 AM »

Holy crap, he sounds so awful





what does it mean??
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Torie
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« Reply #135 on: November 03, 2020, 10:01:07 AM »

The cannibalization theory appears to be alive and well in very heavily Democratic Hudson, NY. On this morning's dog walk, over the course of about 8 minutes, not one voter opened the door to my precinct's (called voting district in NY for some inexplicable reason) polling station. My partner and I voted by mail, so no, I did not walk through the door either. I would of if I had had an epiphany, and decided to vote Trump, since that vote would have invalidated my absentee ballot. But there has been no such poltergeist-like event so far, but who knows. There are 11 more hours to go before the polls close.
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The Free North
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« Reply #136 on: November 03, 2020, 10:03:21 AM »

I'm here to overreact to unsubstantiated rumors on twitter and bad data analysis. Is this the right place?
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #137 on: November 03, 2020, 10:04:05 AM »

I hope he isn't alone:



Pedro restoring the soul of America.
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Skye
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« Reply #138 on: November 03, 2020, 10:07:01 AM »

I'm here to overreact to unsubstantiated rumors on twitter and bad data analysis. Is this the right place?

Atlas is indeed the right place my friend.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #139 on: November 03, 2020, 10:07:41 AM »

This is going to be live tonight at 8pm when polls close. Going to be very helpful in contextualizing the PA vote:

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xavier110
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« Reply #140 on: November 03, 2020, 10:07:51 AM »

I hope he isn't alone:



And she found a Trumper who wasn't registered to vote. May the Lord bless the state of Florida today
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Skye
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« Reply #141 on: November 03, 2020, 10:08:52 AM »

FiveThirtyEight's LiveBlog is up: https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2020-election-results-coverage/
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American2020
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« Reply #142 on: November 03, 2020, 10:19:25 AM »

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bilaps
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« Reply #143 on: November 03, 2020, 10:21:52 AM »

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Bootes Void
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« Reply #144 on: November 03, 2020, 10:24:38 AM »

Do republicans vote earlier in the day in Florida?
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Woody
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« Reply #145 on: November 03, 2020, 10:25:37 AM »




4 more years boys.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #146 on: November 03, 2020, 10:25:59 AM »

Hey CNN, stop trying to make "tossup Colorado" happen... it's not going to happen
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Woody
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« Reply #147 on: November 03, 2020, 10:28:15 AM »

Humor



Imagine if democrats lose Pennsylvania because of the Amish again, LOL.
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Stuart98
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« Reply #148 on: November 03, 2020, 10:29:42 AM »

NPA's lean D get your doomerism outta here
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Illini Moderate
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« Reply #149 on: November 03, 2020, 10:31:11 AM »

All these stressful takes are totally forgetting that Biden is preforming extremely well with independents in the polling
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