SurveyUSA: Biden +8
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Author Topic: SurveyUSA: Biden +8  (Read 626 times)
VAR
VARepublican
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« on: November 02, 2020, 12:50:37 PM »
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 12:51:50 PM »
Changes with Oct 16-19
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swf541
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2020, 12:52:07 PM »
Reasonable and solid.
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MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2020, 12:53:15 PM »
Member all the 8 point lead 52% polls for Hillary in November 2016? I don’t
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Orser67
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2020, 12:54:49 PM »
Down from 53-43 in each of the two polls they took in early and mid October. I'll take it.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2020, 12:55:46 PM »
Herd baby herd
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2020, 12:55:51 PM »
Finally, the tightening SN talked about half a year ago
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Rand
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2020, 12:58:22 PM »
Quote from: UBI man good on November 02, 2020, 12:53:15 PM
Member all the 8 point lead 52% polls for Hillary in November 2016? I don’t

How can we remember that when we're still in the year 2016?
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2020, 06:54:10 PM »
Fuller release: http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=bb4f5a47-75fb-4f45-a667-c06a9b5d3203

Some other candidate 3% (+1)
Undecided 2% (-1)
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kireev
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2020, 07:01:48 PM »

It's 48% Trump, 45% Clinton 2016 sample! What the heck...  Trump +3 and only 13% did not vote or voted for other? This poll looks kinda Trump-friendly...
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ultraviolet
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2020, 07:03:15 PM »
Quote from: kireev on November 02, 2020, 07:01:48 PM

It's 48% Trump, 45% Clinton 2016 sample! What the heck...  Trump +3 and only 13% did not vote or voted for other? This poll looks kinda Trump-friendly...

How come most polls seem to be Trump-friendly? Is it because pollsters are weighting non college whites too much? If so, that would be a disaster for Trump
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kireev
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« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2020, 07:12:08 PM »
Quote from: Unbeatable Titan Gary Peters on November 02, 2020, 07:03:15 PM
Quote from: kireev on November 02, 2020, 07:01:48 PM

It's 48% Trump, 45% Clinton 2016 sample! What the heck...  Trump +3 and only 13% did not vote or voted for other? This poll looks kinda Trump-friendly...

How come most polls seem to be Trump-friendly? Is it because pollsters are weighting non college whites too much? If so, that would be a disaster for Trump

We'll get some answers after the election. But Trump +3% by itself is not necessarily wrong: Nate Cohn mentioned that respondents "recall" their vote for incumbents more often than for losing challengers.  But it's clearly not a DEM-friendly poll for sure. But 13% "other+ did not vote" is just wrong sample. New voters in states, which report them: FL, NC and GA  is in the upper 20s. The Sun Belt will have more new voters, but still "other+ did not vote" combined should definitely be above 20%.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2020, 07:15:57 PM »
Stop releasing polls, it's over
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