NBC/Marist: Biden+5 in PA, tie in AZ

[swf541]

Not bad wish they weighted by education tho

[swf541]

So Trump gains 4 points in margin in arguably the two most important swing states of the election in a last minute poll and nobody here is even worried?

No because its expected and Biden is above 50 in PA

That and your ignoring other polls constantly is highly annoying.

[swf541]

So Trump gains 4 points in margin in arguably the two most important swing states of the election in a last minute poll and nobody here is even worried?

No because its expected and Biden is above 50 in PA

That and your ignoring other polls constantly is highly annoying.

What is expected? Did everyone expect Trump to surge right before the election or did I miss the memo? What other polls am I ignoring? If we're talking about Arizona polls, Biden has lost 5, 4, and 3 points respectively in margin in this, Data Orbital, and NYT-Siena.

"Surge"

[swf541]

Did they even poll in Spanish?

Good question.

[swf541]

Um wat ok so they didnt poll in spanish?

[swf541]

So Biden is running even with whites but also with hispanics? Lmfao

Alright that calms me down on this poll.

Biden +5 in PA looks pretty good with the top line as well.

[swf541]

So y'all gonna just adjust hispanics to give Biden a lead or adjust whites too?

Or how about we all just agree to junk Marist?

I'd be alright with junking Marist until they fix their methodology tbqh

[swf541]

So y'all gonna just adjust hispanics to give Biden a lead or adjust whites too?

Or how about we all just agree to junk Marist?

Or how about neither?  Marist isn't junk.  Sometimes good pollsters get funky results and crosstabs are unreliable.  Stick 'em in the average (which shows Biden ahead in AZ) and move on.

It's not junk but their refusal to adjust to corrective methodology post 2016 does not warrent an A+ rating

[swf541]

Why argue about whether a poll is right when the election is literally tomorrow?

Yes, but what else would we do?