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December 05, 2020, 12:50:33 AM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, TJ in Oregon, YE, ON Progressive)
  MS - Data for Progress: Trump +14
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Author Topic: MS - Data for Progress: Trump +14  (Read 274 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
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« on: November 02, 2020, 08:19:55 PM »

https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/11/2020-election-polls/toplines/dfp_ms_11.2.20.pdf

Oct 27-Nov 1
562 likely voters
MoE: 4.1%

Trump 55%
Biden 41%
Jorgensen 2%
Hawkins 1%
Other candidate or write-in 1%
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philly09
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 08:22:24 PM »

A 3 point swing towards Biden here, and an 8 point swing towards Biden in AL. I can see Biden winning GA with these kinds of swings.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2020, 08:22:40 PM »

People talk about Mississippi being a potential swing state, but the state is so segregated politically that I doubt any democrat would be able to break through the mid 40s ceiling.
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EastOfEden
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2020, 08:24:50 PM »

People talk about Mississippi being a potential swing state, but the state is so segregated politically that I doubt any democrat would be able to break through the mid 40s ceiling.

Well, we'll see if gender and education replace race as the great American political dividing line.
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slothdem
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2020, 08:34:37 PM »

People talk about Mississippi being a potential swing state, but the state is so segregated politically that I doubt any democrat would be able to break through the mid 40s ceiling.

Well, we'll see if gender and education replace race as the great American political dividing line.

I do not think this helps us in Mississippi.
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EastOfEden
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2020, 08:38:32 PM »

People talk about Mississippi being a potential swing state, but the state is so segregated politically that I doubt any democrat would be able to break through the mid 40s ceiling.

Well, we'll see if gender and education replace race as the great American political dividing line.

True, but depending on how it happens, we may briefly see MS go D with a coalition of Jackson + De Soto County + black voters.

I do not think this helps us in Mississippi.
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2020, 09:31:57 PM »

New Poll: Mississippi President by Data 4 Progress on 2020-11-01

Summary: D: 41%, R: 55%, U: 0%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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