PA (Trafalgar): Trump +2
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Author Topic: PA (Trafalgar): Trump +2  (Read 1161 times)
Buzz
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« on: November 02, 2020, 09:48:23 AM »


I’m just here for the reply’s tbh
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Horus
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2020, 09:49:33 AM »
omg stop
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2020, 09:50:01 AM »
No
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Woody
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2020, 09:51:26 AM »
Tilt R.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2020, 09:52:04 AM »
This guy is either going to look like the biggest genius in the room or the biggest idiot on Tuesday.
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2020, 09:52:35 AM »
Quote from: RoboWop on November 01, 2020, 01:40:05 PM
Quote from: RoboWop on October 30, 2020, 08:39:27 PM
I predict the next Trafalgar poll, wherever it is, will be within 3 points.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2020, 09:52:40 AM »
Someone is just pulling numbers right out of their butt.  
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2020, 09:52:47 AM »
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Duke on November 02, 2020, 09:52:04 AM
This guy is either going to look like the biggest genius in the room or the biggest idiot on Tuesday.
Probably the biggest idiot
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2020, 10:05:20 AM »
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Duke on November 02, 2020, 09:52:04 AM
This guy is either going to look like the biggest genius in the room or the biggest idiot on Tuesday.
He's going all in for sure. This is Dick Morris level stuff.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2020, 10:05:27 AM »
I honestly have whiplash at just the amount of polls that keep on coming out of Trafalgar. There's no way they have enough money to be doing all of these polls constantly every day.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2020, 10:53:58 AM »
They're either onto something or are being totally ridiculed tomorrow or later this week. I bet on latter.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2020, 10:54:55 AM »
« Edited: November 02, 2020, 11:02:47 AM by #proudtikitorchmarcher »
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Duke on November 02, 2020, 09:52:04 AM
This guy is either going to look like the biggest genius in the room or the biggest idiot on Tuesday.

I mean isn't there also just a chance that its in between?

Like say +3-4 Biden in PA/MI/WI.

Wouldn't be a great showing from Traflolgar but not cripplingly bad and the same for other pollsters too which would have been slightly off too.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2020, 11:00:15 AM »
Also, why do they have "Other" at 1.2%? There are only 3 options on the ballet. 1.2% of voters are not writing in someone.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2020, 11:01:09 AM »
Changes with Oct 24-25

Trump 48% (-1)
Biden 46% (-2)
Jorgensen 2% (+1)
Other 1% (+1 from "someone else" at 1%)
Undecided 4% (+2)
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2020, 11:01:41 AM »
See that 3.7% undecided? That's his out. He's going to claim all the undecideds went for Biden and his polls were right.
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2020, 11:14:23 AM »
Lol, the link doesn't work.
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NYDem
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« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2020, 11:46:16 AM »
There is no way possible for a firm to be conducting this many legitimate public polls. Where are they getting the money and resources to have 50 polls in two weeks.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2020, 11:49:35 AM »
Quote from: NYDem on November 02, 2020, 11:46:16 AM
There is no way possible for a firm to be conducting this many legitimate public polls. Where are they getting the money and resources to have 50 polls in two weeks.

They aren't all public polls. They just don't disclose which were paid for by private clients. That's why 538 temporarily removed them and now lists all their polls as partisan.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2020, 12:34:36 PM »
1062 likely voters
MoE: 2.93%
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Angel of Death
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« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2020, 12:41:49 PM »
Quote from: BlueSwan on November 02, 2020, 10:05:20 AM
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Duke on November 02, 2020, 09:52:04 AM
This guy is either going to look like the biggest genius in the room or the biggest idiot on Tuesday.
He's going all in for sure. This is Dick Morris level stuff.

When would it be Dean Chambers level stuff?
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #20 on: November 02, 2020, 12:45:28 PM »
This better not flip PA to toss up in our beautiful Atlas averages.
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Rep Jessica
Jessica
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« Reply #21 on: November 02, 2020, 12:49:20 PM »
Roberts will either become the best in the business or see his career end. We'll all find out within the 36 hours!
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Ichabod
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« Reply #22 on: November 02, 2020, 12:52:55 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Pres. Duke on November 02, 2020, 09:52:04 AM
This guy is either going to look like the biggest genius in the room or the biggest idiot on Tuesday.

A genius would likely know you don't show poll with non-integer numbers, so....
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