RMG Research/Just the News: Biden +7
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  RMG Research/Just the News: Biden +7
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Author Topic: RMG Research/Just the News: Biden +7  (Read 529 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: November 02, 2020, 11:49:32 AM »

Oct 29-31

Biden 51%
Trump 44%

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 11:51:11 AM »

Changes with Oct 23-24

Standard model
Biden 51% (n/c)
Trump 44% (n/c)

I'll add more as it arrives. 538 currently links to nowhere
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Buzz
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2020, 11:52:10 AM »

RMG is really going to perform well this cycle IMO.  I know it’s Scott Rasmussen, but I haven’t seen any real bias.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2020, 11:56:17 AM »

If this is true, I could see something like
undecideds for Biden-

53-45-2

undecideds for Trump-

52-46-2
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2020, 01:04:42 PM »

Full release here: https://scottrasmussen.com/election-polls-2020/

1200 likely voters
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2020, 05:34:45 PM »

More details: https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/polling/one-day-election-biden-still-leads-trump-national-poll

MoE: 2.8%

In all turnout models:
Some other candidate 2% (+1)
Jorgensen 1% (n/c)
Hawkins 1% (+1)
Undecided 1% (-1)

Strong Democratic turnout model
Biden 53% (n/c)
Trump 42% (-1)

Strong Republican turnout model
Biden 50% (n/c)
Trump 45% (-1)
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Hammy
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2020, 06:36:22 PM »

RMG is really going to perform well this cycle IMO.  I know it’s Scott Rasmussen, but I haven’t seen any real bias.

He's not affiliated with Rasmussen Reports any longer if I remember correctly and I think the latter's quality dropped after he left. So this is probably fairly accurate.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2020, 06:44:15 PM »

RMG is really going to perform well this cycle IMO.  I know it’s Scott Rasmussen, but I haven’t seen any real bias.

He's not affiliated with Rasmussen Reports any longer if I remember correctly and I think the latter's quality dropped after he left. So this is probably fairly accurate.

That's correct; Scott split from Rasmussen Reports a few years ago.  His current polls are reasonable, although I think they still have a small R house effect.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2020, 07:34:26 PM »

RMG is really going to perform well this cycle IMO.  I know it’s Scott Rasmussen, but I haven’t seen any real bias.

He's not affiliated with Rasmussen Reports any longer if I remember correctly and I think the latter's quality dropped after he left. So this is probably fairly accurate.

That's correct; Scott split from Rasmussen Reports a few years ago.  His current polls are reasonable, although I think they still have a small R house effect.
small GOP house effect would make sense and also make this more in line with other national polls, which are coalescing around Biden+8 to Biden+11.
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