YouGov/Economist: Biden +10
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  YouGov/Economist: Biden +10
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Author Topic: YouGov/Economist: Biden +10  (Read 801 times)
Sestak
jk2020
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« on: November 02, 2020, 05:42:10 PM »

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Rand
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 05:43:16 PM »

Somebody smart do the math...
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2020, 05:50:36 PM »

Biden -1........

That said, the good firms seem to all agree on a range of about 8 to 11 at the moment. Too bad we're not getting an ABC/WaPo Gold Standard though.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2020, 05:51:13 PM »


They have 2/3 of the vote being early, 1/3 on election day.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2020, 05:51:39 PM »

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/jsojry0vph/econTabReport.pdf

Oct 31-Nov 2
1363 likely voters
Changes with Oct 25-27

Biden 53% (-1)
Trump 43% (n/c)
Other 2% (n/c)
Not sure 2% (n/c)
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kireev
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2020, 05:53:37 PM »
« Edited: November 02, 2020, 06:16:21 PM by kireev »


Looking at the link posted above https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/jsojry0vph/econTabReport.pdf It's 68.7% to 31.3%.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2020, 06:20:40 PM »

Those election day numbers are definitely more comforting than the one that was like 69-27 Trump or whatever it was.
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Hollywood
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2020, 06:23:59 PM »

Yes if the electorate is 55-45% women over men, and liberal voters become the largest ideology in the country as opposed to every other year where it's conservative, then Democrats will win by 10 points.  I don't even think liberals were even the largest contingency in the Democrat primary.  
https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/jsojry0vph/econTabReport.pdf

I do think Biden is up by a 5-6% margin.  He's definitely doing better than Clinton with certain demographics.  Less so with Hispanics. 
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philly09
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2020, 07:52:31 PM »

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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2020, 08:05:17 PM »

We've had so many double digit Biden polls these past few days. I just cannot fathom how that fails to translate into the national environment and give Biden a win around 350 electoral votes or so. I really feel like we're being gaslit and hindered by PTSD from 2016. The Electoral College's distribution of votes cannot be that far off, right? Or am I crazy?
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