GA, MI, TX - AtlasIntel: Trump +2, Biden +2, Trump +3
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  GA, MI, TX - AtlasIntel: Trump +2, Biden +2, Trump +3
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Author Topic: GA, MI, TX - AtlasIntel: Trump +2, Biden +2, Trump +3  (Read 754 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: November 01, 2020, 11:06:43 PM »

GA
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20201101_GA_atlasintel.pdf

Oct 30-31
679 likely voters
MoE: 4%

Trump 48%
Biden 46%
Other 6%

MI
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20201101_MI_atlasintel.pdf

Oct 30-31
686 likely voters
MoE: 4%

Biden 48%
Trump 46%
Other 6%

TX
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20201101_TX_atlasintel.pdf

Oct 30-31
962 likely voters
MoE: 3%

Trump 50%
Biden 47%
Other 3%
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philly09
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2020, 11:08:27 PM »

Says a lot that even a junk poll has Biden up in MI, and swings to him in GA and TX.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2020, 11:34:27 PM »

R+15 party ID in Texas too and this was the best they could come up with
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2020, 11:36:40 PM »

R+15 party ID in Texas too and this was the best they could come up with

What ius the party ID last time?

All these polls point to a close race in Texas...
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2020, 11:57:55 PM »

R+15 party ID in Texas too and this was the best they could come up with

What ius the party ID last time?

All these polls point to a close race in Texas...

R+4 in the 2018 exit poll and R+ 9 in 2016
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2020, 12:01:29 AM »

R+15 party ID in Texas too and this was the best they could come up with

What ius the party ID last time?

All these polls point to a close race in Texas...

R+4 in the 2018 exit poll and R+ 9 in 2016

Then Biden is winning Texas.

I think Ds will overpreform in TX/AZ/GA

Underpreform in the midwest and north
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2020, 12:08:01 AM »

Gas also looks really good if Biden is indeed at 30 with whites. Sample is 64-24 white to black
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2020, 03:07:51 AM »

In the TX poll, the White voter crosstab is Trump 62 - Biden 36. If that is accurate and Biden really gets 36, then he wins Texas.

I swear, it seems like every single TX poll that has Biden losing has a white voter crosstab that indicates that if it is accurate, he is actually winning.
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