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February 25, 2021, 02:44:56 AM

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, TJ in Oregon, YE, ON Progressive)
  SC - Data for Progress: Trump+9
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Author Topic: SC - Data for Progress: Trump+9  (Read 412 times)
n1240
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« on: November 02, 2020, 07:29:49 PM »

https://t.co/bpNMgGqcZE

Trump 53
Biden 44

10/27-11/1, 880 LV
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 07:30:14 PM »

https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/11/2020-election-polls/toplines/dfp_sc_11.2.20.pdf

Oct 27-Nov 1
880 likely voters
MoE: 3.3%
Changes with Oct 22-27

Trump 53% (+3)
Biden 44% (n/c)
Jorgensen 2% (+1)
Hawkins 0% (n/c)
Other candidate or write-in 0% (not previously included)

Not sure previously at 4%
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Orwell
JacksonHitchcock
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2020, 07:30:35 PM »

https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/11/2020-election-polls/toplines/dfp_sc_11.2.20.pdf

Oct 27-Nov 1
880 likely voters
MoE: 3.3%
Changes with Oct 22-27

Trump 53% (+3)
Biden 44% (n/c)
Jorgensen 2% (+1)
Hawkins 0% (n/c)
Other candidate or write-in 0% (not previously included)

Not sure previously at 4%

You lost by 13 seconds!!!

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Lief 🐋
Lief
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2020, 07:32:40 PM »

New Poll: South Carolina President by Data 4 Progress on 2020-11-01

Summary: D: 44%, R: 53%, U: 0%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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EastOfEden
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2020, 07:38:36 PM »

Well, say goodbye to Harrison, unless we've catastrophically underestimated the Trumpist dislike of Graham.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2020, 07:40:08 PM »

Trump will win SC by a mid digits margin but I wouldn't rule out Harrison winning, he has momentum and alot of energy to pull it off. It's tough but not impossible to do so
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2020, 07:40:36 PM »

Red states coming home.
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Old School Republican
Computer89
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2020, 07:42:39 PM »

Well, say goodbye to Harrison, unless we've catastrophically underestimated the Trumpist dislike of Graham.

Harrison was never gonna win, that senate race is basically this year equivalent to the 2008 Georgia Senate race(if there is no runoff system) was .
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2020, 07:42:46 PM »

Well, say goodbye to Harrison, unless we've catastrophically underestimated the Trumpist dislike of Graham.

Same poll has Graham up 3, so not great but within the MOE.
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EastOfEden
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2020, 07:44:08 PM »

Well, say goodbye to Harrison, unless we've catastrophically underestimated the Trumpist dislike of Graham.

Same poll has Graham up 3, so not great but within the MOE.

I saw, but it would take a turnout surge the likes of which have never been seen before.

(Which, based on anecdotal reports, might be exactly what's happening, but I refuse to get my hopes up).
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Southern Delegate Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2020, 07:44:16 PM »

Well, say goodbye to Harrison, unless we've catastrophically underestimated the Trumpist dislike of Graham.

Same poll has Graham up 3, so not great but within the MOE.
^This.

Harrison can still win.
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Georgia Democrat in 2021
mollybecky
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« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2020, 07:48:32 PM »

Basically indicating that any national poll closing (if that's what it is) appears to be happening in the red states.

Not too optimistic that Harrison can win this--will be tough. 

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