PA - Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.: Trump +1

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/SusquehannaPolling-PAStatewidePoll-Oct2020.pdf

Not for a partisan sponsor this time (also not for their last PA poll, either).

Nov 1-2
499 likely voters
MoE: 4.3%
Changes with Aug 26-Sep 4

Trump 49% (+8)
Biden 48% (+4)
Jorgensen 1% (not previously included)
May not vote at all 0% (but some voters) (not previously included)
Undecided 0% (but some voters) (-7)

Other and Refused previously at 3%

[wbrocks67]

LMAO. Trump at 42/43 favorable and Biden at 35/44. Throw this right in the trash.

Also this has a Trump +5 2016 sample too

[Tender Branson]

It would be a bit humiliating for Uncle Joe to lose his home state like Al Gore, but as long as AZ and a few other states (TX !!!) come around, everything’s fine.

[Beet]

Looks about right.

Biden's chances come down to somehow pulling off an upset in AZ plus either ME-02 or NE-02. Now we know why Trump was campaigning in NE-02.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

It would be a bit humiliating for Uncle Joe to lose his home state like Al Gore, but as long as AZ and a few other states (TX !!!) come around, everything’s fine.

Can you, stop?

[Bootes Void]

This poll belongs in the trash

[soundchaser]

Looks about right.

Biden's chances come down to somehow pulling off an upset in AZ plus either ME-02 or NE-02. Now we know why Trump was campaigning in NE-02.

Biden is leading in the Arizona average. Winning it wouldn't be an upset.

[Tender Branson]

It would be a bit humiliating for Uncle Joe to lose his home state like Al Gore, but as long as AZ and a few other states (TX !!!) come around, everything’s fine.

Can you, stop?

[Beet]

Looks about right.

Biden's chances come down to somehow pulling off an upset in AZ plus either ME-02 or NE-02. Now we know why Trump was campaigning in NE-02.

Biden is leading in the Arizona average. Winning it wouldn't be an upset.

It would be the first time a Democrat has won it since 1996, and the first time since 1948 that a Democrat won it without a major third party candidate spoiler, so yeah it would be pretty dramatic if it actually happened. I'm still not buying it.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

It would be a bit humiliating for Uncle Joe to lose his home state like Al Gore, but as long as AZ and a few other states (TX !!!) come around, everything’s fine.

Can you, stop?

Joe is not losing PA. Also, this poll is a Trump-friendly pollster.

[Yank2133]

Some of you guys should never be taking seriously again after tomorrow.

[Buzz]

They had Clinton +2 in 2016, so maybe Trump will win by 3 and save us going to the courts.



/s

[Mr.Phips]

Man, remember 2008, when these junk polls didn’t exist?

[TRKL1917]

This result seems about right. Biden needs Obama-level margins and turnout with Non-Whites and Youth to compensate for Trump’s massive Rural White margins and increased support from Suburban Whites in order to win Pennsylvania.

[soundchaser]

This result seems about right. Biden needs Obama-level margins and turnout with Non-Whites and Youth to compensate for Trump’s massive Rural White margins and increased support from Suburban Whites in order to win Pennsylvania.

This is straight-up delusional.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

increased support from Suburban Whites

You've obviously never been to suburban Texas. 

[Yank2133]

This result seems about right. Biden needs Obama-level margins and turnout with Non-Whites and Youth to compensate for Trump’s massive Rural White margins and increased support from Suburban Whites in order to win Pennsylvania.

This is straight-up delusional.

Lmao, he doesn’t know anything.

[Woody]

[jd7171]

Trump only wins PA if he overperforms in suburban areas and MATCHES his margins in rural areas. It's very hard for him to match the totals given the rural parts are LOSING population and Trump can't afford any defections at all!

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

I understand that you might find it fun to humiliate people, but is this how you want to be treated when you lose? I remember you were crying a few weeks ago about how everyone was quoting you. This is going to happen 10 fold to you if Biden does well this election.

The way you treat others in the past impacts how you're treated in the future. If you don't want to be clowned on by everyone when things don't go your way, I recommend being nice to everyone right now so you don't get bad karma in the future. You get treated how you deserve.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It would be a bit humiliating for Uncle Joe to lose his home state like Al Gore, but as long as AZ and a few other states (TX !!!) come around, everything’s fine.

Stop it, QU is the the most accurate pollster and they polled PA, OH, FL,WI in favor of Joe

It was entered in the database

[Bootes Void]

i Hope this isnt you on Wednesday morning

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Sir Woodbury thinks 2008/12/18 never happened and 2000(2004/2016 only matters

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Thanks for the new material

[Badger]

increased support from Suburban Whites

You've obviously never been to suburban Texas.  

The key word here is increased. Polls of suburban Texas state house and congressional districts are showing Republicans absolutely hemorrhaging support there. It's why Texas is competitive this year