KS - Data for Progress: Marshall +6
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  KS - Data for Progress: Marshall +6
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Author Topic: KS - Data for Progress: Marshall +6  (Read 4046 times)
tmthforu94
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« Reply #25 on: November 02, 2020, 08:03:25 PM »

I think the final numbers will be very close to this, Marshall wins by 5-8%.

Why exactly has this race pulled away from the Democrats in recent weeks? I'm aware of some of Bollier's recent missteps, but are there any factors that you think have come into play here?
It's largely partisanship kicking in - Marshall hasn't tried at all to court independents. His closing message is "I will be a reliable conservative voice in the Senate." Also has really been hammering Bollier on her 90% voting record with Democrats. A pretty good message considering the state demographics. I also think he benefits from running a pretty gaffe-free campaign, whereas Bollier has had a couple missteps that slowed momentum in the final weeks.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #26 on: November 02, 2020, 08:24:11 PM »

Sorry folks but I don't see it happening

You don't believe in upsets do you, Bollier can certainly win an upset and so can Harrison and Bullock and GREENFIELD

Yes yes of course OC of course I'm sorry
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #27 on: November 02, 2020, 09:38:14 PM »

LOL, Bollier is not winning
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #28 on: November 03, 2020, 02:51:33 AM »

Marshall is underperforming Trump by 8 points here (the presidential race stands at 55-41, which is definitely painting a rosier picture for Republicans than you would expect), so I don’t think people should be writing Bollier's obituary just yet. If Marshall actually does end up underperforming Trump by 8, it’s hard to see how this doesn’t end up being a fairly close race. At the very least, I don’t buy Republicans doing ten points better in KS than in IA.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #29 on: November 03, 2020, 07:01:29 AM »

Marshall is still favored, but this also has Trump at +14 which seems very high.
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #30 on: November 03, 2020, 10:12:05 AM »

Really odd poll. We'll see what turnout does. An upset is possible here (just have a look at Johnson County - a level of D enthusiasm I have never seen before), but I would give it a Lean R.

This does prove that Bollier is a good fit, though. I'm pretty sure she and Bullock are now the only Ds who are substantially outperforming Biden. We haven't seen the last of her. Maybe Kelly's successor?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #31 on: November 03, 2020, 10:32:16 AM »


Sure she is
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