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December 05, 2020, 12:57:16 AM
News: 2020 Election day live thread: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.0

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, TJ in Oregon, YE, ON Progressive)
  AZ-Ipsos: Biden +3
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Author Topic: AZ-Ipsos: Biden +3  (Read 568 times)
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Concerned Citizen
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Posts: 6,295
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

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« on: November 02, 2020, 02:49:07 PM »

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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,292
Canada


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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 02:50:11 PM »

Maricopa JOE
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UBI man good
Liam
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,998
Canada


Political Matrix
E: 10.00, S: -0.43

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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2020, 02:54:10 PM »

Now can we not freak out?
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woodley park
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2020, 02:55:21 PM »

OOOOOHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH  YEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!!!!!!!!!
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wbrocks67
Concerned Citizen
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Posts: 7,956
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2020, 03:09:08 PM »

So still a +2/3 race as the average has been forever.
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Statilius the Epicurean
Thersites
YaBB God
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United Kingdom


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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2020, 03:10:11 PM »

Yeezy SURGE!
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NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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United States


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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2020, 03:43:06 PM »

Insert usual caveat about under-polling working class Latino voters in the Southwest.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2020, 05:18:21 PM »

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-11/topline_reuters_arizona_state_poll_w6_11_2_2020.pdf

610 likely voters
MoE: 4.5%
Change with Oct 21-27

Biden 49% (+1)
Trump 47% (+1)
Some other candidate 2% (-1)
Would not vote 0% (n/c)
Not sure 1% (-1)

Follow up question pushing those who picked an option other than Biden or Trump to pick Biden, Trump or some other candidate again:

Biden 50%
Trump 48%
Some other candidate 2%

Five-way ballot:

Biden 50% (+3)
Trump 47% (n/c)
Jorgensen 1% (-1)
Some other candidate 1% (-1)
West 1% (n/c)
Hawkins 0% (n/c)
Would not vote 0% (n/c)
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