GA (Landmark/WSBTV): Trump +4 (user search)
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  GA (Landmark/WSBTV): Trump +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA (Landmark/WSBTV): Trump +4  (Read 5120 times)
RBH
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,210


« on: November 02, 2020, 03:10:57 PM »

Landmark's post-Labor day Georgia polls

9/30: Biden by 2
10/7: Trump by 2
10/21: Trump by 4
10/28: Trump by 1
11/1: Trump by 4

If they did a poll today, they'd probably get Trump by 1/2. Rollercoaster pollster.
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RBH
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,210


« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 05:00:45 PM »

Landmark's post-Labor day Georgia polls

9/30: Biden by 2
10/7: Trump by 2
10/21: Trump by 4
10/28: Trump by 1
11/1: Trump by 4

If they did a poll today, they'd probably get Trump by 1/2. Rollercoaster pollster.

That kind of movement is to be expected with random sampling. In fact, it would be suspect if they kept on finding the same number (like Trafalgar getting Trump +2 in Michigan 7 times in a row). If the 'true' result for Landmark was Trump +1, then this would be completely normal and I wouldn't really say these polls say anything different from each other.

having the pollster for one of the big Atlanta TV stations apparently doing one day samples is great for eye-catching polls. As for accurate data, well.. I guess if the numbers bounce around, one of them is due to be right.
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