Quinnipiac: Biden +11 (national), +5 (FL), +4 (OH)

[Pericles]

It's actually plausible that Biden outperforms the polls (OH I am more suspicious of). There is no iron law saying any polling error has to benefit Trump. A 9 point lead is a 9 point lead.

[kwabbit]

Is it just me, or are a lot of pollsters finding more undecideds compared to their September/October polls? These are all near double digit undecideds. Selzer had more undecideds than last time as well, along with NBC.

You'd expect less right before the election; it's kinda weird that there is this pattern.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

It's actually plausible that Biden outperforms the polls (OH I am more suspicious of). There is no iron law saying any polling error has to benefit Trump. A 9 point lead is a 9 point lead.

In fact, as far as I'm concerned, there is nothing that says a polling error in favor of Trump is any more likely than one in favor of Biden.

[Liberalrocks]

Please be right

[Lief 🗽]

Is it just me, or are a lot of pollsters finding more undecideds compared to their September/October polls? These are all near double digit undecideds. Selzer had more undecideds than last time as well, along with NBC.

You'd expect less right before the election; it's kinda weird that there is this pattern.

I think it’s people who already voted refusing to say who they voted for.

[Alben Barkley]

Is it just me, or are a lot of pollsters finding more undecideds compared to their September/October polls? These are all near double digit undecideds. Selzer had more undecideds than last time as well, along with NBC.

You'd expect less right before the election; it's kinda weird that there is this pattern.

I think it’s people who already voted refusing to say who they voted for.

Yeah I think it's this. And maybe a lot of people who already voted just aren't responding at all.

[Beet]

Is it just me, or are a lot of pollsters finding more undecideds compared to their September/October polls? These are all near double digit undecideds. Selzer had more undecideds than last time as well, along with NBC.

You'd expect less right before the election; it's kinda weird that there is this pattern.

Yeah this reminds me of those later Hillary Clinton polls from 2016.

50% = solid
49% = near solid
48% = still good if it's a lead
47% = worrisome

[n1240]

This poll led RCP to drop the Monmouth poll from their average yet keep the Trafalgar poll which finished sampling the same day as Monmouth

[Crumpets]

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

So far, I've seen the following just in this thread:

- I think Trump's gonna win _____ anyway, but I'd love to be proven wrong"
- "I want to believe"
- "_____ has a D/R lean"
- Buzz//SirWoodbury/a doomer make a comment which derails the thread
- "OOOOOHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH  YEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!!!!!!!!!" (Honestly, I love this one)

My biggest regret about this election is not making a bingo card or more drinking games for the polling board & prediction threads

[libertpaulian]

J O E H I O

[Hammy]

High undecideds for a day before poll, pretty much useless.

[Lief 🗽]

So far, I've seen the following posts in this thread:

- I think Trump's gonna win _____ anyway, but I'd love to be proven wrong"
- "I want to believe"
- "_____ has a D/R lean"

My biggest regret about this election is not making a bingo card or drinking game for the polling board & prediction threads

Love to read through one (1) thread on the Atlas Forum polling board and immediately die of alcohol poisoning.

[wbrocks67]

These are virtually useless... why does Q-pac suddenly have so many undecideds?

[Alben Barkley]

This poll led RCP to drop the Monmouth poll from their average yet keep the Trafalgar poll which finished sampling the same day as Monmouth

WTF does the NYT/Siena poll have an asterisk for too?

[Lief 🗽]

This poll led RCP to drop the Monmouth poll from their average yet keep the Trafalgar poll which finished sampling the same day as Monmouth

WTF does the NYT/Siena poll have an asterisk for too?

Lamestream media is as biased as GOP super PACs.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Oct 28-Nov 1

National
1516 likely voters, MoE: 2.5%, Changes with Oct 16-19

Biden 50% (-1)
Trump 39% (-2)
Someone else 2% (n/c)
Don't know/no answer 9% (+5)

FL
1657 likely voters, MoE: 2.4%, Changes with Oct 23-27

Biden 47% (+2)
Trump 42% (n/c)
Someone else 1% (n/c)
Don't know/no answer 9% (-2)

OH
1440 likely voters, MoE: 2.6%, Changes with Oct 23-27

Biden 47% (-1)
Trump 43% (n/c)
Someone else 2% (+1)
Don't know/no answer 8% (n/c)

[Landslide Lyndon]

I know everyone loves to dump on Quinnipiac but the truth is that they have nailed Florida in the last three presidential elections.

[swf541]

I know everyone loves to dumb on Quinnipiac but the truth is that they have nailed Florida in the last three presidential elections.

Pretty much this, discount them 100% on your own peril

[Skill and Chance]

Starting to wonder if Biden wins Florida and loses Pennsylvania.

[Alben Barkley]

Starting to wonder if Biden wins Florida and loses Pennsylvania.

HIGHLY unlikely.

This is why people need to stop reading too much into any one poll or just a handful of polls. Gotta look at the bigger picture.

[Badger]

Nice, but keep in mind that Quinnipiac has had a distinct D lean for the past couple of years.  But it's probably not more than 2 or 3 points.

So an eight or nine point Nationwide Victory including a point or two up in Ohio?

I'll take it!

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

If these are true, the 413 map is likely.

[GP270watch]

Summary for most of the latest polls: Widen. Let's hope they're right.

[ExSky]

Glad to see they posted these.  These will be embarrassing too look back in for them.

Are you talking about your own comments