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November 27, 2020, 04:04:13 PM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections
  2020 Senate & House Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  NC - Ipsos/Reuters: Cunningham +2
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Author Topic: NC - Ipsos/Reuters: Cunningham +2  (Read 212 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
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« on: November 02, 2020, 05:28:19 PM »

Oct 27 - Nov 1
707 likely voters
MoE: 4.2%
Changes with Oct 21-27

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-11/topline_reuters_north_carolina_state_poll_w6_11_02_2020_.pdf

Cunningham 48% (n/c)
Tillis 46% (-1)
Some other candidate 4% (+1)
Would not vote 0% (n/c)
Not sure/prefer not to answer 2% (+1)
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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Dominica


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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 05:34:07 PM »

New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Ipsos on 2020-11-01

Summary: D: 48%, R: 46%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Xing
xingkerui
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E: -5.63, S: -6.13

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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2020, 06:30:15 PM »

Remains too close for comfort, but given that it was Cunningham +1, it doesn't seem like Tillis is still gaining, so Tilt D.
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KaiserDave
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E: -3.98, S: -4.11

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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2020, 07:27:14 PM »

Not that sexy
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EastOfEden
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2020, 07:40:17 PM »

I'm really worried about this one. I haven't been worried this whole cycle, but suddenly Cunningham is falling below 50% and Tillis is breaking his 44% ceiling. Not good, not good at all.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2020, 07:47:21 PM »

I'm really worried about this one. I haven't been worried this whole cycle, but suddenly Cunningham is falling below 50% and Tillis is breaking his 44% ceiling. Not good, not good at all.

Look at the trends with the previous Ipsos poll. Cunningham improved; Tillis stayed static.
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Progressive Pessimist
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E: -6.71, S: -7.65

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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2020, 08:00:39 PM »

This is honestly about what I expect Cunningham to win by in the end.
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