OH - Rasmussen: Trump+4 (user search)
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  OH - Rasmussen: Trump+4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: OH - Rasmussen: Trump+4  (Read 3265 times)
lfromnj
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« on: November 02, 2020, 12:26:51 PM »
Quote from: i’ve learned my lesson from 2016 on November 02, 2020, 12:23:59 PM
It’s possible for Trump to win OH/IA somewhat comfortably (i.e., 4-5 points) and still lose the election in an EC landslide. Just saying...

Thats my prediction Tongue
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 01:01:14 PM »
Quote from: EastOfEden on November 02, 2020, 12:41:01 PM
Quote from: Neither Holy Nor Roman 👁️ on November 02, 2020, 12:20:59 PM
Quote from: ηєω ƒяσηтιєя on November 02, 2020, 12:16:18 PM
Quote from: Neither Holy Nor Roman 👁️ on November 02, 2020, 12:15:37 PM
Sounds about right. The scary thing is it doesn't make sense for Rasmussen to be right about Ohio but wrong about other states, which could in theory spell trouble.
Are you serious, right now? Huh

Yeah, just look at this:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_Ohio_gubernatorial_election

This was in a year with a very similar national environment to the current one, when Dems easily won Gov races in PA and MI, and also carried WI.

Lesson: don't get your hopes up too much about Ohio, it is prone to disappoint (if you are a D, anyway).

Two more years of suburban trends in Columbus and Cincinnati + Biden's rebound in rural areas. DeWine was a very strong candidate.

The Biden win is very possible.

Literally every Ohio D in 2018 lost by 3 to 5 points. The only exception was Sherrod Brown, not Richard Cordray.
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