CNBC/Change Research: Biden +10 Nationally; Biden Ahead in Several Battlegrounds

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Oct 29-Nov 1
Likely voters
Changes with Oct 16-19 for all swing states

National
1880 likely voters
MoE: 2.26%
Changes with Oct 17-18

Biden 52% (n/c)
Trump 42% (n/c)

AZ
Biden 50% (-1)
Trump 47% (+2)
Other 2%
Not sure 1%

FL
Biden 51% (+1)
Trump 48% (+3)
Other 1%
Not sure 1%

MI
Biden 51% (n/c)
Trump 44% (n/c)
Other 4%
Not sure 1%

NC
Biden 49% (-1)
Trump 47% (n/c)
Other 3%
Not sure 1%

PA
Biden 50% (+1)
Trump 46% (-1)
Other 2%
Not sure 2%

WI
Biden 53% (+1)
Trump 45% (+1)
Other 2%
Not sure 0%

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Sample sizes of likely voters
AZ 409
FL 806
MI 383
NC 473
PA 699
WI 553

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Hasn't this been one of Trump's better pollsters all year?

not at all

The Change/CNBC series has been better somewhat for him than the average in the swing states for most of the second half of the year at least.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Further results from this poll (breaks down the 3rd party vote): https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-17/